Christopher Bell propelled himself into the NASCAR Cup Series Round of 12 with a win at Bristol Motor Speedway last week, and the Mobil 1 301 odds have him favored to make it two wins in a row at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on Sunday, September 21.
Bell is the defending champion of this race and a two-time winner at "The Magic Mile." Can he be stopped? We have Mobil 1 301 predictions and free betting picks below.
Odds to win 2025 Mobil 1 301
| Driver |  |
|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | +330 |
| Kyle Larson | +650 |
| Denny Hamlin | +650 |
| Ryan Blaney | +650 |
| Chase Briscoe | +700 |
| Joey Logano | +750 |
| William Byron | +1100 |
| Chase Elliott | +1200 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1500 |
| Bubba Wallace | +2200 |
| Ross Chastain | +2500 |
| Chris Buescher | +2800 |
| Brad Keselowski | +2800 |
| Kyle Busch | +2800 |
| Ty Gibbs | +3000 |
| Josh Berry | +4000 |
| Austin Cindric | +4500 |
| Carson Hocevar | +5000 |
| Alex Bowman | +5500 |
| Ryan Preece | +5500 |
Odds as of 9-20.
Mobil 1 301 field
No "open" drivers signed on for the Mobil 1 301, so only 36 cars will be on the track for this event.
Christopher Bell opened as the clear-cut +330 favorite at New Hampshire. There's a crush of drivers fighting for second-choice status in Kyle Larson (+650), Denny Hamlin (+650), Ryan Blaney (+650), Chase Briscoe (+700), and Joey Logano (+750).
Austin Cindric is the longest shot on the board among playoff drivers at +4500.
Mobil 1 301 expert picks and predictions
Odds listed below courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 9-20.
Mobil 1 301 pre-qualifying favorites
Christopher Bell (+330)
Christopher Bell won two of the last three years, including 149 laps led in his victory lane year, and was runner-up in 2021. He was runner-up at Martinsville in the spring and won last week in Bristol.
Denny Hamlin (+650)
Denny Hamlin has 12 Top-15 finishes in his last 13 starts on this track, including a runner-up in two of the last six years. He’s a three-time Loudon winner, won at Martinsville, and won at Gateway this season.
My only pause is that his 2019 and 2020 runner-ups are his only Top-5 finishes in his last eight starts. Still, Hamlin has three Top-10 finishes in the last five weeks.
Mobil 1 301 sleepers
Chase Briscoe (+700)
He finished runner-up last year and taking over a car that had 10 Top-10 finishes over its last 11 tries on the track, including eight of the last nine in the Top-9. He was also 10th in 2023, too.
Chase Briscoe finished runner-up in Gateway, a similar track. He has seven Top-10 finishes in the last 10 races this season, including three straight.
Joey Logano (+750)
Joey Logano has six Top-10 finishes in his last eight Loudon starts, including fourth in both 2020 and 2021 and runner-up in 2023. Over the last 14 Loudon tries, Logano has 10 Top-10 finishes with seven in the Top 5.
He has three Top-5 finishes in the last five weeks, including consecutive fifth-place finishes entering Loudon.
Bubba Wallace (+2200)
Third in 2022, eighth in 2023, but 34th last year. Bubba Wallace was fourth in Martinsville this season, too.
He did finish third at Martinsville and eighth at Gateway this year. The only concern is his Brickyard 400 win in late July is this only Top-5 finish in the last 14 races.
Brad Keselowski (+2800)
Brad Keselowski has four Top-7 finishes in his last five Loudon starts, including a 2020 win and fifth in 2023. He finished runner-up Saturday night in Bristol.
Ryan Preece (+5500)
He has plenty of experience in lower divisions at Loudon and finished 11th for SHR last year. Now that he has Keselowski’s experience as a boss and teammate…
Preece also finished seventh at Martinsville, and Chris Buescher finished fifth last year in an RFK Ford.
Mobil 1 301 fades
Kyle Larson (+650)
Kyle Larson does have six Top-10s in his last nine tries, including two runner-ups, and a third-place effort in 2023 and fourth last year. But, HMS hasn’t found victory lane at Loudon in years.
Larson also has two Top-10 finishes in the last seven races, neither resulting in a Top-5.
William Byron (+1100)
William Byron has no Top 10s in seven tries here. He finished 22nd in Martinsville and 11th at Gateway, too. His last five finishes on the season are: 12th, 19th, 21st, 11th, and 12th, respectively.
Chase Elliott (+1200)
Chase Elliott has just two Top 5s in 11 starts here, but one was a runner-up three years ago. Since the Brickyard 400, Elliott has finished 13th, 14th, 26th, 38th, 10th, 17th, third, and 38th, respectively.
Tyler Reddick (+1500)
Tyler Reddick was sixth the last two years, including 53 laps led last year. However, his runner-up in the Southern 500 is his only Top-5 finish in the last 10 races.
Alex Bowman (+5500)
Alex Bowman has just one Top 10 (ninth in 2021) in the same seven starts as Byron at New Hampshire. He finished last a year ago.
Mobil 1 301 prop pick: Ryan Blaney Top 5 Finish
Ryan Blaney (+650 outright) is a tough one to figure out as four of his last five Loudon finishes were 18th or worse. He finished 25th last year.
However, he was fifth in 2021 after leading 64 laps. He finished 11th in Martinsville and fourth at Gateway. Blaney also has eight Top-8 finishes in the last nine races, five of which were in the Top 4.
Pick: Ryan Blaney Top 5 Finish (-125 at DraftKings)
Popular motor sports futures odds
New Hampshire Motor Speedway track analysis
The track didn’t change between last year and this one, so I still expect this event to go through Joe Gibbs Racing. Chevrolet has just one win in the last 18 New Hampshire tries.
Loudon is a track that rewards typically the best. Of the last 17 New Hampshire race winners, 13 were Cup champions. Denny Hamlin, Christopher Bell, and Aric Almirola are the lone exceptions, but outside of Almirola, the other two at least made the Championship 4 in the season of their wins here, too.
Mobil 1 301 trends
- Ten of the last 14 races saw the driver that led the most laps fail to win in the end. Six of the last 12 drivers to lead the most laps failed to even score a Top 5.
- Hendrick Motorsports’ last Loudon win came back in 2012. In 2021, the team finished 7-9-18-21. 2022 was 2-11-14-35, 2023 was 3-12-14-24, and 2024 was 4-18-26-36.
- Chase Elliott leads the NASCAR Cup Series in average starting position at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with an 8.273 in 11 starts.
Mobil 1 301 info
| Location: | New Hampshire Motor Speedway, Loudon, NH |
| Date: | Sunday, September 21, 2025 |
| Start time: | 2:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | USA |
Previous Mobil 1 301 winners
Joe Gibbs Racing has won three straight renditions of this race.
| Year | Winner |
| 2024 | Christopher Bell |
| 2023 | Martin Truex Jr. |
| 2022 | Christopher Bell |
| 2021 | Aric Almirola |
| 2020 | Brad Keselowski |
How to make Mobil 1 301 picks
NASCAR betting is a nuanced process that can take any number of factors into account, and spans several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet NASCAR guide walks you through the basics, including how to read odds, different markets that are available, and what to consider when making your bets.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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