NASCAR Coca-Cola 600 Predictions, Odds & Race Preview — Charlotte Motor Speedway

All-Star Race winner Christopher Bell seeks his fourth win in a points-paying race this year. Standing in his way, among others, is Kyle Larson, who once again attempts the Indy 500-Coke 600 "double." Don't miss our free NASCAR betting picks!

Eric Smith - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Smith • Betting Analyst
May 24, 2025 • 06:00 ET • 4 min read
Christopher Bell NASCAR Cup Series
Photo By - Imagn Images. Christopher Bell (20) during NASCAR All-Star Race at North Wilkesboro Speedway.

The second half of the NASCAR Cup Series season kicks off on Sunday evening with one of the crown jewels of the sport, the Coca-Cola 600.

All eyes will be on Kyle Larson as he makes his second attempt at "the double," namely running in the Indy 500 and the Coke 600 on the same day. Does that mean last year's winner and All-Star Race victor Christopher Bell will get overlooked?

Our free betting picks for NASCAR's longest night tell you what to expect at Charlotte Motor Speedway this Memorial Day weekend.

Odds to win 2025 Coca-Cola 600

Driver DraftKings
Kyle Larson +550
Denny Hamlin +650
Christopher Bell +750
William Byron +750
Tyler Reddick +750
Ryan Blaney +800
Chase Elliott +1200
Kyle Busch +1200
Joey Logano +1800
Ty Gibbs +1800
Ross Chastain +1800
Chris Buescher +2200
Alex Bowman +2500
Chase Briscoe +2500
Josh Berry +2800
Brad Keselowski +2800
Bubba Wallace +3000
Daniel Suarez +4000
Austin Cindric +4000
Carson Hocevar +4500

Odds as of 5-24.

Coca-Cola 600 field

A full field of 40 will contest the Coca-Cola 600. Four-time Coke 600 winner Jimmie Johnson will make his 700th career start in the No. 84 car.

Also joining the 36 chartered drivers are Connor Zilisch in the No. 87, Josh Bilicki in the No. 66, and Derek Kraus in the No. 44. 

Kyle Larson opened as the pre-qualifying favorite but at an inflated +550, likely due to the variable of his start in the Indy 500. Due to inclement weather, Larson got to Charlotte late then was unable to even record a start in the 2024 Coke 600.

Coca-Cola 600 expert picks and predictions

Odds listed below courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 5-24.

Coca-Cola 600 pre-qualifying favorites

Kyle Larson (+550)
Kyle Larson dominated the 2021 race and has four Top-10 finishes in his last six Charlotte oval starts. Larson finished ninth, first, 37th, fourth and first on intermediate tracks this season.

Denny Hamlin (+650)
Denny Hamlin has 19 Top-10 finishes in his last 23 Charlotte oval starts dating back to the 2010 season. He was runner-up in the 500-mile race in 2020, seventh in 2021, and won in 2022. 

His last nine “600” finishes have been: eighth, fourth, fifth, third, 29th, seventh, first, 35th and fifth. 

Tyler Reddick (+750)
Tyler Reddick had five Top-10 finishes in six Charlotte oval starts, including his last three being sixth, fifth, and fourth, respectively. On intermediate tracks this season, Reddick has finished 24th, eighth, fourth, 21st and 17th, respectively. 

Christopher Bell (+750)
The Joe Gibbs Racing driver had finished 21st, 24th, fifth, and 24th, respectively, in his previous four Charlotte oval starts before his “600” win last year. On intermediate tracks this season, Bell finished 12th in Vegas, 29th in Homestead, third in Darlington, ninth at Texas, and second in Kansas. 

Coca-Cola 600 sleepers

Ross Chastain (+1800)
Looked good in the 2022 race in leading 153 laps. However, Ross Chastain was only 15th in the end.

He finished 22nd in 2023 but qualified seventh and finished eighth last year after leading 10 laps. He finished fifth, 31st, seventh, second, and 18th on intermediate tracks this season. 

Ty Gibbs (+1800)
Ty Gibbs led over 70 laps from the pole in last year’s sixth-place finish. Can he follow the list of big names, including Jeff Gordon, to score his maiden Cup Series victory in this race?

Josh Berry (+2800)
Josh Berry won in Las Vegas and finished 10th in this race last year. He just finished sixth at Kansas. 

Coca-Cola 600 fades

Ryan Blaney (+800)
Ryan Blaney's 2023 win after leading 163 laps is his only Top-10 finish here since 2021. 

Kyle Busch (+1200)
Kyle Busch has 11 Top-10 finishes in his last 14 Charlotte oval starts, including his last nine being first, third, third, fourth, 29th, third, second, sixth, and 15th, respectively. However, his intermediate track finishes this season are 33rd, 21st, 10th, 20th and 21st. 

Chase Elliott (+1200)
Chase Elliott has finished 10th, 18th, fifth, 16th, and 15th on intermediate tracks this season. His last three “600” finishes are 33rd, 34th, and seventh. 

Joey Logano (+1800)
Just one Top-5 finish in his last 12 Charlotte oval starts, including being 21st, 22nd, second, 13th, 17th, 20th, 21st, and 14th in his last eight Coke 600 tries. Joey Logano finished 15th, 14th, 13th, first, and ninth on intermediate tracks this season.

Coca-Cola 600 prop pick: William Byron Top-3 Finish

The hometown kid is due. William Byron has three career Charlotte poles, including 2023, and started second last year, but hasn’t won the “600” yet. 

He was close in 2023 with a runner-up finish after leading 91 laps and third last year after leading 49 more laps. He finished fourth in 2021. 

Bryon finished fourth, 12th, second, 13th, and 24th on intermediate tracks this season. 

Pick: William Byron Top-3 Finish (+300 at DraftKings)

Popular motor sports futures odds

Charlotte Motor Speedway track analysis

Nothing has changed here since the last time out that witnessed 21 lead changes among 10 drivers in just 249 laps of racing. That occurred a year after the most lead changes (31) since 2014, and also the most cautions (18 in 2022 and 16 last year) since 2005. 

By comparison, there were only four cautions in 2021, and eight and seven, respectively, in the pair of races in 2020. 

That was a byproduct of this Next Gen car and how much it improved the racing on this track. I expect similar results this time around again with Las Vegas, Texas, and Kansas races delivering immediate results. 

  • Seven of the last 11 race winners on the oval have won from eighth or worse.
  • The eventual winner scored third-stage points in all seven years of the stage era (10th, first, first, seventh, first, 10th, third). Last year was rain-shortened so there wasn’t a third stage. 

Coca-Cola 600 info

Location: Charlotte Motor Speedway, Charlotte, NC
Date: Sunday, 5-25-2025
Start time: 6:00 p.m. ET
TV: Amazon

Previous Coca-Cola 600 winners

There are no active full-time drivers with multiple wins in this race.

Year Winner
2024 Christopher Bell
2023 Ryan Blaney
2022 Denny Hamlin
2021 Kyle Larson
2020 Brad Keselowski
2019 Martin Truex Jr.
2018 Kyle Busch
2017 Austin Dillon
2016 Martin Truex Jr.
2015 Carl Edwards

How to make Coca-Cola 600 picks

NASCAR betting is a nuanced process that can take any number of factors into account, and spans several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet NASCAR guide walks you through the basics, including how to read odds, different markets that are available, and what to consider when making your bets.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Smith - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Eric Smith has over a decade of experience in motorsports. Beginning with Bleacher Report in 2011 to becoming a nationally accredited motorsports journalist, Eric has been featured in numerous publications. His love of the sport helped spark a path to Covers in 2019 as an auto racing analyst providing insights into how to bet and who to be on the NASCAR scene.

NASCAR is a unique sport to wager on with the percentages of a win less than the 50-50 venture of stick-and-ball sports. However, Eric found a method to wager on multiple drivers to come away profitable in the end. His experience in the sport and his aforementioned technique has allowed Eric to decipher pages of data to compute a winner at a 70% clip.

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