Yankees vs Blue Jays Prop Picks & Best Bets for ALDS Game 1

With New York boasting impressive numbers against Toronto starter Kevin Gausman, we expect a rough series opener for the Blue Jays right-hander.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Oct 3, 2025 • 13:46 ET • 4 min read
Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Kevin Gausman (34) hands the ball to manager John Schneider (14)
Photo By - Imagn Images. Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Kevin Gausman (34) hands the ball to manager John Schneider (14).

The New York Yankees head north to face the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 1 of the American League Division Series on Saturday, October 4.

My top MLB picks break down why the Bronx Bombers will knock around Toronto righty Kevin Gausman in the series opener.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Game 1 props

Player BetMGM
Blue Jays Kevin Gausman Over 4.5 hits allowed +125
Yankees Aaron Judge Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI -135
Yankees Trent Grisham Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI +115

Yankees vs Blue Jays player prop picks

Prop #1: Kevin Gausman Over 4.5 hits allowed

+125 at BetMGM

Toronto Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman has allowed 23 hits across 15 1/3 innings over his past three starts, and he’s already faced the New York Yankees four times during the regular season, surrendering 17 hits across 22 2/3 frames. 

I’m also anticipating Gausman pitching deep enough into Game 1 for the Bronx Bombers to scatter five hits, or the alternative is the potent New York lineup sends the righty to the showers in short order to cash this Over.

Prop #2: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI

-135 at BetMGM

New York Yankees superstar Aaron Judge has teed off on Toronto Blue Jays righty Kevin Gausman to the tune of a 1.283 OPS with three doubles, six home runs, and 12 RBI across just 48 at-bats. 

Of course, Judge also sports an elite .450 wOBA and .344 ISO against righties over the past three seasons, and the Yankees captain is perfectly positioned in the heart of the lineup to stuff the stat sheet on Saturday.

Prop #3: Trent Grisham Over 15 hits + runs + RBI

+115 at BetMGM

While Yankees outfielder Trent Grisham is just 6-for-25 during his career against Gausman, the first-year Bronx Bomber has turned in a career year in pinstripes. 

Grisham posted a high-end .375 wOBA, .251 ISO, and .869 OPS against righties, and he projects to set the table in the leadoff spot for the loaded New York lineup.

How to watch Yankees vs Blue Jays and Game 1 info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Saturday, October 4, 2025
First pitch 4:08 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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