Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 16, 2026 , 10:58 AM ET • 4 min read

George Springer has a great matchup today against Keider Montero — he's 4-for-6 (.652 xBA) with a double and two home runs against the Tigers righty, which suggests he should be making some loud contact today.

mlb

Sep 16 • 11:07 AM ET
George Springer Alejandro Kirk Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. George Springer and Alejandro Kirk celebrate at home plate.

I have George Springer slotted for a bounce-back game at the plate today — he's featured in my Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction as a result.

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Detroit Tigers at Rogers Centre for a matinee special (3:07 p.m. ET) as -125 favorites at BET99. With their playoff hopes hanging in the balance, will they show up and get the job done?

Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Wednesday, Sept. 16.

Tigers vs Blue Jays predictions

Tigers vs Blue Jays best bet: George Springer Over 1.5 total bases (+125)

If the Toronto Blue Jays are going to pull off a miracle in their race for the final Wild Card spot, George Springer will need to play his part. 

He's got a great matchup today against Keider Monterohe's 4-for-6 (.652 xBA) with a double and two home runs against the Detroit Tigers righty, which suggests he should be making some loud contact today.

Springer has now logged at least one hit in five straight games, and has cashed this play in three of his last five. He's been seeing the ball incredibly well over the last two months, and I expect him to have himself a day at the plate.

I'd play this up to +110.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Is George Springer actually better against righties? The splits say so. He's slashing .272/.348/.435 (.783 OPS) against them, while he owns a .211/.287/.376 (.663 OPS) line against southpaws.

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Tigers vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

We know we have a strong look with Springer, but what about Brett Bateman? Since coming up to the bigs, the kid has done nothing but rake and has cashed this bet in four of his last five games. Look for him to create some traffic on the base paths once again.

Max Scherzer has done a fantastic job against these Tigers in his career (40% K rate, .145 xBA), and while some of that has been during his prime, I'm expecting him to show up when the Jays need him most.

Tigers vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Brett Bateman Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
  • George Springer Over 1.5 total baes
  • Max Scherzer Under 1.5 earned runs

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Regulated Alberta sports betting has officially launched, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.

You can sign up and join BET99 — one of the best Alberta betting apps — now to get in on the Blue Jays action!

Tigers vs Blue Jays home run pick: George Springer (+500)

I'm all-in on Springer, who already has two homers against Montero in his career. The underlying numbers scream loud contact today, too, with Springer owning a 1.936 xSLG alongside an average exit velocity of 105.3 MPH in this matchup. Let's see a bomb, shall we? 

Looking for more home run predictions today? Our Josh Inglis has you covered.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 12-11, +3.17 units 
  • SGPs: 5-19, +0.22 units

Tigers vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Detroit (+110) | Toronto (-130)
  • Run line: Detroit +1.5 (-175) | Toronto -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-120) | Under 8 (+100)

Tigers vs Blue Jays trend

The Over is 5-0 in the Blue Jays' last five games. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Tigers vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Date Wednesday, Sept. 16, 2026
First pitch 3:07 p.m. ET
TV DSN, Sportsnet
Tigers starting pitcher Keider Montero
(9-8, 3.55 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Max Scherzer
(2-8, 6.38 ERA)

Tigers vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Tigers vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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