Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds — Friday, September 5

Faria's prediction: Romy Gonzalez remains a southpaw specialist for Boston.

Chris Faria - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst
Sep 5, 2025 • 12:19 ET • 4 min read
Romy Gonzalez Boston Red Sox MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Boston Red Sox first baseman Romy Gonzalez (23).

The Arizona Diamondbacks welcome the Boston Red Sox to Chase Field tonight for the start of a three-game weekend series.

Romy Gonzalez has been one of the hottest hitters in the majors over the past week, and I’m looking for Boston’s infielder to come up big again in my Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks predictions.

Find out more in my MLB picks for Friday, September 5.

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks prediction

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks best bet: Romy Gonzalez Over 1.5 total bases (-115)

The Boston Red Sox had their three-game win streak snapped by the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday, but it was another productive outing for Romy Gonzalez. The infielder went 2-for-4 at the dish to boost his batting average to a ridiculous .480 (12-for-25) over his last six games.

Gonzalez has eclipsed 1.5 total bases in three straight outings, as well as five of his last six contests, and he should be able to stay hot against a weaker Arizona Diamondbacks starter.

Eduardo Rodriguez takes the hill for Arizona after pitching six scoreless innings vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers last Saturday, but that’s been far from the norm for the southpaw. Rodriguez owns a lackluster 5.40 ERA and 1.62 WHIP this season, surrendering four or more earned runs in six of his last 10 starts.

The right-handed Gonzalez is batting an insane .330 against lefties this year, so I expect him to dominate against Rodriguez tonight.

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay (SGP)

Boston is also sending a question mark to the hill tonight, as Payton Tolle will be making just the second start of his MLB career.

Expect two of the best offenses in the majors to easily combine for Over 9.0 runs, and I also like Ketel Marte to spark the Diamondbacks' offense with another RBI.

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks 3-Leg SGP

  • Over 9.0 (+100)
  • Ketel Marte o0.5 RBI (+145) 
  • Romy Gonzalez o1.5 total bases (-115)

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks odds

  • Moneyline: Boston -130 | Arizona +110
  • Run line: Boston -1.5 (+135) | Arizona +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-125) | Under 8.5 (+105)

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks trend

Boston has covered the run line in 34 of its last 56 games (+11.80 Units / 17% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks.

How to watch Red Sox vs Diamondbacks and game info

Location Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date Friday, August 5, 2025
First pitch 9:40 p.m. ET
TV NESN, DBACKS.tv
Red Sox starting pitcher Payton Tolle
(0-0, 3.38 ERA)
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez
(6-8, 5.40 ERA)

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks latest injuries

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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