Rangers vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 , 08:46 AM ET • 4 min read

Our Rangers vs. Phillies predictions expect Jesus Luzardo & Co. to put the finishing touches on a series win this afternoon.

MLB

Mar 29 • 1:35 PM ET
TEX
35 %
PHI
65 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Philadelphia -148 Philadelphia -148
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Kyle Schwarber Philadelphia Phillies MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kyle Schwarber makes his way around the bases.

It’s the rubber match of a three-game set between the Texas Rangers and Philadelphia Phillies.

A pair of lefties make their 2026 debut for the win, as Philadelphia’s Jesus Luzardo is looking to pick up where he left off from his best season as a pro, while MacKenzie Gore will try to bounce back from his worst season in the bigs.

My Rangers vs Phillies predictions and MLB picks have Luzardo and the top of Philadelphia’s order leading the Phillies to a series win.

Rangers vs Phillies predictions

Rangers vs Phillies best bet: Phillies moneyline (-148)

Jesus Luzardo went 4-1 with a 5.11 ERA against the American League last season. He pitched against the Texas Rangers and threw six strong, giving up seven hits, one earned run, and striking out four in a 3-2 win.

Luzardo should be supported by Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber, who combined to go 0-for-10 in Saturday’s 5-4 loss. Turner is hitting a wicked .440 against Mackenzie Gore, with three doubles, a couple of walks, and two runs driven in.

Meanwhile, Schwarber has five hits and eight walks in 21 at-bats vs Gore.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Mackenzie Gore made three starts against the Phillies last season, giving up 10 hits and five earned runs across 18 innings. All three games ended in losses.

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Rangers vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)

Gore finished inside the Top 25 in strikeouts last season, but his 6.5-strikeout line might be just slightly off, as he threw 7+ strikeouts in just three of 17 starts to end 2025.

Brandon Nimmo is hitting .300 vs. Luzardo in 20 career at-bats, with four RBI, the most of any Ranger against Luzardo. 

Rangers vs Phillies SGP

  • Phillies moneyline
  • Mackenzie Gore Under 6.5 strikeouts
  • Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 RBI

Rangers vs Phillies home run pick: Kyle Schwarber (+240)

Kyle Schwarber has gone deep in each of his last four games against the Rangers, and he already has a home run against Gore in his career.

Rangers vs Phillies odds

  • Moneyline: Texas +125 | Philadelphia -150
  • Run line: Texas +1.5 (-165) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

Rangers vs Phillies trend

The Phillies have won 55 of their last 83 home games for +12.35 units and a 9% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Phillies.

How to watch Rangers vs Phillies and game info

Location Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Date Sunday, March 29, 2026
First pitch 1:35 p.m. ET
TV Rangers Sports Network, NBCS-Philadelphia
Rangers starting pitcher MacKenzie Gore
(2025: 5-15, 4.17 ERA)
Phillies starting pitcher Jesus Luzardo
(2025: 15-7, 3.92 ERA)

Rangers vs Phillies latest injuries

Rangers vs Phillies weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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