Today’s MLB Prop Picks: Judge Keeps Crushing

With a full slate on today's MLB betting board, we're turning to a few studs for our Saturday MLB player prop picks, including Yankees MVP frontrunner Aaron Judge to mash a favorable matchup in Baltimore.

Jul 23, 2022 • 11:33 ET • 4 min read

We've got a packed Saturday on the diamond with 16 games on the MLB betting board, which means plenty of player props to look into. 

Coming out of the break, it makes sense that we're backing a pair of All-Stars in Alek Manoah and Aaron Judge. But we're also putting our money in a young player who could be gunning for an All-Star appearance in the future in Rangers outfielder Leody Taveras.

Here are our three favorite MLB player prop picks for Saturday, July 23.

MLB props for July 23

Picks made on 7/23/2022 at 11 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Today’s best MLB prop bets

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.

Manoah of war

The Toronto Blue Jays massacred the Red Sox last night winning 28-5. They'll try to continue their recent dominance against the BoSox tonight as they send ace Alek Manoah to the mound.

Manoah's performance in the All-Star game showed just how talented he is, with the 24-year-old striking out the side in a mic'd up second inning that was one of the best moments of the Midsummer Classic. 

Manoah has pitched to a sparkling 2.28 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP in 18 starts and takes on a Red Sox lineup that has struggled lately with an OPS of .660 in their last 10 games. Sure, Boston is loaded at the top with guys like Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, and J.D. Martinez, but the rest of its lineup has been beyond pathetic. 

Manoah has allowed fewer than three runs in 15 of 18 starts this season. That includes a pair of strong performances against the Red Sox where he limited them to nine hits and two runs over 14 innings.

Alek Manoah Prop: Under 2.5 earned runs (-115)

Judge and jury

Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge smashed two home runs and drove in four runs in last night's 7-6 win against the Orioles.

Those sorts of performances have simply come to be expected of the four-time All-Star, who leads the majors in total bases (221), home runs (36), and barrels per plate appearance (15.9%) while ranking second in hard-hit rate (60.9%) and slugging percentage (.635). 

Orioles starter Jordan Lyles gets the unenviable task of facing Judge today. Lyles has a 4.76 ERA in 19 starts this season and his expected ERA of 5.15 is virtually identical to his career ERA of 5.17. 

Judge has also been extremely productive at Camden Yards in his career, slashing .289/..418/.691 with 18 homers in 42 games in Baltimore. It's juiced to about -135, but I still love the Over 1.5 total bases for Judge today. 

Aaron Judge Prop: Over 1.5 total bases (-135)

Lone Ranger

Outfielder Leody Taveras is having a breakout campaign in his third season with the Rangers.  The 23-year-old split last season between Triple-A Round Rock and Texas and slashed a pathetic .161/.207/.270 in the bigs. However, this year Taveras is proving why he was such a hyped prospect just a couple of years ago. 

In his last 13 games, Taveras is batting .442 with a .721 slugging percentage. While he rarely goes yard, he has done a terrific job of picking up extra-base hits with eight doubles in his last nine games. 

Today, Taveras and the Rangers will lock horns with the Oakland A's. The A's will send James Kaprielian and his 5.09 ERA to the mound, and if you think Kaprielian might be better at the pitcher-friendly confines of RingCentral Coliseum keep in mind that he has a 5.40 ERA with a .255 OBA in six starts at home.

Taveras has also been feasting on four-seamers and curveballs which make up about 67% of Kaprielian's offerings. I'm backing Taveras to get a double at +360.

Leody Taveras Prop: Over 0.5 doubles (+360)

MLB parlay

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