Six of today's nine games feature totals of 8.5 or higher, so we should see plenty of offense.
Our MLB player props are zeroing in on those higher totals, backing hitters like Pete Alonso to do damage on Thursday, June 26.
Best MLB player props today
Larnach o1.5 H+R+RBI (-110)
Lowe o1.5 H+R+RBI (-160)
Alonso o1.5 TB (+140)
MLB props for June 26
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-110 at DraftKings)
Trevor Larnach has produced against right-handed pitchers all season long, hitting .285 with a .182 ISO. Those are strong numbers that improve noticeably on home soil, where he sports a .306 average and .276 ISO vs. righties.
He has a fantastic matchup to build on this afternoon, as Seattle Mariners RHP Emerson Hancock has had a tough time getting left-handed bats out this year, allowing a .264 average and nearly three homers per nine innings.
The splits are very much in Larnach’s favor, and he profiles well against Hancock’s pitch mix. This is a spot where the Minnesota Twins outfielder can do real damage for our MLB picks.
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-160 at bet365)
Michael Lorenzen has held his own against left-handed bats this season, but his numbers are trending in the wrong direction. He has posted an alarming SIERA of 5.86 and a .200 ISO vs. lefties over the last month.
That’s not ideal heading into a matchup with Tampa Bay Rays slugger Brandon Lowe. He has feasted on righties this season, especially when playing on the road.
Lowe has recorded multiple H+R+RBI in 17 of 24 road games against right-handed starters, averaging 2.6 along the way. He has a 71% hit rate under such circumstances and has cleared this line in six of seven.
Lowe is also perfectly equipped for success against the Kansas City Royals veteran, hitting .347 with a near .400 wOBA against righties throwing Lorenzen's most prominent pitches over the last 30 days.
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 total bases (+140 at bet365)
Pete Alonso has been a consistent power source for the New York Mets, averaging exactly two bases per game and clearing this line in just below 50% of his appearances.
One of Alonso’s best attributes is his ability to rebound quickly after quiet performances. His longest bases drought against right-handed starters is three games, which is what he’s sitting on right now.
I like his chances of getting back on track tonight against the Atlanta Braves. Although Grant Holmes is a capable pitcher, he’s struggled against righties, especially on the road, allowing them to hit .283 with a .333 ISO away from Atlanta over the last two months.
Alonso is hitting .308 with a .256 ISO against Holmes’ two most-used pitches — the fastball and slider — spanning the last month.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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