MLB Player Props & Playoff Best Bets for Today, October 2

Our MLB betting picks see Aaron Judge stepping up in the clutch tonight, while Jack Flaherty and Jameson Taillon find the spotlight just a bit too bright.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Oct 2, 2025 • 09:33 ET • 4 min read
New York Yankees MLB Aaron Judge
Photo By - Imagn Images. New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) hits an RBI single.

We have a trio of Game 3s in the MLB postseason today as the Wild Card series wrap up, and I’ve done my research to find the top MLB player props.

Jack Flaherty starts things off, followed by my MLB picks for Jameson Taillon and Aaron Judge on October 2.

Best MLB player props today

Player BetMGM
Tigers Flaherty o1.5 ER +100
Cubs Taillon o3.5 hits allowed  +125
Yankees Judge o1.5 TB -110

Our 3 best Wild Card MLB player props for Thursday, October 2

Take a look at our best bets and expert analysis below.

Prop #1: Jack Flaherty Over 1.5 earned runs allowed

+100 at BetMGM

The Detroit Tigers hand Jack Flaherty the baseball today as they look to eliminate the Cleveland Guardians. This is definitely a lineup the right-hander is familiar with – he’s faced them three times this season, compiling a 3.94 ERA. 

In fact, Flaherty’s final regular-season start was against Cleveland, where he allowed three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He’s given up Over 1.5 earned runs in two of his last four appearances, and unfortunately, Flaherty’s ERA has been worse on the road. 

When pitching outside Comerica Park, the veteran owns a 5.27 ERA. I’m not going to say he’ll get hit around today, but 1.5 earned runs is far too low a total for me. Hammer the Over. 

  • Time: 3:08 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ABC

Prop #2: Jameson Taillon Over 3.5 hits allowed 

+125 at BetMGM

Craig Counsell will put his trust in Jameson Taillon tonight to keep the Chicago Cubs’ playoff journey alive.

The righty has been a consistent arm all season long, posting an 11-7 record and 3.68 ERA. But Taillon has given up Over 3.5 hits twice in his previous four appearances, and the San Diego Padres’ lineup has enjoyed itself at times against him. 

They’re hitting .273 across 110 at-bats versus the right-hander, including three home runs. He’s allowed 66 hits in 70 2/3 innings of work on the road in 2025 as well. He’s definitely been more hittable away from Wrigley Field. 

I expect Taillon to battle, it just won’t be a flawless outing. He may have to pitch out of trouble at times. 

  • Time: 5:08 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Prop #3: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases

-110 at BetMGM

Aaron Judge has been criticized for not performing in the heat of the postseason. While he’s yet to go deep through two games against the Boston Red Sox, the slugger is certainly doing his part. He’s 4-for-8, finishing 2-for-4 in both Game 1 and Game 2. 

The reigning AL MVP has never faced Red Sox starter Connelly Early, but that isn’t a concern when he’s swinging it this well. He also hit Over 1.5 total bases in four of his final five regular-season games, so he’s seeing the ball very well at the moment. 

The Yanks will need Judge to step up to keep this one competitive, and I do believe the captain of the Bronx Bombers will do so, no matter who is on the mound. 

  • Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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