MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, April 11

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 11, 2026 , 12:46 PM ET • 4 min read

Ed Scimia sees Jackson Merrill making noise in Colorado tonight. That and more in his Saturday trio of MLB prop picks.

San Diego Padres Jackson Merrill MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. San Diego Padres center fielder Jackson Merrill.

We have a full slate of 15 MLB games to choose from today, which offers up lots of options when it comes to prop betting from the matinee matchups to the late-night finishes on the West Coast. 

Keep reading to see my best MLB player props for Saturday, April 11, highlighted by a plus-money Jackson Merrill play.

Best MLB player props today

Player  Pick Odds
Mets Kodai Senga Over 6.5 Ks -108
Yankees Trent Grisham 1+ runs -120
Padres Jackson Merrill 1+ RBI +125
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Kodai Senga Over 6.5 strikeouts (-108)

Kodai Senga has looked sharp in his return to the New York Mets' rotation after a 2025 marred by injuries. 

He's recorded 16 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings over his first two starts, good for a rate of 12.3 per nine. That’s above his career mark of 10.2 per nine, and more like what Mets fans have expected after his outstanding rookie campaign in 2023.

The Athletics have been one of the more strikeout-heavy offenses in baseball early this season, racking up 133 Ks in their first 13 games. Senga should get plenty of swings and misses against this lineup, and that makes his strikeouts Over a great play.

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCSCA, SNY

Trent Grisham 1+ runs (-120)

While Trent Grisham has been struggling in some ways in the early going – his .158 batting average looks ugly on the Jumbotron – he’s been excelling at his most important job, which is getting on base at the top of the New York Yankees lineup.

Grisham has a .347 OBP and has scored seven times in 13 games to start the season.

Journeyman Nick Martinez has given the Tampa Bay Rays some good innings to start the year, but I don’t have confidence in the 35-year-old to keep up this start.

The Yankees have underperformed offensively, but those struggles have mostly come against southpaws, while they have a .720 OPS against righties. I like Grisham to get on base and the rest of the New York lineup to bring him home tonight.

  • Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: YES, Rays.TV

Jackson Merrill 1+ RBI (+125)

Jackson Merrill hasn’t gotten himself into a groove yet this season, but his numbers still benefit from hitting behind Fernando Tatis Jr. and in front of Manny Machado. Merrill has seven RBIs in his first 14 games despite hitting .189 in that span.

Merrill has been historically strong against right-handed pitching, putting up an .855 OPS against righties in his career. Colorado Rockies starter Ryan Feltner isn’t an imposing matchup in that regard either, with only 38 2/3 innings at the MLB level in the last two years and a 5.17 career ERA. 

Facing Feltner could get the San Diego Padres lineup going, and with Merrill in the middle of it all, I like him to pick up an RBI tonight.

  • Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Rockies.TV, Padres.TV

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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