MLB Player Props & Best Bets Today for September 26: Bieber Strikeout Total Too Tall

Look for Shane Bieber to stay Under his strikeout total for a sixth straight time. That and more in Quinn Allen's MLB prop picks for Friday.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Sep 26, 2025 • 09:12 ET • 4 min read
Toronto Blue Jays MLB Shane Bieber
Photo By - Imagn Images. Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Shane Bieber (57) on the mound.

It’s a busy Friday in the majors, and I’ve dug deep to find the top MLB player props.

Shane Bieber, Miles Mikolas, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will be included in my MLB picks for September 26.

Best MLB player props today

  • Jays Bieber u6.5 Ks (-140)
  • Cards Mikolas o2.5 ER (-140)
  • Cubs Crow-Armstrong o1.5 TB (+105)

Our 3 best MLB player props for Friday, September 26

Take a look at our best bets and expert analysis below.

Prop #1: Shane Bieber Under 6.5 strikeouts

-140 at BetMGM

The Toronto Blue Jays send Shane Bieber to the hill, and he’s pitched well since making his debut with the ball club. He owns a 3-2 record and a 3.57 ERA in six starts.

However, Bieber isn't collecting the volume of strikeouts we saw from him in years past, with 34 punchouts in 35 innings of work. He’s hit the Under in Ks in five consecutive outings. 

The Tampa Bay Rays rank 19th in the majors in most team strikeouts, but Bieber has pitched more to contact in 2025. My MLB picks believe he’ll keep his defense busy in the series opener. 

  • Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Apple TV+

Prop #2: Miles Mikolas Over 2.5 earned runs 

-140 at BetMGM

The St. Louis Cardinals begin a series with the Chicago Cubs this afternoon, and Miles Mikolas gets the ball. He’s having a forgettable campaign, pitching to an 8-10 record and 4.76 ERA.

Although the righty has actually performed better in September with a 3.00 ERA, I’m predicting him to get lit up by the Cubbies. 

Chicago is batting .310 against Mikolas across 200 at-bats. They’re extremely familiar with him, and the Cubs already torched Mikolas for eight earned runs earlier this season, including six home runs. 

He’s also been terrible on the road, compiling a 6.33 ERA, compared to a 3.42 ERA at home. It will be another poor outing for Mikolas. 

  • Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FDSN-MW, MARQ

Prop #3: Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 total bases

+105 at BetMGM

We’ll shift over to one of the best hitters in baseball, and a guy who has raked off Mikolas. Pete Crow-Armstrong is 6-for-7 lifetime against the veteran, smacking four home runs. 

Crow-Armstrong is only hitting .197 this month, but sometimes a hitter just needs a matchup like this to help him break out. Seeing Mikolas on the mound will instill confidence in PCA, and he does swing it a whole lot better at home, hitting .275 compared to .218 on the road. 

Crow-Armstrong will continue his success against Mikolas — even if it’s just one hit that leaves the ballpark. 

  • Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FDSN-MW, MARQ

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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