Phillies vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds — Sunday, July 27

Our Phillies vs. Yankees predictions expect New York to pull out the win and avoid the series sweep tonight.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jul 27, 2025 • 08:19 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
NYY
44 %
PHI
56 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
NY Yankees +115 NY Yankees +115
Read Analysis
Cody Bellinger New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Cody Bellinger reaches base in a recent game against the Blue Jays.

The New York Yankees hope to avoid a series sweep when they host the Philadelphia Phillies this afternoon at Yankee Stadium. 

Carlos Rodon has been dealing at home, and my Phillies vs. Yankees predictions expect Rodon and the Bombers to avoid the broom today. Read on for my MLB picks for Sunday, July 27. 

Phillies vs Yankees prediction

My Phillies vs Yankees best bet: Yankees moneyline (+110 at Caesars)

The New York Yankees are fighting to avoid a series sweep by the Philadelphia Phillies today, with Carlos Rodon taking the mound at Yankee Stadium. 

Carlos Rodon’s been lights-out at home, posting a 1.19 ERA over his last 35 innings and holding hitters to a .156 average across 60 2/3 frames. He’s also owned the Phillies, limiting them to a .697 OPS with just two extra-base hits and two homers in 72 career at-bats.

The Phillies, meanwhile, struggle on the road with a weak .696 OPS, setting up Rodon for a strong outing. 

The Yankees should score runs today. They’ve scored nine runs during this series and have belted 10 homers with a .877 OPS in 130 at-bats against Phillies starter Zack Wheeler.

With Rodon’s home dominance and the New York bats poised to exploit Wheeler, I’m confidently backing the Yankees at home.

Caesars QuickPick: Our Phillies vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)

Yankees moneyline

Cody Bellinger 2+ total bases

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI

The Yankees are battling to avoid a series sweep at home, and we’re riding their moneyline with two Bombers with success against Wheeler. 

Cody Bellinger is swinging a hot bat, hitting safely in three of his last five games and going 6-for-15 with five homers and a double against Wheeler. 

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is on fire too, with hits in five of his last six games and a 1.241 OPS, including two homers and three extra-base hits, against Wheeler.

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Phillies vs Yankees odds

Phillies vs Yankees live odds

Phillies vs Yankees opening odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia -126 | New York -108
  • Run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+128) | New York +1.5 (-154)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Odds courtesy of Caesars.

Phillies vs Yankees trend

The Phillies have only cashed the moneyline in 10 of their last 25 away games (-8.65 units / -26% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Yankees.

How to watch Phillies vs Yankees and game info

Location Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Date Sunday, 7-27-2025
First pitch 1:35 p.m. ET
TV NBCS-Philadelphia, YES
Phillies starting pitcher Zack Wheeler
(9-3, 2.39 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon
(10-7, 3.10 ERA)

Phillies vs Yankees latest injuries

Phillies vs Yankees weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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