The Detroit Tigers saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Saturday, but still can go into the All-Star break with a series win over the Philadelphia Phillies.
The teams finish the traditional first half of the season with the rubber game of the three-game weekend set.
The two best pitchers in MLB not named All-Stars this year are on the mound, but my Phillies vs. Tigers predictions give Detroit and Tarik Skubal the edge.
Who will win Phillies vs Tigers today: Tigers moneyline (-114)
The Philadelphia Phillies haven’t hit the five-run mark in their last three wins and have been held below five in six of seven games. They’ll likely need to do something with nothing again this afternoon against Tarik Skubal, the two-time defending Cy Young winner.
The Phillies start Zack Wheeler, who's been dominant but has pitched into the eighth inning just once this season. The bullpen is overworked and struggling.
Philly has gone to the pen 13 times in the last three games for 11 1/3 innings, giving up a 14.29 ERA and 2.12 WHIP, which could be the difference in a tight, low-scoring game.
COVERS INTEL: Tarik Skubal has been better on several measures since returning from the midseason elbow procedure. His average against fell from .222 to .214, and his strikeout rate rose from 9.3 per nine to 12.8. In his last two starts, both wins, he’s fanned 14.7 per nine with a 1.64 ERA and 0.727 WHIP. 
Phillies vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (+124)
This seems counterintuitive, but Skubal’s vulnerability to the long ball may produce early runs.
Meanwhile, Wheeler has been the center of drama. Snubbed for the All-Star Game in his home park despite a 9-1 record, he turned down a Friday invite as an injury replacement, saying he was “disrespected” and “a fifth option”. He could pitch like he has something to prove today, a potentially disruptive change in his usual preparation.
With Philly’s pen and a Detroit bullpen that’s also put in plenty of work lately, the Under odds seem too expensive. We’ll go Over if we can get at least +120.
- ML/RL bets: 25-35, -6.98 units
- Over/Under bets: 35-29, +3.53 units
Phillies vs Tigers weather
Phillies vs Tigers odds
- Moneyline: Phillies +104 | Tigers -114
- Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-210) | Tigers -1.5 (+175)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Phillies vs Tigers trend
The Tigers have gone Over their team total in 11 of their last 14 games for +8.0 units and a 50% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Tigers.
How to watch Phillies vs Tigers and game info
| Location | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Sunday, July 12, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCS-Philadelphia, DSN |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Zack Wheeler (9-1, 2.28 ERA) |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Tarik Skubal (5-4, 3.06 ERA) |
Phillies vs Tigers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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