It's been 25 days since Bam Adebayo scored 83 points in the Miami Heat's rout of the Washington Wizards.
Since then, things have not gone well for either team. Washington has gone 1-11, although they've covered six of the 12 games. Miami has gone 3-8 and 4-7 against the number.
Miami has just the thing to snap out of its spiral—the Wizards. The Heat has played seven top-five seeded teams over the 11-game slide and just two opponents with losing records.
That's why my Wizards vs. Heat predictions and NBA picks call for the Heat to cover.
Wizards vs Heat prediction
Wizards vs Heat best bet: Heat -18 (-110)
The Miami Heat is giving up a big number on the point spread, but the Heat have been consistently dominant against bottom-dwelling teams. Miami has covered its last five games as double-digit favorites, winning by an average of 22 points.
Miami has also covered two-thirds of the time when coming off a loss in the last game, going 24-12 and clearing the spread by an average of 2.2 points.
Miami has a spot in the play-in tournament and is looking to improve its seeding. The Washington Wizards are playing out the string. Look for the gap in motivation to help propel the Heat.
Miami will be without its scoring leader—Norman Powell—who is out until at least April 7 with illness. Washington, however, has been decimated by injury. The Wizards' starting lineup for the last game featured two rookies and another player who was starting just his 17th game in the NBA.
And three of the starters from that game—Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, and Tristan Vukcevic—are questionable for Saturday's game. Alex Sarr, who missed the last game, is also questionable, as is Justin Champagnie. They join the five players already ruled out for the game on Washington's injury report.
While Washington has been covering lately, the Wizards are not performing well against top teams. Washington has failed to cover its last three as a double-digit underdog, losing by an average of 25.3 points. They've also failed to cover the last three when getting 15 or more, losing by 28.7.
Wizards vs Heat same-game parlay
There should be plenty of points in this one. Miami plays at the fastest pace in the league, and Washington is at No. 6. The totals cutoff is high, but Miami has had plenty of cutoffs in the 240s.
The Heat has gone Over five of its last seven and in eight of the last 10 overall. Washington has been Over in seven of the last 10.
All eyes will be on Bam Adebayo to see if he can hang another 83 on the hapless Wizards. Tyler Herro has the higher scoring average by more than a point per game, however, and he's topped 30 in two of the last three.
Wizards vs Heat SGP
- Heat -18
- Over 246 points
- Tyler Herro Over 24.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Heat Check!
The odds on Jaime Jaquez hitting multiple threes seem out of whack. He's taken five or more attempts in the last five games and made at least two in the last six. It's a no-brainer to take him in an up-tempo game at that price.
After the entire team got together to get Bam Adebayo enough shots to score 83 the last time they played Washington, look for Bam to do some work on the boards to pay them back this time around. He's hit double figures in rebounds in his last five.
Pelle Larsson will be getting Powell's minutes and had six assists last game, taking his spot in the starting lineup. He also has a five-assist game in the last four outings.
Wizards vs Heat SGP
- Tyler Herro Over 24.5 points
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 1.5 made threes
- Bam Adebayo Over 11.5 rebounds
- Pelle Larsson Over 3.5 assists
Wizards vs Heat odds
- Spread: Wizards +16 | Heat -16
- Moneyline: Wizards +1041 | Heat -2000
- Over/Under: Over 244 | Under 244
Wizards vs Heat betting trend to know
The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Wizards vs. Heat.
How to watch Wizards vs Heat
| Location | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL |
| Date | Saturday, April 4, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Monumental SN, FDSN Sun |
Wizards vs Heat latest injuries
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