Phillies vs Marlins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Cristopher Sanchez continues to showcase elite metrics for the Phillies, and we expect the southpaw to help lead his team to another win in Miami.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jun 19, 2025 • 12:42 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Cristopher Sanchez Philadelphia Phillies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Cristopher Sanchez (61) throws a pitch.

The Philadelphia Phillies have won two of the first three games against the Miami Marlins in their four-game set, and Philly will look to make it three of four with Cristopher Sanchez toeing the rubber tonight. 

My Phillies vs. Marlins predictions anticipate Sanchez holding Miami in check to pave the way for a road win. 

Read more in our MLB picks for Thursday, June 19.

Phillies vs Marlins prediction

My Phillies vs Marlins best bet: Phillies moneyline (-137 at Pinnacle)

Philadelphia Phillies left-hander Cristopher Sanchez has been flying under the radar over the past three years. The southpaw's 3.29 ERA ranks 12th among qualified starters, while his 3.15 xFIP is fourth.

Although the Miami Marlins have been solid against southpaws with a 13th‑ranked wOBA, the Fish also have the sixth‑highest BABIP (.313), which will likely prove to be unsustainable moving forward.

Meanwhile, Philadelphia sends a solid lineup to the dish against right‑handed arms, sporting a ninth‑ranked wOBA and the sixth‑lowest strikeout percentage. I expect the Phillies to put runs on the board against Miami starter Edward Cabrera; his 4.49 ERA and 4.05 xFIP across 248 2/3 innings trail way behind Sanchez’s sterling marks.

Sanchez has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his past four starts, so back the Phillies at loanDepot Park tonight.

Phillies vs Marlins same-game parlay (SGP)

Phillies -1.5

Cristopher Sanchez 6+ strikeouts

Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI

Sanchez has fanned six or more batters in five of his past nine starts, posting a rock-solid 9.3 K/9 and 24.7 K%. 

Philly designated hitter Kyle Schwarber is a staple in the heart of the order, tallying 65 hits, 51 runs, and 53 RBI through 74 games this season. He’s also teed off on righties to the tune of a .362 wOBA, .289 ISO, and .851 OPS since joining the Phillies in 2022.

Phillies vs Marlins odds

Phillies vs Marlins live odds

Phillies vs Marlins opening odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia -180 | Miami +150
  • Run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+105) | Miami +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-110)

Phillies vs Marlins trend

Philadelphia has hit the moneyline in 31 of its last 48 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Marlins.

How to watch Phillies vs Marlins and game info

Location loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Date Thursday, 6-19-2025
First pitch 6:40 p.m. ET
TV NBC Sports Philadelphia, FDSNFL
Phillies starting pitcher Cristopher Sanchez
(5-2, 3.05 ERA)
Marlins starting pitcher Edward Cabrera
(2-2, 4.10 ERA)

Phillies vs Marlins latest injuries

Phillies vs Marlins weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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