The dogs are barking this Saturday.
We have 15 MLB games on the card, with several underdogs who shouldn't be, and some massive favorites we must fade on price alone.
Read on for a fun day of MLB predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, June 13.
MLB moneyline picks for June 13
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Cardinalsvs  Twins |
+104 |
 Yankeesvs  Blue Jays |
+117 |
 Marinersvs  Nationals |
+104 |
 Marlinsvs  Pirates |
+122 |
 Padresvs  Orioles |
+113 |
 Tigersvs  Guardians |
+117 |
 Dodgersvs  White Sox |
+178 |
 Rangersvs  Red Sox |
-100 |
 Bravesvs  Mets |
+104 |
 Diamondbacksvs  Reds |
+104 |
 Astrosvs  Royals |
+108 |
 Philliesvs  Brewers |
+133 |
 Rockiesvs  Athletics |
+170 |
 Cubsvs  Giants |
-104 |
 Raysvs  Angels |
-122 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 6-13.
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Expert MLB moneyline picks for June 13
Cardinals vs Twins: Cardinals (+104)
Cardinals win probability: 49%
Minnesota hitters strike out 21.5% of the time against lefties. Matthew Liberatore holds a steady 4.68 SIERA and a low 0.93 home run rate. St. Louis relievers have a strong 3.10 SIERA, giving them the upper hand late.
Yankees vs Blue Jays: Blue Jays (+117)
Blue Jays win probability: 46.1%
Kevin Gausman gives Toronto a real pitching edge at home. The Yankees' offense has slowed down recently, posting a 106 wRC+. New York starter Cam Schlittler has a 4.50 FIP, making the home underdog the smart play.
Mariners vs Nationals: Nationals (+104)
Nationals win probability: 49%
Cade Cavalli owns a solid 4.61 SIERA for Washington. He faces a Seattle offense that has a high 20.1% strikeout rate over the last two weeks. Both teams have matching 107 wRC+, making the home team a plus-money price great value.
Marlins vs Pirates: Marlins (+122)
Marlins win probability: 45%
Pittsburgh rookie Bubba Chandler has a high 5.36 SIERA and gives up 1.80 home runs per nine innings. Miami's bullpen is much safer with a 3.81 SIERA compared to Pittsburgh's weak 4.11 bullpen mark. Back the Miami bats to come out on top.
Padres vs Orioles: Padres (+113)
Padres win probability: 46.9%
Baltimore starter Trey Gibson is overpriced with a poor 6.34 SIERA and a handful of strikeouts. Randy Vasquez has been much more reliable with a slightly better 5.70 SIERA. Take the better pitching numbers with the Padres on the road.
Tigers vs Guardians: Guardians (+117)
Guardians win probability: 46.1%
Tarik Skubal automatically makes the Tigers the favorites on the road. However, Joey Cantillo holds his own with a 4.46 SIERA. The real advantage is Cleveland's excellent bullpen, which has a sharp 3.59 SIERA to stop Detroit late.
Dodgers vs White Sox: White Sox (+178)
White Sox win probability: 41.5%
Rules prevent taking the Dodgers at a short price of -194. Chicago's offense has actually matched the Dodgers lately, with both teams earning a 122 wRC+. At a high +178 price, home field variance makes the White Sox worth backing.
Rangers vs Red Sox: Rangers (-100)
Rangers win probability: 50%
Texas is an excellent choice at an even pick'em price. The Rangers' offense is rolling with a 121 wRC+ over the last two weeks. Meanwhile, Boston has completely gone cold with a weak 82 team wRC+ and is hard to trust.
Braves vs Mets: Mets (+104)
Mets win probability: 49%
Sean Manaea matches up well against an Atlanta offense that has an ordinary 102 wRC+ across the past two weeks. Atlanta starter Martin Perez has a high 5.09 SIERA. The Mets bullpen carries a strong 3.33 SIERA to protect the lead late, and are a home dog worth backing.
Diamondbacks vs Reds: Reds (+104)
Reds win probability: 49%
Rhett Lowder gets the start for Cincinnati at home. He faces an Arizona offense that has completely flatlined. The Diamondbacks have a league-worst 65 wRC+ over the last 14 days, making the home underdog the right play.
Astros vs Royals: Astros (+108)
Astros win probability: 48.1%
Mike Burrows gets the nod for Houston. The biggest edge for the Astros is their stellar bullpen. Houston relievers have a 3.14 SIERA, which will shut down Kansas City late in the game. Take the plus-money road team.
Phillies vs Brewers: Phillies (+133)
Phillies win probability: 42.9%
The market is making a mistake by pricing the Phillies as big underdogs. Aaron Nola is a top-tier pitcher compared to Shane Drohan. Philadelphia's bullpen supports him with a strong 3.22 SIERA to keep Milwaukee quiet.
Rockies vs Athletics: Rockies (+170)
Rockies win probability: 37%
The Athletics are too expensive to back here. Colorado starter Kyle Freeland has a 4.93 SIERA, which matches up tightly with Jeffrey Springs' 5.00 SIERA. At this large a price, the Rockies and Freeland are too difficult to ignore.
Cubs vs Giants: Cubs (-104)
Cubs win probability: 51%
Ben Brown gives Chicago a stable advantage over Trevor McDonald's 4.21 SIERA. San Francisco's bullpen is in deep trouble, posting a slate-worst 5.21 SIERA over the last two weeks. Back the Cubs at a great price.
Rays vs Angels: Rays (-122)
Rays win probability: 55%
Tampa Bay has a major pitching advantage. Angels starter Jose Soriano struggles with a high 5.69 SIERA and a poor 7.59 BB/9 walk rate. The Rays will score early and exploit a mediocre Angels bullpen.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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