MLB Predictions: Moneyline Picks for Every Game on Thursday, July 24

Robert Criscola breaks down the MLB schedule for Thursday, July 24 and offers his favorite MLB predictions for every game on the slate.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Jul 24, 2025 • 09:38 ET • 4 min read
MLB Sonny Gray Cardinals
Photo By - Imagn Images. Sonny Gray of the St. Louis Cardinals in his wind-up.

Today is a travel day for over half the league, but MLB bettors still have five games to choose from on Thursday, July 24.

If you're interested in betting on any or all of them, check out my MLB picks as I make moneyline selections for all five affairs.

MLB moneyline picks for July 24

Matchup Pick
Orioles Orioles vs Guardians Guardians Orioles (+106)
Blue Jays Blue Jays vs Tigers Tigers Blue Jays (+106)
Padres Padres vs Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals (-134)
Athletics A's vs Astros Astros Astros (-130)
 Mariners Mariners vs Angels Angels Angels (-138)

Lines courtesy of FanDuel.

Expert MLB moneyline picks for July 24

Orioles vs Guardians: Orioles (+106)

Charlie Morton was slowly lowering his ERA until a disastrous trip to hitter-friendly Steinbrenner Field last week. I see him bouncing back vs. a Guardians lineup that's 27th by runs per game at home this year (3.75).

The Orioles can put up a crooked number vs. the perfectly mediocre Logan Allen (4.06 ERA), who is backed by the 23rd-ranked bullpen by xFIP this month (4.40).

Blue Jays vs Tigers: Blue Jays (+106)

It's tough to back the Tigers right now, as they've dropped nine of the last 10 games. The Blue Jays are 14-4 in July and look poised to add another W.

Both Eric Lauer and Reese Olson have done a fine job of run prevention this year, though neither has made a habit of pitching deep into ballgames. If this comes down to the bullpens, Toronto has an outsized edge based on ERA rankings (sixth vs. 21st).

Padres vs Cardinals: Cardinals (-134)

It's been an uninspiring return for Yu Darvish this season (6.08 ERA), while Sonny Gray just got lit up in Arizona. But I believe the latter will bounce back here, as the Padres offense doesn't travel well (3.85 runs per game, 25th).

The Cardinals are ninth by runs per game at home (4.76) and have the relief corps to keep pace with San Diego based on xFIP this month (second at 3.42 vs. 21st at 4.34 for the Friars).

A's vs Astros: Astros (-130)

The Astros will roll with another bullpen game as their rotation is in shambles, while the Athletics turn to struggling ace Luis Severino.

While Severino has been much better on the road than at home this year, Houston's second-ranked relief corps by xFIP gives them the edge in what should be a low-scoring game.

Mariners vs Angels: Angels (-138)

Yusei Kikuchi could make the difference and keep the Mariners' bats off balance early, as the team is hitting a collective .215 over 93 at-bats against him.

I don't trust Logan Evans on the road (5.06 ERA), even with Seattle's potent bats behind him. These bullpens will also throw gasoline on the fire (24th and 28th in xFIP in 2025), making the Over worth a look, too.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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