MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best Playoff HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Thursday, October 2

With seasons on the line, count on Fernando Tatis Jr., Aaron Judge & Jose Ramirez to do what's needed for their teams to advance.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Oct 2, 2025 • 11:02 ET • 4 min read
Fernando Tatis Jr. San Diego Padres MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. San Diego Padres right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. (23) hits a two-run home run during the second inning.

The Wild Card series wraps up today, with three teams looking to book their spot in the next round of the playoffs.

My MLB player props analysis will include Fernando Tatis Jr, Jose Ramirez, and Aaron Judge.

Best MLB home run props today

Player DraftKings
Padres Fernando Tatis Jr. +386
Guardians Jose Ramirez +391
Yankees Aaron Judge +242
💲 All three parlayed +8061

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HR Prop #1: Fernando Tatis Jr.

+386 at DraftKings

Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres reach a pivotal Game 3 against the Chicago Cubs tonight. They will be up against big right-hander Jameson Taillon, who is never an easy arm to face. But, Tatis Jr. has had success against Taillon in the past.

He’s 2-for-6 lifetime with a homer, but none have come at Wrigley Field. After launching 25 home runs this season, Fernando Tatis Jr. is still searching for his first in the Windy City. With San Diego’s season hanging in the balance, he’s due to break that drought especially after closing the regular season with three homers in his final four games.

There is no better time for Tatis Jr. to rise to the occasion, and it may just be in Game 3.

HR Prop #2: Jose Ramirez

+391 at DraftKings

Jose Ramirez always steps up to the plate and delivers for the Cleveland Guardians, and I’m eyeing him to do so in Game 3 at Progressive Field against the Detroit Tigers. Jack Flaherty takes the bump for the hosts, and Ramirez is 7-for-27 lifetime against Flaherty with a pair of home runs.

The veteran put up impressive power numbers in the regular season, going yard 30 times while hitting .283. While he only has one hit in this series so far, Ramirez did draw three walks on Wednesday.

He’s swung it very well against the Tigers this season, batting .347 with two homers. Ramirez also has 24 bombs off right-handed pitchers. It wouldn’t surprise me if he took Flaherty deep in this series decider.

HR Prop #3: Aaron Judge

+242 at DraftKings

It honestly feels like just a matter of time until Aaron Judge goes yard. Hopefully this isn’t his last opportunity to smack a homer as the New York Yankees need to win to advance to the ALDS, but Judge has looked solid in this series so far.

He’s 4-for-8 through the first two games, and naturally, Aaron Judge crushed 53 home runs in 2025. Five of them against the Boston Red Sox. There's no better stage for the Yankees captain than Yankee Stadium, where he’s primed to keep delivering.

The Yanks need their best guy to deliver tonight, and he may just come up clutch.

Today’s HR parlay

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Jose Ramirez

Aaron Judge

Today’s most popular HR bets

  1. Aaron Judge, Yankees
  2. Jose Ramirez, Guardians
  3. Riley Greene, Tigers

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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