We’re back at it tonight with a full docket of 15 games on the MLB slate.
Today’s MLB player props analysis will include Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, and Riley Greene in terrific matchups to go yard tonight.
Read on for my MLB player props for Friday, September 5.
Best MLB home run props today
Aaron Judge (+190)
Shohei Ohtani (+185)
Riley Greene (+300)- 💲 +3206 parlay💲
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HR Prop #1: Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees begin a crucial series with the Toronto Blue Jays tonight, and his squad will be relying on him to make some noise offensively. Thankfully, it’s a matchup that Judge will be looking forward to.
The first place Jays send Kevin Gausman to the mound, and the reigning AL MVP has made his life a nightmare in the past. Judge is 16-for-45 lifetime with six home runs. He’s now smacked 43 round-trippers this year while batting .322.
The slugger has two long balls in his last five games, and he’s taken right-handed hurlers deep 31 times in 2025.
HR Prop #2: Shohei Ohtani
We now shift over to the reigning National League MVP. Shohei Ohtani continues to produce the goods offensively, cracking 46 bombs. He just went deep on Tuesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates and has five hits across his last three contests.
The Los Angeles Dodgers begin a series with the Baltimore Orioles this evening, and it’s Dean Kremer on the bump. His ERA sits at 4.52, allowing 21 home runs in just 27 appearances. Although Ohtani is 0-for-4 lifetime against him, it’s a small sample size, and Kremer struggles with consistency.
Ohtani has left the yard 34 times off righties, and he’s also smacked 21 round-trippers on the road this year.
HR Prop #3: Riley Greene
Riley Greene is having an outstanding campaign for the Detroit Tigers, who are expected to be a dangerous team once the postseason rolls around. He’s smashed 32 home runs this year – a career-high. Greene is a force to be reckoned with at the dish.
The outfielder went deep six times in August, and although he’s yet to put one in the bleachers this month, Greene heads into tonight’s matchup with confidence. He’s 2-for-4 lifetime off Chicago White Sox righty Shane Smith.
Smith just surrendered two home runs last time out, and he has given up 11 bombs to left-handed hitters and only four to right-handed batters. Greene could find No. 33 in the series opener.
Today’s HR parlay
Aaron Judge
Shohei Ohtani
Riley Greene
Today’s most popular HR bets
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers
- Kyle Schwarber, Phillies
- Aaron Judge, Yankees
Betting info courtesy of DraftKings
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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