MLB Home Run Props, Picks & Odds Today for May 7: Bombers Away

We're doubling up on Yankees sluggers today as Aaron Judge and Ben Rice are both in good spots to find the bleachers against Dylan Cease. We're rounding out our home run props with Kyle Tucker.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
May 7, 2025 • 12:15 ET • 4 min read
Ben Rice Aaron Judge New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Yankees sluggers Ben Rice and Aaron Judge celebrate a home run.

Kyle Tucker has had tons of success against Robbie Ray in his career and I’ll explain why that could continue in MLB player props analysis. 

Aaron Judge and Ben Rice will also be included in my home run picks as I double up on New York Yankees bats against Dylan Cease and the San Diego Padres on Wednesday, May 7.

Best MLB home run props today

  • Cubs Tucker (+500)
  • Yankees Judge (+190)
  • Yankees Rice (+390)

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HR picks for May 7

Kyle Tucker (+500 at DraftKings)

I had Kyle Tucker in my picks on Tuesday, but he didn’t go deep. That being said, the slugger was 2-for-4 and he’s up against San Francisco Giants lefty Robbie Ray, a pitcher who has always been prone to the long ball.

In 10 at-bats, Tucker is 4-for-10 with a pair of homers, showing the same-handed matchup hasn't been a deterrent. Ray has already given up five bombs in only seven starts as well.

Tucker is up to nine long balls and 31 RBI and has left the yard twice in his last six games. The Chicago Cubs outfielder is tearing the cover off the baseball in May, batting .348. Considering how he’s swinging it, it’s only a matter of time until Tucker smacks his 10th home run of the season. 

There’s also no better time for it because he has dominated Ray. Four of his bombs have come against left-handed pitchers as well. 

Aaron Judge (+190 at DraftKings)

I’ve included Aaron Judge in my daily home run picks more than anyone else, but is that really a surprise? He is hitting over .400 with an MLB-best 12 home runs. In fact, Judge leads the majors in numerous offensive categories. He’s been simply impossible to get out, and the reigning AL MVP has already gone deep twice in May. 

The New York Yankees face the San Diego Padres right-hander Dylan Cease tonight. Judge has had no shortage of success against him, going 4-for-10 with one homer and four RBI. Seven of his bombs are versus right-handed pitchers, too. 

Judge left the ballpark on Tuesday and my MLB picks expect that to happen again here. 

Ben Rice (+390 at DraftKings)

We’ll pinpoint another Yankee in today’s picks. Rice has been a pleasant surprise in New York, batting .264 with eight homers, and has been the perfect replacement for Anthony Rizzo at first base. 

Rice was 2-for-4 on Tuesday with a pair of doubles. Although he hasn’t gone deep in six games, he’s hitting over .300 against righties with six homers. 

Rice already has three doubles in this series versus San Diego. He’ll get under one enough to smack homer No. 9 tonight at Yankee Stadium. 

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  1. James Wood, Nationals (+800)
  2. Kyle Tucker, Cubs (+550)
  3. Brent Rooker, A's (+500)

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications. He's currently a senior editor at ClutchPoints and has published work for numerous betting websites in the past. 

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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