We've got a loaded MLB Wednesday slate, and our experts present their top MLB picks for the evening.
Check out our MLB expert picks for July 8, anchored by the Colorado Rockies at a big moneyline number.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| +114 | |
| -125 | |
| +217 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Royals vs Mets Over 9.5
Price: 47¢ (+114) at Polymarket
I'm sticking with this series when it comes to runs. Last night's game was about as loose as it gets, and the Kansas City Royals' offense has piled up 31 runs over its last two games.
The biggest angle here is both bullpens. I backed the Royals yesterday because the New York Mets' bullpen was already decimated. After last night's game, it's essentially running on fumes with as many as six arms likely unavailable.
The Royals are also down three relievers and don't have the starting pitching edge, with Steven Cruz opening before likely turning things over to another right-hander in Randy Dobnak for the bulk of the innings. If Christian Scott falters for the Mets, this game could get out of hand in a hurry.
THE BAT projects 10.55 runs, but I'm not convinced the market has fully priced in these bullpen situations yet.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- How to watch: ROYL, SNY
Todd Cordell's expert pick: Orioles moneyline
Price: 56¢ (-125) at Polymarket
Colin Rea owns a poor 4.74 ERA and looks even worse by xERA, coming in at 5.50. He has not had a good season, and it’s likely going to get worse against the Baltimore Orioles.
The Orioles hit righties well, especially at home. They rank sixth in OPS, fifth in wOBA, and second in hard hit rate in Baltimore.
They should score in bulk en route to a win.
- Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
- How to watch: MASN, MARQ
Colby Marchio's expert pick: Rockies moneyline
Price: 32¢ (+217) at Polymarket
From a pure value standpoint, the Colorado Rockies at an above 2-to-1 price tag against Roki Sasaki is a complete misprice.
According to Batters-Box’s current season dataset, the Rockies own the highest-rated offense on the slate, featuring five strongly rated bats and four with elite ratings. Yes, the entire lineup is in a great spot against the Dodgers right-hander.
On top of that, Colorado has been absolutely humming over the last week, posting a 155 wRC+ over its last six games. Ryan Feltner takes the mound this evening and has been very solid in his last three starts, sporting a 2.50 ERA.
At that price, backing one of the hottest offenses in baseball feels like a no-brainer.
- Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- How to watch: Rockies.TV, SNLA
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| CIN ML | -131 |
| Read analysis in our Phillies vs. Reds predictions. | |
| TB ML | -116 |
| Read analysis in our Yankees vs. Rays predictions. | |
| MIL/STL u8.5 | -121 |
| Read analysis in our Brewers vs. Cardinals predictions. | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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