Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

JD Yonke doesn't have much faith in tonight's pitching duel, and his Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers predictions expect plenty of offense.

JD Yonke - Contributor at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Contributor
May 19, 2025 • 09:47 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
LAD
58 %
AZ
42 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o9.5 (-115)
Read Analysis
Brandon Pfaadt Arizona Diamondbacks
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pfaadt gets pulled from the game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks head to Southern California tonight for a three-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers. 

Brandon Pfaadt and Landon Knack take the mound, and my Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers predictions expect runs aplenty. with

Read why in my MLB picks for Monday, May 19.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers prediction

My Diamondbacks vs Dodgers best bet: Over 9.5 (-110 at Caesars)

The atmosphere at Chavez Ravine is ripe for runs on Monday with temperatures in the 70s and winds of 8-to-11 mph blowing out to right-center field. 

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been prone to high-scoring games at home, going 10-1 O/U across their last 11 games at Dodger Stadium. 

Brandon Pfaadt takes the mound for the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks. The 26-year-old’s 3.73 ERA is encouraging, but his 5.63 xERA and 4.41 FIP indicate regression. 

The biggest concern with the righty is he allows too much hard contact, ranking in the 11th percentile in average exit velocity and the 26th percentile in barrel rate. 

L.A. is 22-10 against right-handed starters this year and has a 129 wRC+ (fourth) and .357 wOBA (second) against them since May 1.  Landon Knack gets the nod for the home team, and he's been battered around to the tune of a 5.89 ERA and 4.98 xERA. 

Similarly to his counterpart, Knack also allows a worrisome amount of hard contact (third percentile average exit velocity and hard-hit rate, 19th percentile barrel rate). 

Arizona has been positively raking, leading the Majors in wRC+ (135) and wOBA (.371) against RHP since the start of May. 

When things make it to the bullpen, Arizona has been burned in relief (5.34 ERA) while L.A.’s relievers are taxed after its last four starting pitchers averaged 4 1/3 frames. 

The Dodgers have been playing to the Over at home, and they’ll need to give a strong reason to think otherwise before expectations change. 

Caesars QuickPick: Our Diamondbacks vs Dodgers same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 9.5

Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 total bases

Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 total bases

Pfaadat has struggled against lefties with a career .283/.336/.485 slash line. The Dodgers have two good ones ready to make him pay. 

Shohei Ohtani has a 197 wRC+ against RHP and has recorded 2+ total bases in seven of his last 10 games. 

Freddie Freeman also mashes RHP (208 wRC+) and is in fine form, averaging 2.1 total bases across his last 10 outings. 

Double your winnings for 10 separate bets at Caesars

Sign up for a Caesars account — using our exclusive promo code BASEBALLDYW — and get 10x profit boost tokens worth 100% each!

Caesars Sportsbook

Register now to collect your Double your winning tokens, or learn more with our comprehensive Caesars Sportsbook review.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers odds

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers live odds

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers opening odds

  • Moneyline: Arizona +125 | Los Angeles -150
  • Run line: Arizona +1.5 (-175) | Los Angeles -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-105) | Under 9.5 (-115)

Odds courtesy of Caesars.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers trend

The Dodgers have hit the Over in 10 of their last 11 home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Diamondbacks vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Monday, 5-19-2025
First pitch 10:10 p.m. ET
TV ARID, SNLA
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Brandon Pfaadt
(6-3, 3.73 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Landon Knack
(2-1, 5.89 ERA)

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers latest injuries

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers weather

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

JD Yonke
Contributor

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo