Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Picks & Best Bets for NLCS Game 4

It's do-or-die time for the Milwaukee Brewers, and our MLB betting picks believe William Contreras will answer the call with a home run tonight.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Oct 17, 2025 • 08:23 ET • 4 min read
Milwaukee Brewers William Contreras MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Milwaukee Brewers catcher William Contreras (24) hits a home run.

The NLCS continues Friday with the Los Angeles Dodgers looking to complete their sweep of the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 4.

I have compiled my two best Brewers vs. Dodgers home run props for Friday, October 17, featuring William Contreras and Freddie Freeman.

Read on for my free MLB picks for tonight.

Brewers home run pick

William Contreras (+400 at Caesars)

Right-hander Shohei Ohtani takes the mound for the Los Angeles Dodgers. While Ohtani is a difficult pitcher to face, he has surrendered a home run in two of his past four home starts.

If anyone on the Milwaukee Brewers is going to take him deep, it’s likely to be William Contreras. He has served as the Brewers’ emotional leader this postseason and is one of just three players to homer in multiple playoff games.

Contreras hits right-handers particularly well. During the regular season, 14 of his 17 home runs came against right-handed pitching. His slugging percentage was .422 against right-handers, compared to .388 against lefties.

Dodgers home run pick

Freddie Freeman (+475 at Caesars)

The Brewers’ pitching situation remains unclear, as they’re likely to throw anyone available with their backs against the wall and their starting rotation depleted due to injuries and usage.

Regardless of who is on the mound, the Dodgers’ Freddie Freeman can hit one out of the park.

His splits were nearly identical this season, regardless of pitcher handedness. He posted a .506 SLG and .855 OPS against left-handers, and a .500 SLG with an .874 OPS against right-handers.

Freeman has also been Los Angeles’ best hitter in this series. Through the first three games, he owns a .667 SLG and a 1.024 OPS with a homer in Game 1.

How to watch Brewers vs Dodgers and Game 4 info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Friday, October 17, 2025
First pitch 8:38 p.m. ET
TV TBS

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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