Truist Championship Sleeper Picks and Predictions: Harris English Headlines Long Shots

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: May 7, 2026 , 07:03 AM ET • 4 min read

Parker's prediction: Harris English headlines my favorite Truist Championship sleepers and longshots this week.

PGA Tour, Harris English
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Harris English during the second round of the 2025 Masters.

When looking for a long shot to round out this week’s golf picks betting card, I have you covered with a trio my favorite Truist Championship long shots picks.

The storied Quail Hollow Club hosts this week’s Signature Event, and Harris English is one of my go-to Truist Championship picks ahead of Round 1.

Truist Championship sleeper picks

Golfer BetMGM
Harris English to win +4500
Alex Smalley to win +6600
Corey Conners to win +6600

Picks were made on Tuesday, May 5 at 3:50 p.m. ET.

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Truist Championship sleeper predictions

Sleeper pick to win: Harris English
+4500 at BetMGM

This will be the eighth trip to Quail Hollow for Harris English, and the five-time PGA Tour winner has a T3 in the 2023 Wells Fargo and T2 in the 2025 PGA Championship on his resume.

English also carded a T4 in the RBC Heritage three weeks ago and his scoring statistics are solid with ranks of 35th in adjusted scoring average, 16th in birdie-or-better percentage and 40th in bogey avoidance this season.

Alternative pick: Harris English Top 20 (+138 at BetMGM)

Sleeper pick to win: Alex Smalley
+6600 at BetMGM

The statistics and results across Alex Smalley's past eight events don’t match his odds. He’s carded six Top 25s during the heater, including an impressive T7 last week, and Smalley’s also gained true strokes across the board during the run while ranking 10th in this field on approach and 12th in tee-to-green play.

He's also had success at Quail Hollow with a T18 here in 2023 and T28 in the 2025 PGA Championship.

Alternative pick: Alex Smalley Top 20 (+180 at BetMGM)

Covers golf betting tools

Sleeper pick to win: Corey Conners
+6600 at BetMGM

The Canadian has carded a T8-T13-T19 run while gaining true strokes on approach across his past three trips to Quail Hollow, and he’s gained true strokes putting in consecutive events leading into the 2026 Truist.

Additionally, while Corey Conners has just a pair of Top 15 finishes this season, putting it all together at a track he’s had prior success at is in the elite ball-striker’s bag.

Alternative pick: Corey Conners Top 20 (+180 at BetMGM)

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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