After a pair of events in the United States, LIV travels back overseas to Real Club Valderrama in Sotogrande, Spain.
Will it be a special homecoming for 43-year-old Sergio Garcia, who has a ton of experience at the course? Or, will one of the usual suspects wind up atop the leaderboard?
We break down his odds and more in our full LIV Golf Valderrama — now technically called LIV Golf Andalucia — betting preview below, including golf odds, free golf betting picks, and more.
Best LIV Golf bonuses
Looking to do some golf betting? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000! Sign Up Now
B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets! Sign Up Now
*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
LIV Golf Valderrama picks and predictions
Dustin Johnson (+1,000 — 0.5 units)
After his T10 finish at the U.S. Open, Dustin Johnson returns to LIV Golf in an attempt to secure his third win. Still the king of LIV, DJ once again finds himself toward the top of the odds board for this week’s event.
DJ won at LIV Golf Tulsa due to his excellent putting. His hot putter should continue on Valderrama’s bentgrass greens, something he is all too familiar with.
The most famous course with bentgrass greens is Augusta National, a venue where he has consistently succeeded. Not only did he win the 2020 Masters Tournament, but he has finished inside the Top 12 in six of his past eight appearances.
It is also no secret that DJ can drive the hell out of the ball. In his last full season on TOUR, he ranked seventh in average driving distance.
Sergio Garcia (+1,200 — 0.3 units)
This will be the chalkiest/squarest pick of the week as almost everyone will be on Sergio Garcia in his home nation this week — and for good reason. Not only has Garcia played this course professionally more than anyone else in the world, but he won the Andalucia Masters here three (3!) times over the tournament’s eight-year run.
Therefore, it is not surprising to learn that this is Garcia’s favorite course in the world, something he has highlighted in interviews numerous times before. Garcia enters this tournament in good form, coming straight off his T27 finish at the U.S. Open.
While he has yet to secure a win on LIV, he keeps flirting with it given his runner-up finish in Singapore and a ninth-place finish in Tucson. This week is essentially a “home game” for Sergio, and he will be by far the most comfortable guy out there.
Bryson DeChambeau (+1,600 — 0.2 units)
Speaking of long hitters, you cannot have this conversation without Bryson DeChambeau. Notoriously known as the longest hitter among professional golfers, regardless of which tour we are talking about, DeChambeau’s driver should shorten this course.
Entering this week in the best form in quite some time, DeChambeau finished T4 at the PGA Championship and T20 at the U.S. Open and has finished in the Top 10 in each of his past two LIV events. His game is turning around after a few brutal years, and now could be the time for him to capitalize.
The question this week for DeChambeau will be how he handles the bentgrass greens. In his last full season on TOUR, he finished T8 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, T34 at the Masters Tournament, T46 at the second Masters Tournament (this was the COVID make-up year), and T55 at the AT&T Byron Nelson.
All three of those courses sport bentgrass greens.
Odds to win LIV Golf Valderrama
| Golfer | Odds to win LIV Golf Valderrama |
|---|---|
| Cameron Smith | +700 |
| Brooks Koepka | +800 |
| Sergio Garcia | +1,200 |
| Dustin Johnson | +1,200 |
| Talor Gooch | +1,600 |
| Mito Pereira | +1,800 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +1,800 |
| Patrick Reed | +2,000 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +2,000 |
| Harold Varner III | +2,000 |
| Charles Howell | +2,200 |
| Peter Uihlein | +3,000 |
| Branden Grace | +3,000 |
| Paul Casey | +3,500 |
| Matthew Wolff | +3,500 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of June 27, 2023.
LIV Golf Valderrama field and favorites
Cameron Smith is the betting favorite and is looking to become the fourth multi-time winner in LIV Golf. He's had strong string of tournaments with four straight Top-10 finishes in LIV, with a T9 his most recent showing at LIV Golf DC back in May. Since then, however, he also added a fourth-place finish at the U.S. Open in mid-June, his second Top-10 at a major this year.
Brooks Koepka is just behind Smith in the odds and is playing some of his best golf in years. In addition to five straight Top-12 finishes with LIV (including a win and two other Top-5s), Koepka tied for second at the Masters, won the PGA Championship, and wound up T17 at the U.S. Open. A win here would make him the first three-time winner at LIV Golf.
Spaniard Sergio Garcia might be seeing a bit of a bump due to his familiarity with Real Club Valderrama, a course he's played multiple times dating back to his teenage years. Altogether, Garcia has 15 pro starts at the course, with 14 Top-10 finishes, including victories in three straight starts at the Andalucia Masters in 2011, 2016, and 2017.
Dustin Johnson, like Koepka, is also looking for his third solo trophy with LIV Golf. But apart from his win at Tulsa in mid-May, Johnson has been more up-and-down than his fellow favorites. His T10 at the U.S. Open was his best finish at the three majors, finishing T48 and T55 at the Masters and PGA Championship, respectively. And he has a pair of T23 finishes sandwiching that Tulsa victory on the LIV Tour.
Real Club Valderrama course notes
Real Club Valderrama hosts LIV Golf in its eighth event of the season following a one-month hiatus. Valderrama is one of the most popular courses in Europe, let alone Spain.
A Par-71, 7,028-yard track (yardage subject to change) designed by Robert Trent Jones Sr., Valderrama has hosted the Andalucia Masters eight times since 2010 on the European Tour.
The rights to the course were signed over to LIV Golf from the European Tour following the 2022 Andalucia Masters. Long hitters should succeed at this track if they can handle the bentgrass greens that await them.
Distance and putting will be key here, so we will look for big hitters who have had success on bentgrass greens. This tournament is LIV Golf’s first appearance in Spain.
Covers golf betting tools
LIV Golf recent winners and odds history
Let's take a look at some recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:
| Event | Golfer | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|
| Washington, D.C. (May 2023) | Harold Varner III | +2,000 |
| Tulsa (May 2023) | Dustin Johnson (2) | +1,200 |
| Singapore (April 2023) | Talor Gooch (2) | +1,600 |
| Adelaide (April 2023) | Talor Gooch | +2,500 |
| Orlando (April 2023) | Brooks Koepka (2) | +4,000 |
| Tucson (March 2023) | Danny Lee | +8,000 |
| Mayakoba (Feb. 2023) | Charles Howell III | +4,000 |
| Jeddah (Oct. 2022) | Brooks Koepka | +2,500 |
| Bangkok (Oct. 2022) | Eugenio Chacarra | +15,000 |
| Chicago (Sept. 2022) | Cameron Smith | +600 |
| Boston (Sept. 2022) | Dustin Johnson | +600 |
| Bedminster (July 2022) | Henrik Stenson | +6,000 |
| Portland (July 2022) | Branden Grace | +3,500 |
| London (June 2022) | Charl Schwartzel | +3,000 |
Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.
