WNBA SUNDAY JUNE 26

YTD  21-9 ( +18.05 units )


5u  0-0
4u  1-0
3u  3-2
2u  6-4
1u  11-3

1-1  yesterday with the loser being a back door meaningless stinger. Didn't watch any of the games last night but i heard the Fever laid it in with about half a second. That's brutal.

NEW-YORK  -1 ( 3 units ) POD
I had the Liberty as a 7 point dog last Tuesday against the same team their playing today, the Los Angeles Sparks. I'm gonna come right back and bet them again. This isn't a favorable spot for the Sparks who are on a current 6 game road trip and have to deal with a Liberty team that is playing with  revenge as motivation. Love the guard matchup in this game and It's highly unlikely that Milton-Jones goes off for 30 again today.

SAN ANTONIO + 3.5 ( 2 units )
Are you kidding me ??? Getting points as well. Can anyone give me a good reason why i shouldn't bet San Antonio. Atlanta's getting killed off the transition they give up way too many easy baskets and when they fall behind they start relying too much on the 3 ball. Not a well coached team at all. Perkins , Hammons and Young are so in the zone right now , that it wouldn't  shock me if the Silver Stars blow them out. This is the correct play and the only way i lose this game is if San Antonio's perimeter game gets cold.

INDIANA/ MINNESOTA OVER 151.5 ( 2 units )
My line guess for this total was 155, so you know what that means. I honestly think i spend more time trying to figure out what the total should be than these odds makers that are posting the lines.

good luck everyone. The Conn backers took one on the chin last night  including myself. I feel good about my picks today. Hopefully 2-1 or 3-0.

new york is a good move i think,,,

I think That probably means your second guessing yourself KK.

GL and see in the CFL forum.

Luv your POD ,  key word is revenge. The Liberty were swept in 04 season last time those 2 met , on the SS as well , the only way Stars can loose is getting drunk.
Good Luck Dimes

i think ny is a good move.

Hey Socrates,

I usually agree with your logic and today too - if judging by a basketball only - youre right in all the instances. However - 1-7 ATS ATL given -3.5 against 5-1 ATS SA is screaming to take SA+3.5. Thats a classic trap line for me. What you think?

Thanks for posting and good luck!

"My line guess for this total was 155, so you know what that means. I honestly think i spend more time trying to figure out what the total should be than these odds makers that are posting the lines."

I totally agree and am loving it

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"Are you kidding me ??? Getting points as well. Can anyone give me a good reason why i shouldn't bet San Antonio."

And then the line goes up to 5    If we lose this one I don't know about you but.....It will make me doubt my thought proccess.

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MKBINI

"However - 1-7 ATS ATL given -3.5 against 5-1 ATS SA is screaming to take SA+3.5. Thats a classic trap line for me. What you think? "

SEE ABOVE. 

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" Didn't watch any of the games last night but i heard the Fever laid it in with about half a second. That's brutal. "

 

It was a miss of a 3 ball to tie the game with a long rebound with about 4 seconds left....and a down-court outlet pass and a lay-in with under a second left.

Bad enough that the girl that scored wasn't thinking that a basket was unneccessary but.............What the hell was she doing at that end to begin with when a 3 ball would have tied it up?

 

  Today 44

 

 

 

ATL UP TO -4.5------------- Mind Boggling

Well I can see all ""THE TRAP THEORISTS "  posters coming out of the woodwork today.

goodluck with ny  same side 44dimes 

I thought youre an experienced capper Socrates. If the best answer you have to my question (you said you liked Socrates for his promotion of kegit discussions) is calling me a Trap Line Theorist - then be well my frend and BOL.

 today 44

...I dont understand the line either...but most now how I feel about ATL and my feelings definitely wont soften going up against a SA squad playing well

don't worry about traps... just grab the +5 when you see it

GL TODAY 44

GL, I'll b e more than happy to see that a TRAP LINE is a myth

It'll be a downer if this game lands on a 4. Then again i shouldn't be complaining too much, if you notice I'd say about 8 out every 10 games i bet on , I end getting the better line by post time. The wise guys are getting their Pina Coladas .

I spoke too soon about not getting the better line. The Dream are down to -2.5

dream droppin...books see how they have been esp at home

lean th NY play as well...1st game back for Liberty but i think NY comes out lookin to get payback

Think tulsa is a solid bet...Wash layin 8.5?....say what??? hell to the no...gimme the points even some sprinkle of ML

like the over as well in Minny game

solid picks 44...gl man

Agree like Tulsa as well, not sure how that game slipped by me

Best of luck on the plays today 44 Dimes, sweep the card today.

Dream is going to hold their own against one of the worse 1H team in the league. Silver Stars are 2-4 ATS in the first half. Their only wins came against Tulsa.

Tulsa vs Atlanta team stats:

opposition 3pt %
.307 vs .404

rebounding margin:
-2.5  vs 0.00

PPG/ opposition PPG
73.6/83.5 vs 79.3/83.6

These stats illustrate just how much worse Tulsa is than any other team in the league (perhaps with an exception of Washington). This is the Cleveland Cavaliers v.2010/2011 of the WNBA.

San Antonio got to play the Shock twice and their stats look way too good. They are 93.5/82.2, beating their opponents on average by 11.3 PPG. I wish you luck with that +3.5 wager and hope you aren't one of the punters to find out the hard way how good SS really are.

I'm on ATL  1H (-1.5) and SA (+6.0) FG. Zig-zagging.

props on input to discussion

Proud of myself... bet all 3 of these last night!!!

let's get it 44

waiting for my soccer wagers to get graded so I can put money on WNBA... brainstorming... here's something I just came up with, a possible betting angle if you wish... this can be easily backtested for a couple of past seasons:

1) identify 1-2 worst teams in the league, not necessarily by just the record (Phoenix was 0-3 at one point but with a championship quality roster/coach, so they wouldn't qualify... same reasoning applies to the Dream who are currently 2-6 but reached WNBA finals last season with the same coach and basically same squad)

2) bet against the teams who got to play the above 'worst teams' twice or more, preferrably blowing them out... the assumption here is that lines could be inflated and I'd get an extra couple points here and there betting against the San Antonios and Connecticuts.

Let's say we picked Washington and Tulsa as the victims this season. Washington played Connecticut twice. Lost both games by some 10 pts ats. Tulsa played San Antonio twice. Lost both games by... a lot more than bookmakers suggested.

If I started putting money against San Antonio after their second win over Tulsa, I'd be 1-3.

If I started putting money against Connecticut after their second win over Washington, I'd be 2-1.

So far, doesn't look very good. But this is something to keep in mind. If Atlanta bets SA today and Connecticut loses to LA at home on Tuesday, the record will be 2-3 and 3-1 respectively. And we'll have a valid angle to track.