WNBA Player Props 5/21

DAL Carrington u12.5 P -135 BV 

SZN: 11-8 | +3.07u | +12.06% ROI 

@emoltzan

 Let's get 'em tonite! 

What is a point worth to you in cents Emoltzan? For example which is more valuable 12.5/-135 or 11.5/-115. Thanks

@BoldBets

I did my own back testing on NBA and determined it was around 25 cents, again that's for NBA and a reverse engineered test based on historical results. 1710 wager sample size. 

Very ironic but reassuring 

I used my collected data in your example and -135 calculates to exactly -115 in my percentages 

Almost like the books know the value lol. So I'd say both lines are equivalent based on NBA data. 

Very good excersice 

@sportschat

Back in black 

There was a good hook on Collier Sunday, played u23.5 and she got 23. I track good/bad hooks on WNBA as well but need about 1000 plays before I consider it good data. Maybe by next season. 

@BoldBets

WSH Sykes o3.5 R -114 PB

Just missed -103

@emoltzan

I can only get U 9.5 EV,  would u still take it ?

PHX Thomas u16.5 P -130 PB

@FTP

That's a 3 LD, no. 

2-1 night

+0.7u 

I hit Thomas u34.5 PRA on Underdog but she goes over on P 

Profitable anyway 

Back tomorrow to keep stacking! 

This should be 13-8* as well. 

11-5 on 5/20 + 2-3 that day

@emoltzan

 Nice job! 

@sportschat

Thanks! Rinse & repeat