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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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Posted: #4826

New York at Boston New York -1

Toronto at Orlando Toronto +4

LA Clippers at Phoenix LA Clippers -6.50

well i decided to play these for tonight! still working on some total leans but not to sure yet.

Hockey pick!

Oilers come out tonight playin!

Los Angeles at Edmonton (Moneyline) Edmonton

Los Angeles at Edmonton (Over/Under) Over +5

BoL tonight all

 

 
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Posted: #4827
Covers, Zireal
 
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Posted: #4828
Quote Originally Posted by joeflint8298:

You guys want ex-NBA ref Tim Donaghy's picks?

https://www.tdwins.com/

while I was curious went and checked the page out.... I'm not really down with giving my name, e-mail address and phone number to a site that i don't have confidence in.......

 
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Posted: #4829
Covers shows Toronto Orlando over under opening at 194.5 and now has it at 199, why do you think that is zireal?
 
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Posted: #4830
oreooreo1, newty25  
 
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Posted: #4831
I bet your calculation model says the under on that game!
 
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Posted: #4832
Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

Covers shows Toronto Orlando over under opening at 194.5 and now has it at 199, why do you think that is zireal?

I think that line was set correctly (my calculations shows opening line at 196,5), but lately both teams are scoring and giving points above their season avg. and probably that’s the reason why public went heavy on over.

TOR: PPG (last 5) – 107,2 (season avg. – 97,8)

            OPP PPG (last 5) – 110,8 (season avg. – 99,9)

ORL: PPG (last 5) – 96,6 (season avg. 95,2)

            OPP PPG (last 5) - 105,6 (season avg. 98,9)

Books are probably trying to balance it and are inviting people to bet under…

At this moment calc. model shows NO PLAY... but if there will be a play it will be OVER...

 
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Posted: #4833
Quote Originally Posted by eaglequill:


Mavin, simplicity my friend it is as easy as taking the Lakers for what they are ...lousy. No line movement no motivating factors will help this team. Remember the Heat when they started with Wade, Bosh and LeBron, chemistry does not happen in one season. 

Good luck my friend!  

yea but those three had a plan going into that year n they still made it to the finals the fakers are the laughing stock of the association right now they just keep finding ways to look bad 
 
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Posted: #4834
So today on the spread I went
TOR
LAC
NY
Went 2-1 on the spread yesterday, let's see 3-0 today. 
It seems like everyone is going against TOR on this one, but I think regardless of fatigue they play a close game.
 
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Posted: #4835
Because there are only 3 NBA games today, I decided to try calculation model on NCAAB, but there are no total lines set at this moment in most of the games (3 hours before the games)... 
Can someone explain me if those lines will show up or not? Should I wait, and how long? Thx.
 
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Posted: #4836
PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
01/24/2013 @ 07:05 PMNBA[501] TORONTO +6-150 (B+2)
01/24/2013 @ 08:00 PMNBA[503] NEW YORK +1-150 (B+2)
01/24/2013 @ 10:35 PMNBA[505] LA CLIPPERS -4-150 (B+2)
01/24/2013 @ 04:21 PMOPEN PLAY
01/24/2013 @ 04:21 PMOPEN PLAY
50 for 793
 
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Posted: #4837
I''m liking your Parlay Turbo, I'm thinking about throwing one in myself and adding the Clipps game Over.
 
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Posted: #4838
Quote Originally Posted by dexterjau3:

January 23, Bet 01
UNDER Kings 202.5 - $222 to win $200

January 23, Bet 02
Toronto Raptors +6 1H & UNDER Bulls 45.5 2Q & UNDER Houston 55 1Q - $100 to win $552




January 23 RECAP

UNDER Kings 202.5 - $200 win
Toronto Raptors +6 1H & UNDER Bulls 45.5 2Q & UNDER Houston 55 1Q - $100 loss

Days result: 1-1 +$100
YTD: 22-14-2 +$901

Guess yesterday was one of those days... Was pissed off when the second quarter in the Chicago game ended 24-24 (with every other quarter ending under 42,5) and after seeing the first quarter in the Kings game, I just lost interest and went to bed. How surprised were I to find out I'd won my U/O pick in that game by half a point when I woke up, turning what was an increasingly annoying night into a slighty profitable one!
 
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Posted: #4839
Quote Originally Posted by kknoop:

I''m liking your Parlay Turbo, I'm thinking about throwing one in myself and adding the Clipps game Over.

I have the Open Spots for that specific reason playing on playing totals at half time- assuming I am ahead on the other picks or the games have not ended-

Since is only $50 I can hedge at half time- if I have won some of the picks- So lets say the knicks are tied and the line favors them -2 or so at half I can bet $50 on the points or start a new parlay of 1 with 2 open spots and hit the celtics- this works best when I win or looks like the first two will be wins then on the third game hedge. I also have other parlays from earlier in the year with open spots the goal is to win the picks have the open spots then if I have 5 parlays with open spots which means a total of $250 I can then bet them against each other. For instance I have one open for $50 to win $600 and won the picks on them and filled one spot with mia v. lakers so now just need one more- earlier this week I started a 5 teamer with 2 open spots and won the 3 picks $50 for $900 now need to fill two spots- I want to get that one down to 1 pick then put it against the one that has the MIA game and worst case is I end up losing $100 for the plays and get $600 or $900 from the parlays and make $500-800. In the perfect world I would middle by picking a lets say the +6 on the raptors and ML for Magic and have the magic win by 1-5 spread lol 
 
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Posted: #4840
Zireal, doesn't Toronto ppg last 5 games of 107 include a few OT games. I'd think they would have to be getting tired. They ran like dogs last night. But that does translate into bad defense which doesn't help the under but also less up and down which helps the under. Also Orlando's coach in the pregame write up stressed their shooting % is fine but they need more stops on the defensive end.
 
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Posted: #4841
January 24, Bet 01
UNDER Celtics 48.5 1Q - $120 to win $102

Line for the quarter suspiciously high (with totals at 189). New York's going to be rested, but they have been very conservative with their shots in the past 5 games, but they have a pretty solid defense who's doing just fine and hopefully will stop Boston's first quarter offense.
 
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Posted: #4842
Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

Zireal, doesn't Toronto ppg last 5 games of 107 include a few OT games. I'd think they would have to be getting tired. They ran like dogs last night. But that does translate into bad defense which doesn't help the under but also less up and down which helps the under. Also Orlando's coach in the pregame write up stressed their shooting % is fine but they need more stops on the defensive end.

TOR PPG (last 5 games) without O.T. - 103,8 - still higher than avg.
Calc. model is based strictly on numbers, stats, mathematic calculations etc. but does not take into account fatigue factor, players motivation and other...
Raw numbers my friend... 
 
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Posted: #4843

Final Plays

LA Clippers at Phoenix LA Clippers -6.50
New York at Boston New York -1
Toronto at Orlando Toronto +4

Toronto at Orlando (Over/Under) Over +199
New York at Boston (Over/Under) Over +189.50
LA Clippers at Phoenix (Alternate Over/Under) Over +190.50

BoL tonight all! lets go overs!

Round Robin
1 NY Rangers at Philadelphia (Moneyline) NY Rangers 1.87 Open
2 Buffalo at Carolina (Moneyline) Buffalo 2.10 Open
3 Ottawa at Florida (Moneyline) Ottawa 1.74 Open
4 Chicago at Dallas (Moneyline) Chicago 1.77 Open
5 Los Angeles at Edmonton (Moneyline) Edmonton 2.15 Open
Possible Payout: $142.05

Cheers CJ

 
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Posted: #4844
Quote Originally Posted by newty25:

I think you still have to respect the level of talent there and realize that those guys could turn it on at any minute. It's probably just safer just to avoid betting game they're in.

Never said I didn't respect the talent. I said they do not play as a team. They have no confidence and no chemistry. Lots of infighting and ego posturing. From a handicapping standpoint no bet is safe...All I know is I have won three bets going against them and if your looking for safe don't you think your in the wrong place? If I placed a bet because I thought it was safe... I wouldn't even be handicapping sports!
 
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Posted: #4845
Quote Originally Posted by Zireal:

Because there are only 3 NBA games today, I decided to try calculation model on NCAAB, but there are no total lines set at this moment in most of the games (3 hours before the games)... 
Can someone explain me if those lines will show up or not? Should I wait, and how long? Thx.

If the lines are not there for the games in the NCAA they are not going to be posted most of the time. 
 
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Posted: #4846
Quote Originally Posted by kknoop:

So today on the spread I went
TOR
LAC
NY
Went 2-1 on the spread yesterday, let's see 3-0 today. 
It seems like everyone is going against TOR on this one, but I think regardless of fatigue they play a close game.

Curious.. was your one loss against Phoenix?
 
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Posted: #4847
Quote Originally Posted by eaglequill:


If the lines are not there for the games in the NCAA they are not going to be posted most of the time. 

Thank you  
 
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Posted: #4848
I feel the Clippers do not cover the Phoenix game. I'm seeing 7 points at my book and think its too much to cover. Phoenix at home and the Clippers are without Paul. The Clippers are better ..no doubt about that but struggling lately. Blake Griffin has taken it upon his shoulders to try to will his team to a win. He is playing great, putting up good numbers....but that does not equate to wins...team basketball does. Phoenix played great team basketball last night and that is going to be what covers tonight. 

Take Phoenix and the Points!  
 
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Posted: #4849
Yea Phoenix gave me the trouble, I'm wondering if they do it again tonight! It's a tough call without Paul (I swear I'm not trying to rhyme). 
 
 
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Posted: #4850
Quote Originally Posted by dexterjau3:



January 23 RECAP

UNDER Kings 202.5 - $200 win
Toronto Raptors +6 1H & UNDER Bulls 45.5 2Q & UNDER Houston 55 1Q - $100 loss

Days result: 1-1 +$100
YTD: 22-14-2 +$901

Guess yesterday was one of those days... Was pissed off when the second quarter in the Chicago game ended 24-24 (with every other quarter ending under 42,5) and after seeing the first quarter in the Kings game, I just lost interest and went to bed. How surprised were I to find out I'd won my U/O pick in that game by half a point when I woke up, turning what was an increasingly annoying night into a slighty profitable one!
like your style man
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