Posted:
#4301
Lousville getting away:)
Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
Posted:
#4302
Hi Melo. i follow the thread since the begining and i wish u start posting all ur picks,ur parlays,etc even with a losing start.I personally think u had some good info on here and like a lot of ur picks most of the days. fu.. what they say at the end it s like Mavin said it s just a screen.
U dont force anybody to bid ur picks. thks chris
Posted:
#4305
Mavin - Here it goes. Maybe I'm just over thinking it...but. What if you identify the lines that have RLM. If you follow that theory, the dogs will either cover or win. (I'm just thinking the opposite of what Vegas wants you to pick). If this is the case, I believe we can use this information and apply it to the totals based off the points allowed/scored at home on the road for the teams respectively.
So for example...tonight's games that have RLM are SAC @ CHA and MIL -4 @ PTL.
Lets just use one of the games for an example (MIL @ PTL). MIL is averaging 94.9 points on the road and PTL is scoring 96.3 on average at home. The total adds up to about 190 which is less than the line which is 195.5.
Ok...on to applying what we are assuming from the RLM theory. Assuming Milwaukee covers (within the 4 points), that has PTL scoring an average of 96.3 at home and Milwaukee being at 92.3, which totals 188.6
Onto the next calculation. Assuming Milwaukee wins, they are averaging 94.9 points and if they win, Portland's points need to be less. That totals less than 195.5.
Of course I look at other factors, but this is a big part of it.
I will be betting the under tonight on this game. Thoughts?
So for example...tonight's games that have RLM are SAC @ CHA and MIL -4 @ PTL.
Lets just use one of the games for an example (MIL @ PTL). MIL is averaging 94.9 points on the road and PTL is scoring 96.3 on average at home. The total adds up to about 190 which is less than the line which is 195.5.
Ok...on to applying what we are assuming from the RLM theory. Assuming Milwaukee covers (within the 4 points), that has PTL scoring an average of 96.3 at home and Milwaukee being at 92.3, which totals 188.6
Onto the next calculation. Assuming Milwaukee wins, they are averaging 94.9 points and if they win, Portland's points need to be less. That totals less than 195.5.
Of course I look at other factors, but this is a big part of it.
I will be betting the under tonight on this game. Thoughts?
Posted:
#4307
I have already locked in...
Hornets -5
Spurs -4
Kings -2
Port -4.5
Looking for a fifth leaning towards Memphis -2. Chi has been bad ats at home, off a win, as a home underdog, and non-conference. Where as Memphis has been good ats on the road, off a win, as a road favorite, and non- conference. Also, Chicago won their last home game, and Memphis lost their last road game. Seems to fit the bill for me.
Hornets -5
Spurs -4
Kings -2
Port -4.5
Looking for a fifth leaning towards Memphis -2. Chi has been bad ats at home, off a win, as a home underdog, and non-conference. Where as Memphis has been good ats on the road, off a win, as a road favorite, and non- conference. Also, Chicago won their last home game, and Memphis lost their last road game. Seems to fit the bill for me.
Posted:
#4311
Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:
NHL:
NHL:
COYOTES-+105
PREDATORS-160
DEVILS-110
RANGERS+130
CANUCKS-116
Melo, what's your reasoning behind your devils lean? I personally if I had a lean would be isles. Tavares has been playing in europe and so has Kovalchuk but Parise is gone while tavares still has moulson there who he combined with for 150 pts last year. Nabokov is solid and brodeur is old and starts slow lately. and no henrique for devils either
Posted:
#4312
Quote Originally Posted by playing4mylife:
Mavin - Here it goes. Maybe I'm just over thinking it...but. What if you identify the lines that have RLM. If you follow that theory, the dogs will either cover or win. (I'm just thinking the opposite of what Vegas wants you to pick). If this is the case, I believe we can use this information and apply it to the totals based off the points allowed/scored at home on the road for the teams respectively.
So for example...tonight's games that have RLM are SAC @ CHA and MIL -4 @ PTL.
Lets just use one of the games for an example (MIL @ PTL). MIL is averaging 94.9 points on the road and PTL is scoring 96.3 on average at home. The total adds up to about 190 which is less than the line which is 195.5.
Ok...on to applying what we are assuming from the RLM theory. Assuming Milwaukee covers (within the 4 points), that has PTL scoring an average of 96.3 at home and Milwaukee being at 92.3, which totals 188.6
Onto the next calculation. Assuming Milwaukee wins, they are averaging 94.9 points and if they win, Portland's points need to be less. That totals less than 195.5.
Of course I look at other factors, but this is a big part of it.
I will be betting the under tonight on this game. Thoughts?
Mavin - Here it goes. Maybe I'm just over thinking it...but. What if you identify the lines that have RLM. If you follow that theory, the dogs will either cover or win. (I'm just thinking the opposite of what Vegas wants you to pick). If this is the case, I believe we can use this information and apply it to the totals based off the points allowed/scored at home on the road for the teams respectively.
So for example...tonight's games that have RLM are SAC @ CHA and MIL -4 @ PTL.
Lets just use one of the games for an example (MIL @ PTL). MIL is averaging 94.9 points on the road and PTL is scoring 96.3 on average at home. The total adds up to about 190 which is less than the line which is 195.5.
Ok...on to applying what we are assuming from the RLM theory. Assuming Milwaukee covers (within the 4 points), that has PTL scoring an average of 96.3 at home and Milwaukee being at 92.3, which totals 188.6
Onto the next calculation. Assuming Milwaukee wins, they are averaging 94.9 points and if they win, Portland's points need to be less. That totals less than 195.5.
Of course I look at other factors, but this is a big part of it.
I will be betting the under tonight on this game. Thoughts?
I would assume the opposite. If the line should be so low and yet is so high - books must know something we dont. It is not always right, but most of the times yes
Posted:
#4313
Quote Originally Posted by christubluff:
Hi Melo. i follow the thread since the begining and i wish u start posting all ur picks,ur parlays,etc even with a losing start.I personally think u had some good info on here and like a lot of ur picks most of the days. fu.. what they say at the end it s like Mavin said it s just a screen.
U dont force anybody to bid ur picks. thks chris
well said
Posted:
#4315
Final:
SACRAMENTO Kings -2 (-110) 110$
SA Spurs -4 (-110) 110$
NO Hornets -5 (-110) 110$
CLEVELAND Cavaliers +9 (-110) 110$
PORTLAND Trail Blazers -4.5 (-110) 110$
adding
Final
Parlay Teaser
ATLANTA Hawks - SA Spurs Under 202 with MINNESOTA Timber Wolves - HOUSTON Rockets Under 209.5 (+108) 200$
ML Parlay
HOUSTON Rockets ML with NO Hornets ML (+116) 100$
Posted:
#4320
Quote Originally Posted by BoDuke:
Melo, what's your reasoning behind your devils lean? I personally if I had a lean would be isles. Tavares has been playing in europe and so has Kovalchuk but Parise is gone while tavares still has moulson there who he combined with for 150 pts last year. Nabokov is solid and brodeur is old and starts slow lately. and no henrique for devils either
i gotta say i`m with boduke on that one. for tonight i got:
-islanders
-rangers
-colorado
-vancouver -1.5
-carolina
-phoenix
-washington -1.5
and i have a win this afternoon with pittsburgh-1.5
i went crazy today with nhl lol!
for nba i tailed mavin, i feel a hot streak coming for mavin!
best of luck to all tonight! 
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