Fade The Langster System

LANG

50 DIME - BALTIMORE RAVENS - (If line is 3 you buy the 1/2 and get 3 1/2. Value number of 3 1/2 with the dog. If 2 1/2 you buy the 1/2 up to +3) - Let's see, my QB throws for over 500 yards at home and I still need the last play of the game to win the football game.

Folks, don't be fooled by the Steelers win over the Packers last Sunday. This is still an average football team all the way across the board.

How soon everyone forgets it was just weeks ago this team lost back-to-back-to- back weeks to the Chiefs, Raiders and Browns.

Add it up and you will see a combined record of 11-31.

The bottom line is the Ravens didn't take the Steelers all that serious in the first meeting facing 3rd string QB Dennis Dixon making his first career start in the NFL.

They will take this game very serious with a playoff berth on the line.

Pittsburgh's defense is in big trouble here as they have been torched for over 20 points in 4 of their last 5 games, including 27 or more against the Raiders, the Chiefs and the Packers.

You start seeing the Raiders and Chiefs putting up 27 on you, then you know you have problems.

This Baltimore Ravens team is playing very well as they come off 48-3 destruction at home over the Lions, and a 31-7 win over the Bears.

Already this year on the road they have beaten the Chargers 31-26 and for all intents and purposes let wins get away at Minnesota, and New England.

People are betting the Steelers here as this line opened Pittsburgh -1 1/2, and as of this writing it's up to -3. Let me say now thank you to the betting public for handing me a 3 1/2 point road dog with the Ravens today.

They are the better team. They have a better offense and they are playing very well down the stretch.

50 DIME - HOUSTON TEXANS -You give me the 2nd best passing offense in the NFL against the 23rd ranked pass defense, and I will roll big with the offense every time.

The Texans know how to beat the Dolphins going 4-0 lifetime against them, and the bottom line is there is only one QB having a better year than Matt Schaub, and it just so happens to be Peyton Manning.

Not bad company to be in.

Here is the problem facing the Dolphins today. They can't cover the Texans man- to-man, so they have to play a zone behind it and if you do that, Schaub is going to eat you alive.

I give Miami credit for fighting hard this year, but fact of the matter is they don't match up at all with this Texans team and especially Andre Johnson, who is going to tear up this young Dolphins secondary.

He leads the league with 1,433 yards and 4th with 90 receptions and quite frankly, I see him going for about 12 catches for over 200 yards. That is the day I see him having.

This Texans team has had some impressive road wins putting up 34 on the road at Tennessee in a 34-31 win, beat the Bengals 27-14, crushed Buffalo 31-14 and almost took down Indy 20-17.

The line move on this game has come down a bit, but I always thought it should be a pick'em game, or even the Texans as a small favorite. That is how much better I feel the Texans are than this Dolphins team.

The river card for me in this game is the fact the Texans are 7-2 ATS last 9 as a road dog while the Dolphins are a horrific 5-24 ATS their last 29 as a home favorite.

Big day for Schaub and for Johnson as the Texans win this game outright, and keep their slim playoff hopes alive.

50 DIME - KENTUCKY WILDCATS - (if 6 1/2 you buy the 1/2 up to 7. Value number of 7 with the dog. If line is 7 you buy the 1/2 and get +7 1/2) - Can't pass up the S.E.C rep getting points in a bowl game from an inferior conference.

This Wildcats team that has won 18 straight non conference games SU dating back to 2006.

It should also be noted Kentucky is looking for their 4th straight bowl win which would be quite the accomplishment for this senior class.

The bottom line is I just have to question where the heart of this Clemson team is after the heartbreaking loss to Georgia Tech in the ACC Championship game cost them their BCS bowl dreams.

I understand the huge advantage it is for the Tigers to have C.J. Spiller, but one guy does not make a football team.

This is an SEC team getting almost a full touchdown on a neutral field, with just as much if not more team speed across the board.

You look at the last 6 games in which the linemaker has seen fit to make the SEC an underdog and you will see them covering 5 of those 6.

Let me further point out this is a Clemson team that has gone 0-7 ATS their last 7 against the SEC including getting drilled by South Carolina this year 34-17.

Some will say they didn't care about the game because it didn't affect the ACC Championship game the next week. I say bullshit.

You can howl at the moon all you want about the Tigers having the higher rated offense and defense but that was against ACC competition and not the SEC, where Kentucky had to play the likes of Florida, Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee and South Carolina.

I will also point out Kentucky put up over 300 yards total offense versus the # 1 team in the country in Alabama which was almost as much as what Florida and Tebow were able to put up in the SEC Championship game.

My point is Kentucky has not only the speed to be in this game but the playmakers to win this game and quite frankly I am comfortable with both Hartline, who comes back and should be ready to play here, or freshman Morgan Newton.

All about getting the SEC and the points in bowl games and I will gladly grab the points here.

FREE SELECTION - INDIANAPOLIS COLTS