Fade The Langster System

Brandon Lang

25 DIME - SMU MUSTANGS - #1 PLAY - June Jones, I've always liked him as a coach, and I like him and his ballclub catching double digits at a venue he is very comfortable in.

As coach of Hawaii from 1999 to 2007, Jones built the program to what it is today and his imprint on their offense is still in place.

In fact, the first thing that got me on SMU tonight was Nevada's game at Hawaii this year, a game they won 31-21 as a 29 point favorite.

Now I feel they see a similar system in SMU but only better, and to see them struggle in that game to win by 10, to struggle at Utah State to win 38-35 as an 8 1/2 point favorite, the points are very attractive here.

Jones is twice the game coach Chris Ault will ever be, and you give me a June Jones team this much time to prepare for Nevada defense that is average at best and a pass defense this horrific, I will gladly jump on it.

Now the world is aware of Nevada and their # 1 rush offense in the country but if you are going to cover the biggest bowl pointspread you have got to have a defense and Nevada most certainly doesn't have that.

Of all Division One teams ranked statistically - of which there are 119, the Wolfpack rank # 26 against the run, and are you ready for this: 2nd worst pass defense in all of college football.

Folks, it all adds up to the 88th ranked defense in college football and I can't trust the 2nd worst pass defense in all of college football to cover a double digit number.

I am going to jump on the double digits and watch June Jones out coach Chris Ault and stay well within this number

As coach of Nevada Ault is a very unimpressive 1-5 SU in bowl games and just 1-3 ATS as a bowl favorite and that my friends is the final nail in the coffin for grabbing the double digit dog tonight.

25 DIME -SMU-NEVADA UNDER -Now as far as the total is concerned, I just don't see how with this much time off, and Nevada missing two of their 1,000 yard rushers that this game is going over the total.

You can't lose 2 guys in your backfield of that caliber and expect your offense to not miss a beat. Fact of the matter is I expect them to miss more than a beat or two.

Nevada played 12 games this year, and 6 of those 12 went Under. Not like they went over every game now is it.

Look for June Jones to be the one to move the chains in the passing game, keep the high-powered Nevada run game sitting on the sidelines, controlling the clock.

Jones knows how to win this game, how to coach this game and it's not to get in a shootout.

25 DIME - 2-TEAM, 6-POINT TEASER - SMU & UNDER -I love SMU and the Under so much, I am going for the 3-0 sweep and to push my bowl record with paid and comp plays to 6-1 this bowl season with a 2-team 6-point teaser on SMU and the Under.

Let's take SMU to +18 1/2 or so, and let's take the total, which is currently at 72 as of this writing up to 78 and roll the dice with the Under there as well.

And that ladies and gentleman is your 25 dime Christmas Eve trifecta.

Have a great Christmas eveyone. Enjoy the time with family and friends, and I will talk to you on Christmas day.

FREE SELECTION - ORLANDO MAGIC - CHRISTMAS DAY

Saturday's Selection ... NOTE:

Hope everyone had a great Christmas. Glad I was able to make it a bit better with the Chargers last night.

Bottom line is this; delivering blowout winners.

Giants Monday 45-12. Utah Wednesday 37-27 in a game that wasn't even that close. SMU Thursday 45-10. San Diego last night.

Trust me, not the least bit happy about getting fooled by Oregon State thinking they would be mentally ready to play after the heartbreaking loss to Oregon that cost them the Rose bowl for the 2nd straight year. Shame on you Mike Riley.

If you can't get your team to show up then turn the bowl game down, and sent them home for the holidays and give up the slot to a team that would play hard.

That game is the only blemish on an otherwise perfect bowl run here in 2009.

I started with the 10 dime winner on Wyoming outright over Fresno State, delivered Rutgers as a free pick, Utah over Cal and the 25 dime trifecta sweep with SMU, the Under and a teaser winning on SMU and the Under.

Don't look now but it's a 2-day run for over +100 dimes but I want more. A lot more and I've got a 75 dime play on Ohio to show you I want more.

When you are delivering 30 point destructions on a consistent basis, I would say that shows people you are dialed in at a place other handicappers only dream about.

Now just like the Giants Monday night, Utah Tuesday, SMU Thursday and the Chargers last night, watch Ohio win this game by double digits as well.

75 DIME - OHIO UNIVERSITY BOBCATS - -(If 3 1/2 you buy the 1/2 and lay -3. Never get beat by the hook.) - I just don't understand why this line isn't Ohio -7?

First of all, the linemakers are making mistake after mistake with bowl games so far, as they do every year.

Making Nevada a 12 point favorite over June Jones and SMU, and the favorite loses by 35 points. Come on now.

This is a mismatch every where you look.

Let's start off with coaching.

Marshall University pressured the resignation of head coach Mark Snyder so the team is being coached by former Cincinnati head coach Rick Minter, who just happens to be the defensive coordinator.

He wanted the head coaching job but was passed over for West Virginia assistant John Holiday. Now with all this going on how does a 6-6 team that doesn't deserve to be here in the first place focus on playing a football game.

The Thundering Herd not only lost at Virginia Tech 52-10 earlier in the year, but come off a flat out embarrassing 52-21 loss at UTEP to close out the year which essentially cost Snyder his job, creating the current bowl coaching mess.

I'm sorry but you don't lose 2 games in the regular season by 42 and 31 points and go on to win a bowl game. Not in my book.

You look at Frank Solich and this Ohio team and you will see they were competitive in every single game they played this year. EVERY SINGLE ONE.

At 9-4 SU and 8-4 ATS, their 4 losses were by 7 at home to UConn, by 11 at Tennessee in a game a lot closer than the final score would lead you to believe, by 9 at home to Kent State, and by 10 to Central Michigan in the MAC Championship game.

The game that does it for me is on the road at Tennessee. You start going into an SEC enviorment and in front of 101,000 people and play the Vols to a single digit game into the 4th quarter and throw for 319 yards against the 10 best pass defense in the country, I pretty confident you can handle anything Marshall throws at you.

This Ohio team has all the edges in this game. The better offense, the better defense, the better QB and they are ranked 6th in the country in turnover margin while Marshall is 88th.

The Bobcats force turnovers on defense and they don't turn it over on offense and that is a credit to their last big advantage in this game, coaching and Solich will have his team focused to play some football in a venue they are very familiar with.

I was very impressed with Ohio's defensive effort holding Central Michigan to 20 points in the MAC Championship game and with this much time to prepare, believe me folks this team will be ready to play.

Down the stretch this Ohio team played with passion and pride and over their last 5 games only Central Michigan took them down.

In a bowl season where the team that wants to be there is winning comfortably, I truly believe the team that wants to be there today is Ohio University and they will deliver the pointspread cover.

FREE SELECTION - BOSTON COLLEGE-USC UNDER

 

Game starts at 1pm est  Get it in early!!!!!!!!