Posted:
#126
I just saw the Bucs lost the 1st game by 1. If it would of been more, I would of def laid the +1.5 tonight.
0
CHASE THE DOG....VOLUME 36
Posted:
#135
@McShady, the thing that popped out about the Jays was Floyd's last 3 starts, and his 1-6 away record. Also, the ump is 16-8 for the home team. It's obviously a trend play too. Obviously these aren't the strongest reasons for picking the Jays (I looked at the game cuz it's a possible McTrend play), what was your line of thinking on this one?
0
Posted:
#141
Quote Originally Posted by michael_scotch:
You in on the Reds f5 RL this game or are you going to wait out tonight and play it tomorrow with Bailey pitching (assuming it doesn't hit tonight).
You in on the Reds f5 RL this game or are you going to wait out tonight and play it tomorrow with Bailey pitching (assuming it doesn't hit tonight).
I"ll give an idea how I make my plays...
2 times a week I select a couple games to Chase based off my Ploticus Projections
2 times a week I select what games I like from the McTrends that are left from the last games in a series.
so maybe 6-8 plays a week
0
amazing man... 
thx again for sharing 
Posted:
#147
Quote Originally Posted by hi2ak:
Decision time.. the sitch:
Straight
Phillies/marlins over win
Indians/angels both 1 unit
2 team parlay with above plays 1 unit to win about 5.5 units..
Thinking about canceling out 2nd game, then hedging..thoughts? Greatly appreciated..
Decision time.. the sitch:
Straight
Phillies/marlins over win
Indians/angels both 1 unit
2 team parlay with above plays 1 unit to win about 5.5 units..
Thinking about canceling out 2nd game, then hedging..thoughts? Greatly appreciated..
For a 2teamer to pay 5.5 you would have had both teams +155 each?
0
Posted:
#148
Not a fan of split parlays like that Mac...unless it is for a small amount for fun. Which in your case...I'm sure it is.
Risk/reward isn't there % wise based on the probabilities.....in the long run it will kill ya....as I'm sure you know.
But...what if you set up a parlay chase with those 4 teams at the start of a series where they are playing 3 games each (or 4 each).....which sounds...kind of interesting. Haven't done the math on it though.
The parlay you show gives you a 50% chance of winning 180 based on risking 100 on each parlay (Reds/WS both win or Jays/Mets both win) ....and 50% chance of losing 200 (Reds/Jays both win or WS/Mets both win).
Take the 2 best teams and play them straight up....25% of winning 200...50% chance of losing small juice... and 25% chance of losing 200.
I'd rather only have a 25% chance of losing 200...than 50%. True you have a 75% chance of losing money with the 2 straight bets..but 2/3 of that chance is small juice with these odds on these 4 teams today.
Just some thoughts... in my book it really comes down to a personal decision. Again...for small "fun" money it is probably worth a shot. I always only do parlays for small amounts....that I plan on losing. If they hit....it's a bonus. Or sometimes I will do them as a small hedge against me losing all my big plays that day/night.
Just my 2 cents..
Thanks for the Phillies trend .....quite a rush when it goes to the final game and late innings!
0
Hot Forum Topics
