Posted:
#101
Bad bet packman....
You are risking 1000 to win a max of 790. Playing 1000 straight on Philly over would return you 830.
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CHASE THE DOG....VOLUME 36
Posted:
#108
Quote Originally Posted by McShady:
KingG. If the Pirates are in a Sweep situation tmrw. You might see abouve -140 for them.
KingG. If the Pirates are in a Sweep situation tmrw. You might see abouve -140 for them.
And once again, you are dead on McShady. I just saw it open at one place for -140.
Now...do I want to play it at -140 tomorrow with Burnett, or do I want to buy it at -140 today with Wandy on the +1.5 line...
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Posted:
#111
The Angels un hit last time cause Weaver was pitching. I will bet Angels un this time IF I don't see any funny line movements. Gas Can Santana is pitching tonite!!! He has been the WORST pitcher in the majors!!! Last game he pitched against CLE, he gave up EIGHT, yes EIGHT RUNS AND EIGHT WALKS in ONE AND ONE THIRD INNINGS!!! HOLY SHIT!!! What is really strange is that he NO HIT CLE last year!!! OMG!!! Santana is the ultimate space cadet!!!
I think he's choking from all the pressure after signing his "big time" extension. I think he will have a decent game tonight (he has to) and "Fausto Carmona" (remember him?) is back. He does very well against the Halos.
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Posted:
#112
The Marlins are the 2nd worst team in MLB behind the BLAstros! They play like the Bad News Bears!!! TWO times PHI grounded a ball off the pitcher's leg for hits!!! The 3rd baseman can't field and they cannot hit a cutoff man. They are on pins and needles and look like a defeated team. I wouldn't be surpised if the Phils win this game going away...
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Posted:
#116
As usual, looks like I amgoing to eatmy words! I hope everyone listened to McShady cause I suck at capping. I am wrong about 75% of the time! If you fade me you will make a TON of $$$. The more sure of a play I am, you should fade more. I just love to follow my instincts and trust my judgement like any regular guy out there. Is this the way you felt your 1st year McShady, cause I am hating my capping intuition right now in my first year. I guess that's why a lot of cappers say MLB is the hardest to cap! 
I only bet $75 on the parlay.
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Posted:
#120
Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:
As usual, looks like I amgoing to eatmy words! I hope everyone listened to McShady cause I suck at capping. I am wrong about 75% of the time! If you fade me you will make a TON of $$$. The more sure of a play I am, you should fade more. I just love to follow my instincts and trust my judgement like any regular guy out there. Is this the way you felt your 1st year McShady, cause I am hating my capping intuition right now in my first year. I guess that's why a lot of cappers say MLB is the hardest to cap!
I only bet $75 on the parlay.
Once when I had a long losing streak over 7 days or so, I just got my plays together and bet the opposite. I won for 3 days and then then lost 1 day and went back to what I was doing and ended up getting back on track.
PS
When you have one of your strongest plays, please post them!
The philly game isn't over yet 2-2 top of 6th.
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Posted:
#122
Quote Originally Posted by kinggeorge27:
And once again, you are dead on McShady. I just saw it open at one place for -140.
Now...do I want to play it at -140 tomorrow with Burnett, or do I want to buy it at -140 today with Wandy on the +1.5 line...
When pondering the RL+ do u check into how many 1 run games were completes by both teams?
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Posted:
#123
gbpackman, don't worry if you play a small unit when it comes to gambling a win is a win and you can always increase once you double your bankroll as long as the percentage of your wager to bankroll is not very high. I'm sure someone can recommend the correct percentage.
Right now my unit is only $10 but getting closer to doubling the bankroll!
When it comes to women that's when you have to be concerned with a small unit or do like the legendary comedian Sam Kinison said, lick the alphabet!!!
Good luck today and keep following McShady and Semper and you will be okay!
Right now my unit is only $10 but getting closer to doubling the bankroll!
When it comes to women that's when you have to be concerned with a small unit or do like the legendary comedian Sam Kinison said, lick the alphabet!!!
Good luck today and keep following McShady and Semper and you will be okay!
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Posted:
#125
Quote Originally Posted by McShady:
When pondering the RL+ do u check into how many 1 run games were completes by both teams?
I actually checked both teams and pitchers. Only 9 / 31 games since the break have been decided by one run for the Pirates, 8 / 30 games for the Dodgers. One out of Kershaw's last 10 games have been decided by one run, two of Wandy's.
That's a complete +RL fade.
The last two LHP the Pirates faced were Saunders (Wandy) and Corbin (Karstens) and they lost both. Think I'm off of today's.
Only 2 of Burnett's last 10 were decided by one run. 60% were -RL covers. If Kershaw wins today, the Dodgers will have won the series and they won't care about sweeping the Pirates. In that scenario I would have to give the Pirates -RL strong consideration. Still would have to look at some other numbers to be able to lock it in, but +150 would have me risking a lot less.
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