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95-2 record this year in MLB

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Posted: #151
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:


Yeah the odds are low and you will def win in the long run but I saw days where there were 3 chases loses in one day. That could be a huge hit specially for someone like me that starts off  the A bet with 100-$150 a game. By 8th inning with the juice sometimes I'm in close to $2000!! Can't take hits like that once a day.. let alone twice a day or more. By eliminating  garbage teams that allow runs on those innings whether they bat better or vs team who have garbage pull pens that allow socring on 7 & 8 inning you maximize profits.

As I said.. the secondary teams to be careful with are:

Dodgers
Angels
Mariners

but also be careful with 

Red Sox
Yankees

both have closes on the system because whether they allow runs or score runs on 7th & 8th on a few instances. 

so basically you have 2/3 of the teams to play with. Just stay the hell away from the top 6 I listed. Each have cost the system at least 5 or 6 times this year on consistent basis. 



AVOID these teams at all costs Tigers and Nats pushed to the D leg bet 12 and 11 times respectively since May. I wouldn't touch any games those 2 are involved in.
 
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Posted: #152
Quote Originally Posted by nygjmap:


AVOID these teams at all costs Tigers and Nats pushed to the D leg bet 12 and 11 times respectively since May. I wouldn't touch any games those 2 are involved in.

I saw that they were in 4 loses for the system each but then I looked at their opponents and I saw that their opponents were the reason the system lost but I still have my eye on them. I don't mind if it goes to 4th bet, as long as they don't lose. 


 
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Posted: #153
Is anyone posting the plays here daily?
 
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Posted: #154
I know I'm not its to hard to run numbers live bet on 6 games and post in here if I was running more then one device maybe but haven't as of yet but I will say that I'm not doing full games any more 
 
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Posted: #155
[Quote: Originally Posted by Kevin66] I know that 5dimes, bovada and betonline but those are the only books I have accounts with. 

Can anyone tell me how to do this at bovada?

 
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Posted: #156
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:


Yeah the odds are low and you will def win in the long run but I saw days where there were 3 chases loses in one day. That could be a huge hit specially for someone like me that starts off  the A bet with 100-$150 a game. By 8th inning with the juice sometimes I'm in close to $2000!! Can't take hits like that once a day.. let alone twice a day or more. By eliminating  garbage teams that allow runs on those innings whether they bat better or vs team who have garbage pull pens that allow socring on 7 & 8 inning you maximize profits.

As I said.. the secondary teams to be careful with are:

Dodgers
Angels
Mariners

but also be careful with 

Red Sox
Yankees

both have closes on the system because whether they allow runs or score runs on 7th & 8th on a few instances. 

so basically you have 2/3 of the teams to play with. Just stay the hell away from the top 6 I listed. Each have cost the system at least 5 or 6 times this year on consistent basis. 



Thanks Extreme for back testing.

Of course anyone can play this as they want but I think, after going back a couple of weeks and using your information, the best way to play this where one has the least amount of risk and least amount of time needed is as follows:

1.  Only flat bet, no Marty (IMHO any Marty will eventually kill you)
2.  Bet one unit on the 1st to score
3.  If win stop
4.  If lose bet 1 unit on the 2nd not to score
5.  If win stop
6.  If lose stop

That's it.  If you lose you are down just 2 units plus any juice. 

Back testing just a couple of weeks I never saw a losing day.  There always were enough wins to offset a 2 unit + juice loss. 

If someone wants to take the time to go back further please post your results using this strategy.  
 
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Posted: #157
Just to be clear, 1st to score means first inning a run or more is scored.
 
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Posted: #158
yes that's correct. Score on 1st inning.

If anyone knows any books that offer Tie score on a given inning please let me know. That's basically no score on a inning 0-0 but also you might get lucky if the score becomes 1-1. you would still win

System is still running on point. no loses. Be careful with the Tigers and Mariners games. Both teams can score and have caused a few loses each this year on this system. so combined it's a big red flag. Bet small if you plan on playing this series.
 
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Posted: #159
This is great stuff.  Been using it the past two nights with success.  I'm not getting too greedy though.  Thank you!  
 
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Posted: #160
So DoubleDime the way you're saying to play it only wins you money in the first inning? Is that correct? If you win the second inning you will only break even?
 
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Posted: #161
Quote Originally Posted by Bigrell9:

So DoubleDime the way you're saying to play it only wins you money in the first inning? Is that correct? If you win the second inning you will only break even?

That's correct.  Yesterday it went 9-4 net, less juice.  

This way you do not have the exposure of a Matingale, and you do not have to monitor the entire game and wait for the 7th and 8th innings.  I am all for making money but I do have life  
 
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Posted: #162
Doing no run in 1st, 2nd, 7th, 8th would have lost only 16 times this year (and never twice in the same day).

Run in the 1st, no runs in 2nd, 7th, & 8th lost 36 times.
 
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Posted: #163
Quote Originally Posted by gphoneymoney:

Doing no run in 1st, 2nd, 7th, 8th would have lost only 16 times this year (and never twice in the same day).

Run in the 1st, no runs in 2nd, 7th, & 8th lost 36 times.


No runs 1st, 2nd, 7th, 8th:
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&rl=1&invested=1&sdql=season%3D2016+and+R1%3E%3D1+and+R2%3E%3D1+and+R7%3E%3D1+and+R8%3E%3D1&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

VS

Run in 1st, NO runs in 2nd, 7th, 8th:
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&rl=1&invested=1&sdql=season%3D2016+and+R1%3D0+and+R2%3E%3D1+and+R7%3E%3D1+and+R8%3E%3D1&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Interestingly, each method went to extra innings only once.  Can you live bet that the game doesn't go to extra innings?  Though, I'm sure the juice would be crazy high.
 
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Posted: #164
by taking out the teams that I told you , you would not lose. It all depends if you are happy making chump change your decent money. I'm making $800-$1000 a day betting $80-$100 a game. This week up $5K already. To each his own. I like 1,2,7 & 8
 
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Posted: #165
Extremist have you only been taking out the top 6 teams or the ones in the next tier also?
 
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Posted: #166
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

by taking out the teams that I told you , you would not lose. It all depends if you are happy making chump change your decent money. I'm making $800-$1000 a day betting $80-$100 a game. This week up $5K already. To each his own. I like 1,2,7 & 8


Didn't you lose with the Reds/Cardinals yesterday?  What was you net?
 
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Posted: #167
No I did not lose with the Reds because if you read my post from before you would have seen that I said not to play:

REDS
TWINS
WHITE SOX
MARLINS
PHILLIES
ORIOLES

Those are the only teams that I'm fading right now. There's a 2nd tier of teams that i also posted which I'm more careful with when betting. By cutting those 6 teams out you would've only lost 17 games out of the 100s of games played

I made $800 yesterday betting $80-$100 a game. only 1 game went to 7th inning (red sox game)  and most won on 1st. or 2nd inning

Like I said to each his own. You can fight to get even everyday and make a few dollars or you can trust the sytsem and win. I have the bank roll to chase it and a 10% return on $1000 is good with me .(which doesn't happen often). I would bet more per game but then if it goes to 7th or 8th I would have to split my bets into 2 different sites. Right now keeping it at around $100 a game for another week or so then probably will bump it up
 
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Posted: #168
I've been doing fine, too.  However, if I can fine tune it, obviously I will.

After looking through all stats via MLB SBQL for the year (prior to 08/09/2016 games), I came up with these numbers:
36 times the system lost.  "Team" is where the team listed broke the system.  "Opp" is where the opposing team they played broke the system.

 
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Posted: #169
        TEAM    OPP    TOTAL
Dodgers        3    2    5
Diamondbacks    2    3    5
Phillies    2    2    4
White Sox    2    2    4
Mariners    3    1    4
Cubs        1    3    4
Tigers        2    2    4
Rockies        3    1    4
Orioles        1    2    3
Marlins        3    0    3
Reds        1    2    3
Blue Jays    1    2    3
Royals        1    2    3
Twins         1    1    2
Angel        0    2    2
Giants        1    1    2
Red Sox        1    1    2
Rangers        1    1    2
Pirates        2    0    2
Nationals    1    1    2
Yankees        0    1    1
Mets        0    1    1
Cardinals    1    0    1
 
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Posted: #170
I'd far prefer to just do no runs 1,2,7,8 since it only lost 16 times, as opposed to 36, instead of eliminating certain teams and losing potential profit in the process.  However, I'm still researching how many times it would go to 7th/8th innings.
 
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Posted: #171
Messed up my SDQL parameters.  The system has actually lost 100 times since May 9th:

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&sdql=season%3D2016+and+%28t%3AR1%3D0+and+o%3AR1%3D0%29+and+%28t%3AR2%3E0+or+o%3AR2%3E0%29+and+%28t%3AR7%3E0+or+o%3AR7%3E0%29+and+%28t%3AR8%3E0+or+o%3AR8%3E0%29&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

 
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Posted: #172
IGNORE everything I just posted.  Got dizzy from the numbers. 

Extremist is correct with not playing those 6 teams.
 
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Posted: #173
5dimes is doing some fishy ish with their live betting and it may have to due with the heavy traffic due to this thread, perhaps it's better we conduct this through PMs. Im friend requesting you guys
 
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Posted: #174
Bovada too nyg there live betting is messed up.
 
 
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Posted: #175
mlb.com's live updates have been having some issues the last few days.  I think it's probably because of that.
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