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    All Forums | The Archives

    Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper

    «First Previous 737475 ... 567568569 Next Last»
    collegegambler
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    collegegambler
    collegegambler
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 9:25 AM ET #1801

    Silly me Scal I put a whopping 3.3% of my bankroll on my fav play of the day yesterday by miles, analyzed the game perfectly and got my blowout winner... Do u realize I have gone nowhere near even putting 5% of my roll on one game yet? And you r questioning my bankroll management lol. Ur pulling for strings now buddy...
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    Silly me Scal I put a whopping 3.3% of my bankroll on my fav play of the day yesterday by miles, analyzed the game perfectly and got my blowout winner... Do u realize I have gone nowhere near even putting 5% of my roll on one game yet? And you r questioning my bankroll management lol. Ur pulling for strings now buddy...
     
    collegegambler
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 9:30 AM ET #1802

    And after my two bad days out here I RISKED the lowest amount of any days with my two K plays on ucla and the bulls (2-0) OVERALL those two days I risked $1100 instead of my $1650 or $2200 spread out $550/$500 over 3-4 games...
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    And after my two bad days out here I RISKED the lowest amount of any days with my two K plays on ucla and the bulls (2-0) OVERALL those two days I risked $1100 instead of my $1650 or $2200 spread out $550/$500 over 3-4 games...
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 9:40 AM ET #1803

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Silly me Scal I put a whopping 3.3% of my bankroll on my fav play of the day yesterday by miles, analyzed the game perfectly and got my blowout winner... Do u realize I have gone nowhere near even putting 5% of my roll on one game yet? And you r questioning my bankroll management lol. Ur pulling for strings now buddy...

    Yeah, 3.3% of your bankroll. Which just happened to be virtually the exact same amount you lost in the prior day.

    You are free to bet whatever you want, but when you pat yourself on the back about your bankroll management, then have one bad day and immediately raise your bet, you are no different than anyone else and exhibited no extra 'good bankroll management' that you so proudly claim to have done.

    Then if the Bulls aren't up big in the third to make you comfortable, perhaps like other nights after obvious 1-1's will occur, you hit up a late game with the caveat "I'm not crazy about this game but...".

    Hence, you are no different than 99% of the people posting here. We all do this. It's the demise of the degenerate. The raised bet amounts, the chasing etc. etc. etc. You just happened to be living in Vegas doing the exact same thing which is a far more unstable position than any of us are in.
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Silly me Scal I put a whopping 3.3% of my bankroll on my fav play of the day yesterday by miles, analyzed the game perfectly and got my blowout winner... Do u realize I have gone nowhere near even putting 5% of my roll on one game yet? And you r questioning my bankroll management lol. Ur pulling for strings now buddy...

    Yeah, 3.3% of your bankroll. Which just happened to be virtually the exact same amount you lost in the prior day.

    You are free to bet whatever you want, but when you pat yourself on the back about your bankroll management, then have one bad day and immediately raise your bet, you are no different than anyone else and exhibited no extra 'good bankroll management' that you so proudly claim to have done.

    Then if the Bulls aren't up big in the third to make you comfortable, perhaps like other nights after obvious 1-1's will occur, you hit up a late game with the caveat "I'm not crazy about this game but...".

    Hence, you are no different than 99% of the people posting here. We all do this. It's the demise of the degenerate. The raised bet amounts, the chasing etc. etc. etc. You just happened to be living in Vegas doing the exact same thing which is a far more unstable position than any of us are in.
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 9:45 AM ET #1804

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    And after my two bad days out here I RISKED the lowest amount of any days with my two K plays on ucla and the bulls (2-0) OVERALL those two days I risked $1100 instead of my $1650 or $2200 spread out $550/$500 over 3-4 games...


    Why are you comparing a 100% increase on your flat bet amount for one game with 4 flat bets? Because the total bet amount was less for the night? In the aggregate, it simple stands out as a massive straying from your alleged flat betting strategy. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    And after my two bad days out here I RISKED the lowest amount of any days with my two K plays on ucla and the bulls (2-0) OVERALL those two days I risked $1100 instead of my $1650 or $2200 spread out $550/$500 over 3-4 games...


    Why are you comparing a 100% increase on your flat bet amount for one game with 4 flat bets? Because the total bet amount was less for the night? In the aggregate, it simple stands out as a massive straying from your alleged flat betting strategy. 
     
    The Hawk
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 9:54 AM ET #1805

    Quote Originally Posted by tdog25:

    This thread reminds me of douche bag HAwk, who has a picture of sean connery but hasn't even been outside since like 2002, been on this site forever, what a loser.

    Yeah, I'm a douche bag. Because after I was done with your woman, she smelled better!

    Don't lump me in with Scal, we're totally different. But, at least we have avatars...........is that what you really look like?

    Yeah, been here for a while. I so wish I could have joined in January like you. Knowing it all about football, like Seahawks are overrated, Wilson sucks...................brilliant. And telling a guy actually DOING IT how to bet "You gotta be a thousand!" No, wait "You should only be betting $330!" 

    You MUST be a joke, because I laugh almost every time you post. Stick with the name calling and telling CG how much/what to bet. Seems to be your strong suit.
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    Quote Originally Posted by tdog25:

    This thread reminds me of douche bag HAwk, who has a picture of sean connery but hasn't even been outside since like 2002, been on this site forever, what a loser.

    Yeah, I'm a douche bag. Because after I was done with your woman, she smelled better!

    Don't lump me in with Scal, we're totally different. But, at least we have avatars...........is that what you really look like?

    Yeah, been here for a while. I so wish I could have joined in January like you. Knowing it all about football, like Seahawks are overrated, Wilson sucks...................brilliant. And telling a guy actually DOING IT how to bet "You gotta be a thousand!" No, wait "You should only be betting $330!" 

    You MUST be a joke, because I laugh almost every time you post. Stick with the name calling and telling CG how much/what to bet. Seems to be your strong suit.
     
    HutchEmAll
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:01 AM ET #1806

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    And after my two bad days out here I RISKED the lowest amount of any days with my two K plays on ucla and the bulls (2-0) OVERALL those two days I risked $1100 instead of my $1650 or $2200 spread out $550/$500 over 3-4 games...

    Not criticizing your Bulls play or the amount, but risking $1,100 on one game as opposed to $550 each on two games is not the same thing. The amount risked in the end is the same, but they are not the same thing.

    Probably stating the obvious here.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    And after my two bad days out here I RISKED the lowest amount of any days with my two K plays on ucla and the bulls (2-0) OVERALL those two days I risked $1100 instead of my $1650 or $2200 spread out $550/$500 over 3-4 games...

    Not criticizing your Bulls play or the amount, but risking $1,100 on one game as opposed to $550 each on two games is not the same thing. The amount risked in the end is the same, but they are not the same thing.

    Probably stating the obvious here.  
     
    FredNorris69
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:15 AM ET #1807

    This thread is an awesome read... Cg off betting for a minute, but you have to stay away from rice. Go with something healthier like quinoa or buckwheat maybe a sweet potato. Good luck with today's plays
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    This thread is an awesome read... Cg off betting for a minute, but you have to stay away from rice. Go with something healthier like quinoa or buckwheat maybe a sweet potato. Good luck with today's plays
     
    collegegambler
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:16 AM ET #1808

    Agree hutch. $550/$500 on two games is less risky but it's also harder to win money if that makes sense..... You then have to win two games instead of one... But arnt screwed with one loss so it works both ways... Just depends how I like the games. As it turned out the bulls were really the only play I liked. Still trying to get a read for today's card as we speak
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    Agree hutch. $550/$500 on two games is less risky but it's also harder to win money if that makes sense..... You then have to win two games instead of one... But arnt screwed with one loss so it works both ways... Just depends how I like the games. As it turned out the bulls were really the only play I liked. Still trying to get a read for today's card as we speak
     
    collegegambler
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:21 AM ET #1809

    I'm trying to win $ out here and we all say that parlays are sucker bets... So with two games at $550/$500 it's like I have to hit a two teamer to be profitable for that day....
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    I'm trying to win $ out here and we all say that parlays are sucker bets... So with two games at $550/$500 it's like I have to hit a two teamer to be profitable for that day....
     
    Theone324
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:36 AM ET #1810

    1, 2, 3, 4 even 5 games.  Don't limit yourself CG.  If you like 10 games on 1 day play them all.  And just tune scal out eventually he will go away.
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    1, 2, 3, 4 even 5 games.  Don't limit yourself CG.  If you like 10 games on 1 day play them all.  And just tune scal out eventually he will go away.
     
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:45 AM ET #1811

    Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:

    Man, this thread has really taken a life of its own. Miss a full day as I just have, and you feel like you just fell behind on your favorite tv show. That said, this thread has better character development than most shows out there. 

    It's my favorite morning and afternoon reading material for sure!!  

    Brady is a classic internet-sociopath.  CG's instincts were spot on to ignore him when he was "playing nice".  

    Nice win on the Bulls last night.....BOL tonight...........


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    Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:

    Man, this thread has really taken a life of its own. Miss a full day as I just have, and you feel like you just fell behind on your favorite tv show. That said, this thread has better character development than most shows out there. 

    It's my favorite morning and afternoon reading material for sure!!  

    Brady is a classic internet-sociopath.  CG's instincts were spot on to ignore him when he was "playing nice".  

    Nice win on the Bulls last night.....BOL tonight...........


     
    mbialowas
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:51 AM ET #1812

    Scal, let's get real here. It's beyond constructive criticism. You are just trolling and badgering CG now. I hope they box your sorry asss. Get a life and get the fuckk outta this thread. 

    Also, you haven't answered me. Where is your proof you hit 65%? I couldn't find it. ....
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    Scal, let's get real here. It's beyond constructive criticism. You are just trolling and badgering CG now. I hope they box your sorry asss. Get a life and get the fuckk outta this thread. 

    Also, you haven't answered me. Where is your proof you hit 65%? I couldn't find it. ....
     
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:53 AM ET #1813

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    I'm trying to win $ out here and we all say that parlays are sucker bets... So with two games at $550/$500 it's like I have to hit a two teamer to be profitable for that day....

    I personally wouldn't focus on being profitable on a given day, and try to think more macro/big picture.  Sure 1-1 days will happen a lot and some nights you'll be eating the juice, but the key is over time to make sure you have a lot more 2-0 days than 0-2 days.  If you do, that will outweigh the nights you wash out.  

    I also try to block out the idea of "playing with the house's money" when I am running good.  Once I book a win, it's MY money, and I treat it as such.  It's easy to take more chances/gambles when you are up because your mind tells you it's OK to lose since you will still be up in the end, or on the day/session.  

    A lot of these mind-sets I developed and applied to poker over the years, but can be used just as easily with sports betting.  Sorry, not trying to preach or tell anyone how to do things, just interjecting my approach on certain aspects.

    As for slaying MILFs, heII yeah, I do it all the time.  If by slaying you mean rolling my passed out wife over in the bed so I can find the TV remote, then I slay MILFs 4-5 times a week!!  
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    I'm trying to win $ out here and we all say that parlays are sucker bets... So with two games at $550/$500 it's like I have to hit a two teamer to be profitable for that day....

    I personally wouldn't focus on being profitable on a given day, and try to think more macro/big picture.  Sure 1-1 days will happen a lot and some nights you'll be eating the juice, but the key is over time to make sure you have a lot more 2-0 days than 0-2 days.  If you do, that will outweigh the nights you wash out.  

    I also try to block out the idea of "playing with the house's money" when I am running good.  Once I book a win, it's MY money, and I treat it as such.  It's easy to take more chances/gambles when you are up because your mind tells you it's OK to lose since you will still be up in the end, or on the day/session.  

    A lot of these mind-sets I developed and applied to poker over the years, but can be used just as easily with sports betting.  Sorry, not trying to preach or tell anyone how to do things, just interjecting my approach on certain aspects.

    As for slaying MILFs, heII yeah, I do it all the time.  If by slaying you mean rolling my passed out wife over in the bed so I can find the TV remote, then I slay MILFs 4-5 times a week!!  
     
    KennyWoo
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:54 AM ET #1814

    Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:


    Not criticizing your Bulls play or the amount, but risking $1,100 on one game as opposed to $550 each on two games is not the same thing. The amount risked in the end is the same, but they are not the same thing.

    Probably stating the obvious here.  

    You are stating the obvious, but the OP has heard this a few times and doesn't seem to get it yet, which is probably the most troubling betting-related thing I've seen in this thread.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:


    Not criticizing your Bulls play or the amount, but risking $1,100 on one game as opposed to $550 each on two games is not the same thing. The amount risked in the end is the same, but they are not the same thing.

    Probably stating the obvious here.  

    You are stating the obvious, but the OP has heard this a few times and doesn't seem to get it yet, which is probably the most troubling betting-related thing I've seen in this thread.  
     
    KennyWoo
    KennyWoo
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 10:57 AM ET #1815

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    I'm trying to win $ out here and we all say that parlays are sucker bets... So with two games at $550/$500 it's like I have to hit a two teamer to be profitable for that day....

    You need to stop thinking about "days."  It's one long session.  Or, if you prefer, each session is a month.  Poker players fall into this trap too.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    I'm trying to win $ out here and we all say that parlays are sucker bets... So with two games at $550/$500 it's like I have to hit a two teamer to be profitable for that day....

    You need to stop thinking about "days."  It's one long session.  Or, if you prefer, each session is a month.  Poker players fall into this trap too.  
     
    WSTgekko
    WSTgekko
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 11:12 AM ET #1816

    Enjoy the day capping. I'm about to start. Right off the bat Detroit pistons will be getting huge value tonight. Home dog getting +7.5 right now, I can see it going to +8.5 at game time. That's my focus so far today.
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    Enjoy the day capping. I'm about to start. Right off the bat Detroit pistons will be getting huge value tonight. Home dog getting +7.5 right now, I can see it going to +8.5 at game time. That's my focus so far today.
     
    WSTgekko
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 11:15 AM ET #1817

    Scal is a loser degenerate that spends more time whining and being negative on people's threads then he spends on capping games. Let's ignore the ignorant please. He hates that we all make a living off of gambling while he wishes he could do the same!
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    Scal is a loser degenerate that spends more time whining and being negative on people's threads then he spends on capping games. Let's ignore the ignorant please. He hates that we all make a living off of gambling while he wishes he could do the same!
     
    TheGoldenGoose
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 12:01 PM ET #1818

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Silly me Scal I put a whopping 3.3% of my bankroll on my fav play of the day yesterday by miles, analyzed the game perfectly and got my blowout winner... Do u realize I have gone nowhere near even putting 5% of my roll on one game yet? And you r questioning my bankroll management lol. Ur pulling for strings now buddy...



    I'm just glad you are finally listening about Bankroll percentages.  3% - 5% is where you need to be on every wager.  I understand this might be a little out of your comfort zone.  Maybe consider some $770 or $880 base level wages instead of the Nickles.  Those extra $100 bills really add up and will come in handy during the Dog Days of Summer Baseball.

    GL CG
    ~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Silly me Scal I put a whopping 3.3% of my bankroll on my fav play of the day yesterday by miles, analyzed the game perfectly and got my blowout winner... Do u realize I have gone nowhere near even putting 5% of my roll on one game yet? And you r questioning my bankroll management lol. Ur pulling for strings now buddy...



    I'm just glad you are finally listening about Bankroll percentages.  3% - 5% is where you need to be on every wager.  I understand this might be a little out of your comfort zone.  Maybe consider some $770 or $880 base level wages instead of the Nickles.  Those extra $100 bills really add up and will come in handy during the Dog Days of Summer Baseball.

    GL CG
     
    HutchEmAll
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 12:07 PM ET #1819

    I think the reasons many people resist working backward from a plan (like van layed out) is 1. It's work, and 2. It's a little disheartening if you're on a bad run and you see your goal might not be reachable (either monthly or yearly).  

    Kind of hard to stare at red numbers for 3 months and still think you have a chance to reach your yearly goal if you don't start adjusting your bet size/approach, etc....and that is usually done without using solid rationale.  

    I think the clinical term would be detachment.  Us as humans suck at it.  Most gamblers REALLY suck at it.  

     
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    I think the reasons many people resist working backward from a plan (like van layed out) is 1. It's work, and 2. It's a little disheartening if you're on a bad run and you see your goal might not be reachable (either monthly or yearly).  

    Kind of hard to stare at red numbers for 3 months and still think you have a chance to reach your yearly goal if you don't start adjusting your bet size/approach, etc....and that is usually done without using solid rationale.  

    I think the clinical term would be detachment.  Us as humans suck at it.  Most gamblers REALLY suck at it.  

     
     
    Wander Bread
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 12:14 PM ET #1820

    What are we liking today bro?
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    What are we liking today bro?
     
    BigGame90
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 12:19 PM ET #1821

    Your 1-1 days would be a lot better if you listen and follow Vanzack. 1-1 or 6-5 (ideally 7-5, highly unlikely you go 8-5 every week) will be a lot more profitable for you if you find lower juice (realistically you're not going to hit over 60% for the long run). Those small numbers add up over the long run. If you're in it for the short run don't do the extra work. If you really want to be in the long run you need every decimal you can get. I'm not trying to tell you how to run your shop, but the books only get bigger for a reason (those small decimals that everyone over looks).

    Good luck, I'm rooting for you.
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    Your 1-1 days would be a lot better if you listen and follow Vanzack. 1-1 or 6-5 (ideally 7-5, highly unlikely you go 8-5 every week) will be a lot more profitable for you if you find lower juice (realistically you're not going to hit over 60% for the long run). Those small numbers add up over the long run. If you're in it for the short run don't do the extra work. If you really want to be in the long run you need every decimal you can get. I'm not trying to tell you how to run your shop, but the books only get bigger for a reason (those small decimals that everyone over looks).

    Good luck, I'm rooting for you.
     
    baronman
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 12:28 PM ET #1822

    Morning Covers brothers nice day I took College pick & my Celticz +7.5/ Suns Stated reasons why I was dead on against nobody didn't like my play out there . That's ok & I would never try to influence College , because he knows more than me & bets large $$$. Finally Westgekko with play out there on Detroit I been begging all you guys on sideline but out 1 Play day & reasoning for it . Everyone rather sit on the sideline. & complain. They rather bash College on his plays & dollar amount. Read last play I put out. & analogy . Today love Dallas -4/ Raptors Raptors. 4 th game in 5 days on the road . Dallas fully healthy Rondo back .Dallas to much size with. 7fts Dirk &Chandeller . Other won on College taking Maryland @ home +6.5/Wisconsin Maryland beat Duke earlier , Like home team. & points . Laugh at me , not with nd both plays. $33-30 . Looking forward your picks & College Gamblers picks .Havent decided yet looking at West Virginia / Texas .Good luck Westgekko , no play for me Your smart tske points at home, May I ask how much on tonight's wager ??? Looking forward to covers plays tonight. Out
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    Morning Covers brothers nice day I took College pick & my Celticz +7.5/ Suns Stated reasons why I was dead on against nobody didn't like my play out there . That's ok & I would never try to influence College , because he knows more than me & bets large $$$. Finally Westgekko with play out there on Detroit I been begging all you guys on sideline but out 1 Play day & reasoning for it . Everyone rather sit on the sideline. & complain. They rather bash College on his plays & dollar amount. Read last play I put out. & analogy . Today love Dallas -4/ Raptors Raptors. 4 th game in 5 days on the road . Dallas fully healthy Rondo back .Dallas to much size with. 7fts Dirk &Chandeller . Other won on College taking Maryland @ home +6.5/Wisconsin Maryland beat Duke earlier , Like home team. & points . Laugh at me , not with nd both plays. $33-30 . Looking forward your picks & College Gamblers picks .Havent decided yet looking at West Virginia / Texas .Good luck Westgekko , no play for me Your smart tske points at home, May I ask how much on tonight's wager ??? Looking forward to covers plays tonight. Out
     
    collegegambler
    collegegambler
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 12:34 PM ET #1823

    Some solid comments in here today. I agree can't look at it on a day to day that's a good point. Crunching some more numbers for today as we speak on this card
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    Some solid comments in here today. I agree can't look at it on a day to day that's a good point. Crunching some more numbers for today as we speak on this card
     
    DiverRon
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 12:39 PM ET #1824

    CG,

    I want you to have a nice Vacation out there in vegas so
    here's a little bone for you:

    NCAAB: BSU -8
    Enjoy!

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    CG,

    I want you to have a nice Vacation out there in vegas so
    here's a little bone for you:

    NCAAB: BSU -8
    Enjoy!

     
     
    wizardofroz
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 12:55 PM ET #1825

     I thought this thread was about college gambler's journey.  Why are there several DUMB people giving out THEIR selections in HIS thread, when he is not requesting them?

    Quit hijacking his thread, and start your OWN thread, with your OWN selections.  
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     I thought this thread was about college gambler's journey.  Why are there several DUMB people giving out THEIR selections in HIS thread, when he is not requesting them?

    Quit hijacking his thread, and start your OWN thread, with your OWN selections.  
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