WTF?!?! PLEASE HELP! Juan Ignacio Chela is only -180 vs a Futures/Challenger Pospisil?!?!?!

I've been looking at this COMPLETE mismatch here and waiting for the line to come out and it comes out as Chela -180?  I had this pegged as -500 to -800.  WTF?

Did Chela miss the drop out date for a Mandatory ATP Masters 1000 event or is he saving some points by not dropping out and at least playing one match in this event?

Did Chela hurt himself playing in the Bet-at-home Cup this weekend?  He sort of flopped against Albert Montanes and wasnt playing how he had played his earlier matches there.

This Pospisil kid is 21 years old and splits his time between ITF Futures and ATP Challenger events where he is 17-4 in Futures and 17-8 in Challenger events.  He is 1-1 in ATP World Tour YTD and 1-2 career.

We have to get to the bottom of this,...why is the line so low?  Either this is a line to JUMP on or it's a line to STAY AWAY from.

ANY INFORMATION can help, but opinions are not needed.  Opinions are just feelings and guesses.  We need some real facts here.

Pospisil's ONLY semi-decent wins were vs a then-#137 Tatsuma Ito who is nothing but a wanna-be World player who plays at the Challenger level and tries to qualify his way in for a few World matches a year.

His other semi-decent win was vs a then-#104 Brian Dadul and now-ranked #164.  He also plays more Challenger events and squeks his way in to get man-handles in the World Tour.

Other than that he has lost to #497, #122, #145, #128, #346, #114, #146, #513, #398, #545, #219, #561, #351, & #109.

Does this sound ANYTHING like a player that should only have odds of +155?!?!?!

I don't get it.  If I buy Chela around -200 and then Chela gets behind or "broken", how do I buy Pospisil then?  Then I could only cut my loses when Pospisil would be up and at an odds of probably -150 to -200.

I'm interested in what you are saying, but not catching HOW it is done.

Thanx

Quote Originally Posted by Mad_Skillz123:



this is only possible if one of the players HOLDS the first service game.

if Pos holds, hit Chela with better odds.

If Chela is first to serve and holds, you can get Pos with even higher odds and make sure money

Sorry, I meant my last post for randymoss.  I understand what you mean and have done that many times.

Thanks for everyone's thoughts here.

But I'm VERY CURIOUS as to WHY this line is SOO low.

This line is ridiculously low for Chela.

Can this be Chela just playing 1 match in a Masters 1000 event because it is Mandatory for him to play or get penalized?  I don't use Twitter and Facebook or anything of the likes, but has anybody heard anything???

So here's my next question:

What happens if I jump Chela now and the line doesn't move?  Even though I think that it should like you said, the public will pound it an move the line up so that we can make a profit no matter what.  Would that make US the PUBLIC?

All I'm saying bud is that you use, use, use this website with absolutely NO payback.  You ask a question trying to fish for a place to put your bet, but yet bring NOTHING of value to the table to help ANYBODY ELSE OUT.  You fish away by starting up threads that sound like you are going to give some insight on the match, but then when we enter it, Zilch, Nada, Nothing.

THIS thread is meant to get to the bottom on WHY A LINE IS SOO LOW.  I've given 100 times MORE insight to THIS MATCHUP than you have EVER done in this forum.

ALL IM ASKING IS THAT YOU BRING SOMETHING TO THE TABLE AND STOP GETTING FREE RIDES. Anybody can open up a thread and beg for a play.

Maybe if Covers.com would charge a membership fee for the ADVICE found on this site, maybe it'd keep you Begging Fisherman away.

I'm not trying to stop you from coming to Covers.com, but for fricken sakes man,....quit begging for places to put your money.

To be honest, I wish I had a Blind Chimpanazee that could pick my winners, but instead it's ME doing.  You don't find me starting up threads and BEGGING FOR WINNERS.

Best of Luck to you troylex, I DO wish you luck in your wagering. 

If dollar bills get snagged on your hook, I hope you enjoy the RIDE that we all give you.

I started out just ASKING YOU A SIMPLE QUESTION of, "What do YOU think about this matchup?"