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    All Forums | Tennis

    US Open Thread

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    rzagza
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    mortex2
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    steelman24
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    rzagza
    rzagza
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 11:37 AM ET #601

    Quote Originally Posted by moosie00:

    nadal dealing with arm discomfort...assuming medvedev beats dimitrov, maybe he has an answer for nadal...im afraid he wont but it would be cool if he beat him somehow

    He had a cramp in absurdly humid conditions. He will be just fine after an ice bath and hydration.  DId you see the meeting Medvedev and Nadal had 2 wks ago? When Med didnt have a leg injury? He got crucified. Had no answer for the heavy topspin. Final would be no different.

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    Quote Originally Posted by moosie00:

    nadal dealing with arm discomfort...assuming medvedev beats dimitrov, maybe he has an answer for nadal...im afraid he wont but it would be cool if he beat him somehow

    He had a cramp in absurdly humid conditions. He will be just fine after an ice bath and hydration.  DId you see the meeting Medvedev and Nadal had 2 wks ago? When Med didnt have a leg injury? He got crucified. Had no answer for the heavy topspin. Final would be no different.

     
    The_Closer
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 11:37 AM ET #602

    Hi Packer,

    Nice run this US open.

    I'm curious on your thoughts on the ladies semi's tonight also on the futures.

    Personally I think Andreescu's had a nice run but she appears to be running out of gas. I have futures on her, however I'm considering cashing out because even if she might win tonight by the slimmest of margins there is no way she will have enough to take Serena. I think Bencic is a great chance tonight.

    Thanks for sharing your input as always.

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    Hi Packer,

    Nice run this US open.

    I'm curious on your thoughts on the ladies semi's tonight also on the futures.

    Personally I think Andreescu's had a nice run but she appears to be running out of gas. I have futures on her, however I'm considering cashing out because even if she might win tonight by the slimmest of margins there is no way she will have enough to take Serena. I think Bencic is a great chance tonight.

    Thanks for sharing your input as always.

     
    mortex2
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 11:58 AM ET #603

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    Hi Packer, Nice run this US open. I'm curious on your thoughts on the ladies semi's tonight also on the futures. Personally I think Andreescu's had a nice run but she appears to be running out of gas. I have futures on her, however I'm considering cashing out because even if she might win tonight by the slimmest of margins there is no way she will have enough to take Serena. I think Bencic is a great chance tonight. Thanks for sharing your input as always.

    To take Serena? Svitolina, can take out Serena today. Why are you looking past Williams semi-final? I mean no offense to Williams, but this particular US Open she beat a bunch of nobodies thus far. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    Hi Packer, Nice run this US open. I'm curious on your thoughts on the ladies semi's tonight also on the futures. Personally I think Andreescu's had a nice run but she appears to be running out of gas. I have futures on her, however I'm considering cashing out because even if she might win tonight by the slimmest of margins there is no way she will have enough to take Serena. I think Bencic is a great chance tonight. Thanks for sharing your input as always.

    To take Serena? Svitolina, can take out Serena today. Why are you looking past Williams semi-final? I mean no offense to Williams, but this particular US Open she beat a bunch of nobodies thus far. 

     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 12:11 PM ET #604

    100% agreed...Svitolina is very live tonight

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    100% agreed...Svitolina is very live tonight

     
    The_Closer
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 12:21 PM ET #605

    Quote Originally Posted by mortex2:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    Hi Packer, Nice run this US open. I'm curious on your thoughts on the ladies semi's tonight also on the futures. Personally I think Andreescu's had a nice run but she appears to be running out of gas. I have futures on her, however I'm considering cashing out because even if she might win tonight by the slimmest of margins there is no way she will have enough to take Serena. I think Bencic is a great chance tonight. Thanks for sharing your input as always.
    To take Serena? Svitolina, can take out Serena today. Why are you looking past Williams semi-final? I mean no offense to Williams, but this particular US Open she beat a bunch of nobodies thus far.

     

    William's + Home Court = High probability to win in my opinion. Plus she hasn't played very many long matches. Serena can also over power and is much more consistent then the competition Svitolina has faced.

    Granted Svitolina has a chance. But the odds look favorable for a reason and I'm not biting.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mortex2:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    Hi Packer, Nice run this US open. I'm curious on your thoughts on the ladies semi's tonight also on the futures. Personally I think Andreescu's had a nice run but she appears to be running out of gas. I have futures on her, however I'm considering cashing out because even if she might win tonight by the slimmest of margins there is no way she will have enough to take Serena. I think Bencic is a great chance tonight. Thanks for sharing your input as always.
    To take Serena? Svitolina, can take out Serena today. Why are you looking past Williams semi-final? I mean no offense to Williams, but this particular US Open she beat a bunch of nobodies thus far.

     

    William's + Home Court = High probability to win in my opinion. Plus she hasn't played very many long matches. Serena can also over power and is much more consistent then the competition Svitolina has faced.

    Granted Svitolina has a chance. But the odds look favorable for a reason and I'm not biting.

     
    steelman24
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 12:33 PM ET #606

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    To take Serena? Svitolina, can take out Serena today. Why are you looking past Williams semi-final? I mean no offense to Williams, but this particular US Open she beat a bunch of nobodies thus far.

     

    William's + Home Court = High probability to win in my opinion. Plus she hasn't played very many long matches. Serena can also over power and is much more consistent then the competition Svitolina has faced.

    Granted Svitolina has a chance. But the odds look favorable for a reason and I'm not biting.


    Serena has played more sets than Svit so far! 
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    To take Serena? Svitolina, can take out Serena today. Why are you looking past Williams semi-final? I mean no offense to Williams, but this particular US Open she beat a bunch of nobodies thus far.

     

    William's + Home Court = High probability to win in my opinion. Plus she hasn't played very many long matches. Serena can also over power and is much more consistent then the competition Svitolina has faced.

    Granted Svitolina has a chance. But the odds look favorable for a reason and I'm not biting.


    Serena has played more sets than Svit so far! 
     
    The_Closer
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 12:51 PM ET #607

    Quote Originally Posted by steelman24:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    To take Serena? Svitolina, can take out Serena today. Why are you looking past Williams semi-final? I mean no offense to Williams, but this particular US Open she beat a bunch of nobodies thus far.   William's + Home Court = High probability to win in my opinion. Plus she hasn't played very many long matches. Serena can also over power and is much more consistent then the competition Svitolina has faced. Granted Svitolina has a chance. But the odds look favorable for a reason and I'm not biting.
    Serena has played more sets than Svit so far!

    I never compared her sets to Svitolina, but thanks for that stat. I just think unless Serena gets injuried this is a bad match up for Svitolina. Svitolina the human backboard likes to run back and forth and play defense. She wont catch up to Serenas 2nd or 3rd shot. Plus dont discount the impact Arthur Ash the biggest stadium in tennis and the impact that will play with what's at stake. The moment will be too big for Svitolina.

    I give Svitolina a 5% chance. Would I pay -300 for Serena on the other hand? hell no. Theres better value in the other womans match. Bencic has a solid chance, Andreescu is out of gas and it's back to back.

     

    Good luck with your pick.

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    Quote Originally Posted by steelman24:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    To take Serena? Svitolina, can take out Serena today. Why are you looking past Williams semi-final? I mean no offense to Williams, but this particular US Open she beat a bunch of nobodies thus far.   William's + Home Court = High probability to win in my opinion. Plus she hasn't played very many long matches. Serena can also over power and is much more consistent then the competition Svitolina has faced. Granted Svitolina has a chance. But the odds look favorable for a reason and I'm not biting.
    Serena has played more sets than Svit so far!

    I never compared her sets to Svitolina, but thanks for that stat. I just think unless Serena gets injuried this is a bad match up for Svitolina. Svitolina the human backboard likes to run back and forth and play defense. She wont catch up to Serenas 2nd or 3rd shot. Plus dont discount the impact Arthur Ash the biggest stadium in tennis and the impact that will play with what's at stake. The moment will be too big for Svitolina.

    I give Svitolina a 5% chance. Would I pay -300 for Serena on the other hand? hell no. Theres better value in the other womans match. Bencic has a solid chance, Andreescu is out of gas and it's back to back.

     

    Good luck with your pick.

     
    mortex2
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 12:51 PM ET #608

    You also forget that Serena is bulky and 37, while Svitolina is fit and 24. Furthermore, it is not Svitolina's rodeo vs Williams, so she is not going to have first timer jitters. 

    All Serena got on her is her serve, if it goes 3 sets, Serena will most likely lose due to fitness. Her best chance to win is to blow Svitolina off the court. It is that simple. If it goes 3 rounds, it is a coin toss in my opinion.

     

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    You also forget that Serena is bulky and 37, while Svitolina is fit and 24. Furthermore, it is not Svitolina's rodeo vs Williams, so she is not going to have first timer jitters. 

    All Serena got on her is her serve, if it goes 3 sets, Serena will most likely lose due to fitness. Her best chance to win is to blow Svitolina off the court. It is that simple. If it goes 3 rounds, it is a coin toss in my opinion.

     

     
    steelman24
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 12:55 PM ET #609

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    Serena has played more sets than Svit so far!

    I never compared her sets to Svitolina, but thanks for that stat. I just think unless Serena gets injuried this is a bad match up for Svitolina. Svitolina the human backboard likes to run back and forth and play defense. She wont catch up to Serenas 2nd or 3rd shot. Plus dont discount the impact Arthur Ash the biggest stadium in tennis and the impact that will play with what's at stake. The moment will be too big for Svitolina.

    I give Svitolina a 5% chance. Would I pay -300 for Serena on the other hand? hell no. Theres better value in the other womans match. Bencic has a solid chance, Andreescu is out of gas and it's back to back.

     

    Good luck with your pick.


    You've sure got a good sense of value if you wouldn't take -300 with what you think is a probability of 95%. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    Serena has played more sets than Svit so far!

    I never compared her sets to Svitolina, but thanks for that stat. I just think unless Serena gets injuried this is a bad match up for Svitolina. Svitolina the human backboard likes to run back and forth and play defense. She wont catch up to Serenas 2nd or 3rd shot. Plus dont discount the impact Arthur Ash the biggest stadium in tennis and the impact that will play with what's at stake. The moment will be too big for Svitolina.

    I give Svitolina a 5% chance. Would I pay -300 for Serena on the other hand? hell no. Theres better value in the other womans match. Bencic has a solid chance, Andreescu is out of gas and it's back to back.

     

    Good luck with your pick.


    You've sure got a good sense of value if you wouldn't take -300 with what you think is a probability of 95%. 
     
    tenniscapper41
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 12:57 PM ET #610

    Andreescu is 19 she isn't out of gas.  Bencic can be a head case, just go look at Mallorca final not long ago....

    Svit odds don't justify.  I would need 4-5:1 to take her against a very in form GOAT.

    Bianca x Serena parlay at + odds!
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    Andreescu is 19 she isn't out of gas.  Bencic can be a head case, just go look at Mallorca final not long ago....

    Svit odds don't justify.  I would need 4-5:1 to take her against a very in form GOAT.

    Bianca x Serena parlay at + odds!
     
    The_Closer
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 1:19 PM ET #611

    Quote Originally Posted by steelman24:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    Serena has played more sets than Svit so far! I never compared her sets to Svitolina, but thanks for that stat. I just think unless Serena gets injuried this is a bad match up for Svitolina. Svitolina the human backboard likes to run back and forth and play defense. She wont catch up to Serenas 2nd or 3rd shot. Plus dont discount the impact Arthur Ash the biggest stadium in tennis and the impact that will play with what's at stake. The moment will be too big for Svitolina. I give Svitolina a 5% chance. Would I pay -300 for Serena on the other hand? hell no. Theres better value in the other womans match. Bencic has a solid chance, Andreescu is out of gas and it's back to back.   Good luck with your pick.
    You've sure got a good sense of value if you wouldn't take -300 with what you think is a probability of 95%.

     

    This is WTA. Not sure how long you've been betting it. Women are flakey and Serena is injury prone. I refuse to bet -300 on any WTA favorite. Sorry.

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    Quote Originally Posted by steelman24:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Closer:

    Serena has played more sets than Svit so far! I never compared her sets to Svitolina, but thanks for that stat. I just think unless Serena gets injuried this is a bad match up for Svitolina. Svitolina the human backboard likes to run back and forth and play defense. She wont catch up to Serenas 2nd or 3rd shot. Plus dont discount the impact Arthur Ash the biggest stadium in tennis and the impact that will play with what's at stake. The moment will be too big for Svitolina. I give Svitolina a 5% chance. Would I pay -300 for Serena on the other hand? hell no. Theres better value in the other womans match. Bencic has a solid chance, Andreescu is out of gas and it's back to back.   Good luck with your pick.
    You've sure got a good sense of value if you wouldn't take -300 with what you think is a probability of 95%.

     

    This is WTA. Not sure how long you've been betting it. Women are flakey and Serena is injury prone. I refuse to bet -300 on any WTA favorite. Sorry.

     
    steelman24
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 2:50 PM ET #612

    Exactly... You're debunking your own argument. Just about nobody in WTA has a 95% chance of winning a match... Especially someone playing a top 5 in form player. Even Serena. Wasn't trying to get in an argument, I just personally think she's got a pretty good shot tonight. 
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    Exactly... You're debunking your own argument. Just about nobody in WTA has a 95% chance of winning a match... Especially someone playing a top 5 in form player. Even Serena. Wasn't trying to get in an argument, I just personally think she's got a pretty good shot tonight. 
     
    LONG-TU
    LONG-TU
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 5:16 PM ET #613

    I'll  take Svito +4h games . Best of luck to you pal.

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    I'll  take Svito +4h games . Best of luck to you pal.

     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 6:30 PM ET #614

    Quote Originally Posted by LONG-TU:

    I'll  take Svito +4h games . Best of luck to you pal.

    Hey Long-Tu....nice to see you my friend...Svit for the win fuk ya...lets get this 

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Quote Originally Posted by LONG-TU:

    I'll  take Svito +4h games . Best of luck to you pal.

    Hey Long-Tu....nice to see you my friend...Svit for the win fuk ya...lets get this 

     
    Toma888
    Toma888
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 6:37 PM ET #615

    Pushing 40 Serena is a moments notice away from a back spasm....ankle....retirement, etc....

    Go Easy....

    Value in the Ukrainian
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    Pushing 40 Serena is a moments notice away from a back spasm....ankle....retirement, etc....

    Go Easy....

    Value in the Ukrainian
     
    icemantbi
    icemantbi
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2019 - 10:10 PM ET #616

    Bencic is done, multiple break point chances and now making unforced errors galore andreescu will blow her out this set

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    Bencic is done, multiple break point chances and now making unforced errors galore andreescu will blow her out this set

     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2019 - 12:50 PM ET #617

    Quote Originally Posted by Cool_Cat:

    Dmitrov line up to +5.5 and +175 now 


    When has backing players Fed has choked against and made look good ever paid off?? When? Name me one time. OK. I'll name it. That guy was Cilic and the only reason he won his next match was because he was playing the mental/physical midget: Nishi. Otherwise, the guys who beat Fed usually get crushed because they did not really beat Fed, Fed beat himself.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cool_Cat:

    Dmitrov line up to +5.5 and +175 now 


    When has backing players Fed has choked against and made look good ever paid off?? When? Name me one time. OK. I'll name it. That guy was Cilic and the only reason he won his next match was because he was playing the mental/physical midget: Nishi. Otherwise, the guys who beat Fed usually get crushed because they did not really beat Fed, Fed beat himself.
     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2019 - 2:30 PM ET #618

    Quote Originally Posted by Cool_Cat:


    Interesting take on the game but ok


    Dimitrov is the equivalent of a dumb blond. The guy has nothing up there. He is all ability and no brain. Zero. Even his coaches gave up on him, which is why they did not show up to the Open. Now he is playing a guy who is his opposite in the brain department. If this was chess the match would be over in less than a minute, but since it's tennis and Med has some fatigue issues it will take at least a couple of hours for him to send Dimitrov packing.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cool_Cat:


    Interesting take on the game but ok


    Dimitrov is the equivalent of a dumb blond. The guy has nothing up there. He is all ability and no brain. Zero. Even his coaches gave up on him, which is why they did not show up to the Open. Now he is playing a guy who is his opposite in the brain department. If this was chess the match would be over in less than a minute, but since it's tennis and Med has some fatigue issues it will take at least a couple of hours for him to send Dimitrov packing.
     
    moosie00
    moosie00
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2019 - 2:45 PM ET #619

    I think dimitrov can prob take a set but not win the match...3-0 would not surprise me however
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    I think dimitrov can prob take a set but not win the match...3-0 would not surprise me however
     
    gabalja
    gabalja
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2019 - 3:32 PM ET #620

    What we locking in tonight peoples champ?

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    What we locking in tonight peoples champ?

     
    Jailbait7127
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2019 - 6:18 PM ET #621

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:



    Dimitrov is the equivalent of a dumb blond. The guy has nothing up there. He is all ability and no brain. Zero. Even his coaches gave up on him, which is why they did not show up to the Open. Now he is playing a guy who is his opposite in the brain department. If this was chess the match would be over in less than a minute, but since it's tennis and Med has some fatigue issues it will take at least a couple of hours for him to send Dimitrov packing.


    never seen such a wrong analysis of a player. C'Mon MAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:



    Dimitrov is the equivalent of a dumb blond. The guy has nothing up there. He is all ability and no brain. Zero. Even his coaches gave up on him, which is why they did not show up to the Open. Now he is playing a guy who is his opposite in the brain department. If this was chess the match would be over in less than a minute, but since it's tennis and Med has some fatigue issues it will take at least a couple of hours for him to send Dimitrov packing.


    never seen such a wrong analysis of a player. C'Mon MAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2019 - 6:46 PM ET #622

    Locked in:

    Rafa -7.5 games (-138)...5u

    Rafa Under 30.5 games (-120)...5u

    Blowout city...pumpkin time for Cinderella

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Locked in:

    Rafa -7.5 games (-138)...5u

    Rafa Under 30.5 games (-120)...5u

    Blowout city...pumpkin time for Cinderella

     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2019 - 6:41 AM ET #623

    ^^^^^ never in doubt bigsmile

     

    Locked in:

    Romanian to win 1st set +175...2u

    Romanian +4.5 games (-125)...5u

    Romanian Over 20.5 games (-125)...3u

    Romanian to win 2-0 sets +450...1u

    Romanian Tie Break in match YES +250...1u

     

    My skillset predicts 64 76 for the Romanian...what drama sequence will Serena come up with this time? Rolls an ankle? "Mysterious" back spasms? Broken nail? Dare i say it...foot fault?

    Are there any books out there with "Serena loses by DQ or death threats to a linesperson" props? I would sprinkle a few shekkels on those an_roll_laugh

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    ^^^^^ never in doubt bigsmile

     

    Locked in:

    Romanian to win 1st set +175...2u

    Romanian +4.5 games (-125)...5u

    Romanian Over 20.5 games (-125)...3u

    Romanian to win 2-0 sets +450...1u

    Romanian Tie Break in match YES +250...1u

     

    My skillset predicts 64 76 for the Romanian...what drama sequence will Serena come up with this time? Rolls an ankle? "Mysterious" back spasms? Broken nail? Dare i say it...foot fault?

    Are there any books out there with "Serena loses by DQ or death threats to a linesperson" props? I would sprinkle a few shekkels on those an_roll_laugh

     
    payne034
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2019 - 9:38 AM ET #624

    First one we have been completely oppo on in a while.  This is serena 24 time and she is not yet ready to pass that torch.  I think we see serena straights but good luck

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    First one we have been completely oppo on in a while.  This is serena 24 time and she is not yet ready to pass that torch.  I think we see serena straights but good luck

     
     
    yaongingy
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2019 - 11:08 AM ET #625

    I dunno about backing Bianca here, i think the biggest difference between this GS final and the others, for Serena, is that she did what she said after Wimby, which is play some matches before USO, so she doesn't come in flat, physically. She really wants that record and played like that, in her last couple of matches.

    Here is a revelation i had about Bianca, pointed out by some people on another forum also, i get why Kerber was mad at her after that game, Bianca has some "drama queen-ish" behaviors. At the time i thought Kerber was a sore loser, but you can see how Bianca's demeanor could be upsetting, after points she bends over like she is in pain, she has some grimaces of discomfort, or something is bothering her, she even did it with Bencic. I think she is the del Potro of WTA. Just to make my self clear, i'm not saying she is faking injuries or something like that, it's just these small things she seems to be doing when she struggles, with the rhythm of the game.

    Having said all that, Bianca of course can beat Serena, but she had a tapping under her left knee, her right shoulder is a recurring problem for her, and given Serena's problems of late, both of them could get injured in this one.

    Btw packers, this the perfect example about mentality, that is what i was telling you regarding Simona, the talent is there, like it's with Bianca, but the upbringing makes a lot of difference.

    BOL with the plays
    Accomplished time-waster
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    I dunno about backing Bianca here, i think the biggest difference between this GS final and the others, for Serena, is that she did what she said after Wimby, which is play some matches before USO, so she doesn't come in flat, physically. She really wants that record and played like that, in her last couple of matches.

    Here is a revelation i had about Bianca, pointed out by some people on another forum also, i get why Kerber was mad at her after that game, Bianca has some "drama queen-ish" behaviors. At the time i thought Kerber was a sore loser, but you can see how Bianca's demeanor could be upsetting, after points she bends over like she is in pain, she has some grimaces of discomfort, or something is bothering her, she even did it with Bencic. I think she is the del Potro of WTA. Just to make my self clear, i'm not saying she is faking injuries or something like that, it's just these small things she seems to be doing when she struggles, with the rhythm of the game.

    Having said all that, Bianca of course can beat Serena, but she had a tapping under her left knee, her right shoulder is a recurring problem for her, and given Serena's problems of late, both of them could get injured in this one.

    Btw packers, this the perfect example about mentality, that is what i was telling you regarding Simona, the talent is there, like it's with Bianca, but the upbringing makes a lot of difference.

    BOL with the plays
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