US Open Thread

The point about clown is valid. Every time i take Monfils seriously, I pay dearly for it with my cash... He just likes showboating, which is cool unless you are betting real money on it.

Greedy hedge upcoming as I still believe Monfils will win today but the dog will fight hard to hopefully cover the spread

Locked in:

Berrettini +3.5 (-120)...12u

Another hedge required:

Mertens +3.5 games (-125)...2u

Going to have to ride it out with Mrs. Monfils for one more match...against the beast...could we really see both husband and wife playing on the weekend?

Locked in:

Nadal Over 29.5 games (-150)...3u

The dog will fight for every single point in every single game...he loves being the underdog

Any opinion on Bencic?

Thanks Pack - would you go as heavy unit wise on Berrettini if you don’t have the Monfils future?

Same question here. - 165 seems like great value considering their performances in their last matches here. 

absolutely not...it's purely a greedy aggressive hedge hoping to hit both...76 67 76 64 Monfils is what I'm thinking

I do like Bencic ML here, she's been playing great since getting fit and healthy...but in 2019, so has Vekic...so the question is who mentally breaks down first - I trust Bencic's mental strength more.

Thanks for the input. I think I'm gonna go Bencic ML. The fact that she played one less match can't hurt her odds either.

hi pack

if you are not hedging, would you still bet berrettini and mertens?

yes I would...I would take Berrettini + the games only...I do think his lack of QF slam experience will be a factor.

I am also really scared for Andreescu tonight...this feels like a Mertens win to me...nobody is paying any attention to her and she's essentially gotten here with zero pressure from external forces...Mertens being in the QF is no fluke, she's a legit top 15 type player that is still relatively raw and unknown...2 years ago she was on fire...I think her experience could be a big advantage over the drama queen from mississauga

I would prefer taking Berrettini +3.5 games (I have stayed away from totals recently...betting game spreads rather than totals has become more aligned with my capping strategy as of late)

Yup

I did this because I think Schwartzman may steal the 1st set, then get rolled and possibly lose the spread...67 64 63 61 could happen

Why would you possibly think Nadal is going to lose with the beefed up serve he is showing? Theres no logical reason to think one of these guys will take 3 sets off him barring injury? None whatsoever.

Well obviously i think Packer hopes he doesn't get steam rolled as well.  He took the over, so he obviously doesn't want him to get steam rolled, lol.  GL.

congrats to all Bencic backers...even though I sat that one out, it was nice to cap that correctly here and chat about it 

#goodthread

#better2ndweek

#trusttheprocess

#thetennisgrindlife

so true DR225...Trust The People's Champ  Process

What a stupid post. The Sixers were a complete dumpster fire before tanking and now theyre a top 5 team in the league for probably the next decade.