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    All Forums | Tennis

    Muchova !!!

    MindControl
    Calde13
    Bluejay50
    JohnnyZ1976
    buttas
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    MindControl
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 10:30 AM ET #1

    Muchova -2 

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    Muchova -2 

     
    Calde13
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 10:37 AM ET #2

    The value in this match is 100% on Tauson

    Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
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    The value in this match is 100% on Tauson

     
    MindControl
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 11:10 AM ET #3

    @Calde13

     I think Muchova will find her way to beat Tauson, she such a good counter puncher !!

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    @Calde13

     I think Muchova will find her way to beat Tauson, she such a good counter puncher !!

     
    Calde13
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 11:31 AM ET #4

    I don’t even think she will take a set to be honest - I was in shock when I saw the market had made Muchova the favourite - prematch it is the biggest misspricing there have been this tournament 

    Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
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    I don’t even think she will take a set to be honest - I was in shock when I saw the market had made Muchova the favourite - prematch it is the biggest misspricing there have been this tournament 

     
    Bluejay50
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 1:17 PM ET #5

    Muchova should be up 4-1 in the 3rd.  She’s done now.  Can’t leave all those break points out there.  

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    Muchova should be up 4-1 in the 3rd.  She’s done now.  Can’t leave all those break points out there.  

     
    Calde13
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 1:30 PM ET #6

    OP has already lost so he doesn’t care and I would know Tauson would win even if she had been 4-1 behind - she is a better player atm - easy as that

    Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
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    OP has already lost so he doesn’t care and I would know Tauson would win even if she had been 4-1 behind - she is a better player atm - easy as that

     
    JohnnyZ1976
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 3:34 PM ET #7

    Better off betting on rigged Russian ping pong than WTA.  Have never seen momentum swing like it does in WTA.  A lady wins a break .. gives it right back.  Makes a comeback and Wins 2nd set .. gets destroyed 3rd set.  Between Rybackina getting destroyed by a 17 year old after going up 3-1 on serve in the 3rd set and muchova losing an early break in first set and never really competing again ..I’m at wits end with WTA.  This is probably the 100 time I have said I’m done betting WTA.. wish DraftKings would let me just block WTA from my betting options.  Lol 

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    Better off betting on rigged Russian ping pong than WTA.  Have never seen momentum swing like it does in WTA.  A lady wins a break .. gives it right back.  Makes a comeback and Wins 2nd set .. gets destroyed 3rd set.  Between Rybackina getting destroyed by a 17 year old after going up 3-1 on serve in the 3rd set and muchova losing an early break in first set and never really competing again ..I’m at wits end with WTA.  This is probably the 100 time I have said I’m done betting WTA.. wish DraftKings would let me just block WTA from my betting options.  Lol 

     
    buttas
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 4:09 PM ET #8

    @JohnnyZ1976

    Tennis.. especially WTA is not for the faint of heart. 

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    @JohnnyZ1976

    Tennis.. especially WTA is not for the faint of heart. 

     
    Calde13
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 6:11 PM ET #9

    Momentum swing is the best you can ask for in any sport when trading or betting - then you just need to learn to predict them and price it better then the market and the chance of breaks in serve grows exponentially at certain times in the match almost like clockwork - I think WTA is way more predictable than ATP

     

     

    Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
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    Momentum swing is the best you can ask for in any sport when trading or betting - then you just need to learn to predict them and price it better then the market and the chance of breaks in serve grows exponentially at certain times in the match almost like clockwork - I think WTA is way more predictable than ATP

     

     

     
    MindControl
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2025 - 8:59 PM ET #10

    @Calde13

     guess you're right !!! Muchova looks a lot slower than the ball from beginning to tie break in set 2. Her mental strength which I believe much tougher than Tauson did not help either. A deserved win for Tauson, she served insanely well. I hope she won the final.

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    @Calde13

     guess you're right !!! Muchova looks a lot slower than the ball from beginning to tie break in set 2. Her mental strength which I believe much tougher than Tauson did not help either. A deserved win for Tauson, she served insanely well. I hope she won the final.

     
    Calde13
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2025 - 12:28 AM ET #11

    Np mate thumbs_up In general you doing fine from what I can tell  an_cheers I would never state my opinion like this unless I was 100% sure I was right though and my primary hope is taking you from 9/10 to 6/10 in confidense level when choosing your staking win

    Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
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    Np mate thumbs_up In general you doing fine from what I can tell  an_cheers I would never state my opinion like this unless I was 100% sure I was right though and my primary hope is taking you from 9/10 to 6/10 in confidense level when choosing your staking win

     
    jvarghese
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2025 - 4:11 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Calde13:

    Momentum swing is the best you can ask for in any sport when trading or betting - then you just need to learn to predict them and price it better then the market and the chance of breaks in serve grows exponentially at certain times in the match almost like clockwork - I think WTA is way more predictable than ATP

    Some folks love it (like us) and some folks (like Johnny) think it's the kiss of death. Depends on how you look at it. I enjoy it a lot. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Calde13:

    Momentum swing is the best you can ask for in any sport when trading or betting - then you just need to learn to predict them and price it better then the market and the chance of breaks in serve grows exponentially at certain times in the match almost like clockwork - I think WTA is way more predictable than ATP

    Some folks love it (like us) and some folks (like Johnny) think it's the kiss of death. Depends on how you look at it. I enjoy it a lot. 

     
    MindControl
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2025 - 4:43 AM ET #13

    I think the inconsistent form in WTA players make it hard to predict than ATP. If you talk about live betting, it's another story.

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    I think the inconsistent form in WTA players make it hard to predict than ATP. If you talk about live betting, it's another story.

     
     
    Calde13
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2025 - 5:17 AM ET #14

    Ye I love it jv. :) - and maybe you are right MC. I almost exclusively do live betting though (as I very rarely find any advantage to doing it prematch - the limits are a lot lower and the markets are way more efficient - I have a list of like 10 players I think the market consequently prices wrong prematch - and if any of those play I give it a look prematch but else I really don’t tbh) and since Johnny brought up the small nuances of the play I suppose he refered to live betting too - as you can’t really take small things like that into account prematch - there you just have to  bet and let the variance even stuff like that out 

    Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
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    Ye I love it jv. :) - and maybe you are right MC. I almost exclusively do live betting though (as I very rarely find any advantage to doing it prematch - the limits are a lot lower and the markets are way more efficient - I have a list of like 10 players I think the market consequently prices wrong prematch - and if any of those play I give it a look prematch but else I really don’t tbh) and since Johnny brought up the small nuances of the play I suppose he refered to live betting too - as you can’t really take small things like that into account prematch - there you just have to  bet and let the variance even stuff like that out 

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