Posted:
#26
casinos are not afraid of steam chasers more often than not you always lose your chase or run out of funds
Using Mean Positioning Of Stats To Predict Chance Of Winning
Posted:
#27
A = 4-6 -5.78u
B = 4-5 +0.25u
C = 6-12 -1.67u
November 15th, 2008
Tor/Van
Tor 50.70%
Toronto +153 [B]
Phi/Mon
Mon 58.41%
Phi +162 [C]
Was/NJ
Was 59.07%
Was -120 [A]
Ott/NYI
Ott 57.19%
NYI +137 [C]
Bos/NYR
Bos 54.27%
Bos +115 [B]
Buf/Pit
Pit 50.22%
Buf +135 [C]
Clb/Min
Min 51.29%
Clb +180 [C]
Dal/Phx
Phx 51.19%
No Play
Col/Edm
Col 56.84%
Col +125 [B]
Nsh/LA
LA 54.89%
Nsh +130 [C]
B = 4-5 +0.25u
C = 6-12 -1.67u
November 15th, 2008
Tor/Van
Tor 50.70%
Toronto +153 [B]
Phi/Mon
Mon 58.41%
Phi +162 [C]
Was/NJ
Was 59.07%
Was -120 [A]
Ott/NYI
Ott 57.19%
NYI +137 [C]
Bos/NYR
Bos 54.27%
Bos +115 [B]
Buf/Pit
Pit 50.22%
Buf +135 [C]
Clb/Min
Min 51.29%
Clb +180 [C]
Dal/Phx
Phx 51.19%
No Play
Col/Edm
Col 56.84%
Col +125 [B]
Nsh/LA
LA 54.89%
Nsh +130 [C]
Posted:
#29
Quote Originally Posted by kevk87:
Well if you know you have a winning edge, you would actually maximize on your expected value using kelly. So if you have a mathematical formula or a system which is better than a coin flip, then using kelly will help you in the long run. If you flat bet, you are actually neutralizing your edge.
Well if you know you have a winning edge, you would actually maximize on your expected value using kelly. So if you have a mathematical formula or a system which is better than a coin flip, then using kelly will help you in the long run. If you flat bet, you are actually neutralizing your edge.
100% correct 
If you have an edge kelly can exploit it even more. No offence, but it's a fact. It does hurt more when you hit a run of outs, but long term you are in from
Run some tests using kelly and your current staking method. You will be pleasently surprised
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