This will classify as a new "strategy".

I am going to try a 2 game chase strategy where I will pick 2 baseball series where I dont think a sweep will occur, each time a new set of series starts.  I will mostly take home teams and I will only take series where the line will stay fairly low. On occassion I will take a really good team on the road.  When I get swept I will roll the loss amount into the next set of series.  I will also look at starting 1 or 2 chases on the 2nd game of certain series depending on what happened in the 1st game.  The plays will be based on the criteria above as well I my opinion.  The base bet will be 1% of the bankroll and will always restart at 1% once losses are cleared.

I will start tonight with PIT and the White Sox for 2 game chases.

I got PIT at +110 $2 to win $2.20

White Sox at -160 $3.10 to win $2

Record 1-0

B play on CWS $7.54 to win $5.20
A play on SD $2.00 to win $2.10

Record 2-0
+2 Units

(A) play on SD $2.00 to win $2.10

Hey brother, you make picks based on your betting opinion right?   Just an fyi, I have noticed over last couple years that in a 4 game series if a good team wins vs a lesser (poor playing) team in the first game of the 4 game series, the better team USUALLY wins one of the next 2. Take that and do what you can.

Thanks for the info.  With this, mainly, I am trying to stick with teams who are fairly even with each other.  When the sweeps happen I will roll the losses into the next set of series until we get the units back much like Kreature used to do in his recovery mode.  Surely this will work, no?  I will never start more than 2 series at a time, so I should stay protected pretty well only chasing 2 on 2 series at a time.  Im sure this has been tried before to failure, but in theory it sounds really good to me as long as discipline and money mgt. are used.  What do you think bettor2win?

Sunday
(B) play on SD +120
 $4.00 to win $4.80

Monday

Record 2-1
-1 Unit

BOS -120 $7.20 to win $6.00
TEX  -165 $9.90 to win $6.00

I split the SD series loss of $6 plus the $2.00 unit that I was trying to win on SD ($8 total) between the 2 new series today.

 

Tuesday

Record 3-1
+2 Units

(B) play on BOS -140 $8.05 to win $5.75
(A) play on ATL -130 $7.48 to win $5.75
(A) play on CHC -125 $7.19 to win $5.75

I split the BOS loss 3 ways to take the pressure off of 1 single game against a really hot opponent.

 

I think I have my units won/loss screwed up. I will go back and recalculate when I get a chance.

Wednesday

Record 6-1
+7.35 Units(recalculated)

No play today

well done

Thursday

(A) play on DET -120  $2.40 to win $2.00

 

Friday

(B) play on DET $5.06 to win $4.40
(A) play on SEA $2.30 to win $2.00

If DET is an obvious loser at the start of the SEA game I will start the recovery process on SEA. I will take 1/3 of DET total loss and add it to SEA to win total.  Why 1/3? Because I anticipate 2 more plays on saturday for the other 2/3.

Record 6-2
Units -0.11

I was not able to get to my computer in time to start the recovery on SEA.  So it will begin with the next set of games.

Record 7-2
Units +1.89

Beginning recovery mode today.

(A) play on TOR $6.70 to win $5.15
(A) play on CHC $7.21 to win $5.15
(A) play on ATL $7.98 to win $5.15

 

Record 9-2
Units +5.99

I cant seem to calculate my units correctly and I've looked at it until I'm blue in the face.  Could someone double check and see if I'm right please.  I want to get this straight before getting deeper into confusion.  A unit is $2 to this point.

 

 

Never mind, I figured it out

Sunday

(B) play on CHC $17.92 to win $12.36

Record 10-2

Units +12.17

Monday
Record 10-2
+12.17 Units

SEA -112 $2.24 to win $2.00
OAK -116 $2.30 to win $2.00

Is it just me or is this place dead compared to times past? Whats up that I missed in my year away?

Tuesday

Record 11-2
+12.02 Units

(B) play on OAK -125 $4.38 to win $3.50
(A) play on NYM -135 $4.73 to win $3.50
(A) play on SEA -133 $4.66 to win $3.50

OAK needed to win $4.30 today to make up for the (A) loss and earn their $2.00 unit. I spread the $4.30 ($1.50 added to each series) over the 3 plays to keep the numbers down while we recover. 

 

I am having trouble with the math part again.  Each bet should be to win $2.75, not $3.50.  I realized this after my plays were already placed so I cant change now.