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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    The Kiwipride Money-making Chase System

    123 Next Last»
    kiwipride1983
    Joefung168
    erikhaovo
    buntyketti
    Air1
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 3829
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    123 Next Last»
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
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    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 10, 2011 - 10:16 PM ET #1

    With success after a 3 week trial (refer to previous thread), I have decided to create a new thread to track this system's record and profits made.

    It's a simple 3x chase system designed by me chasing pitchers depending on matchups. The benefit of this system is that unlike other chase systems, chasing 5-7 games which will end in disasterous consequences if one series loses. The fact that this is only a 3x chase system will "limited" financial loss should a series lose.

    I am going to start off with a bankroll of $10,000.00 here. Starting fresh, I will be placing $100.00 on my first bet, $200.00 on my second and $400.00 on my final bet, regardless of profits made or losses sufferred, so proportion your bets accordingly if you are starting with a lower bankroll. At the end of the month I decide if there is sufficient profit to increase my wagers. (Even on a stationary figure, as evident from my previous thread, I make a steady profit monthly to not worry about increasing my wagers).

    As my system determines plays, in any given week there could be as low as 0 or as high as 20+ plays. It fluctuates.

    The sportsbook I use are my local one - tab.co.nz, and bet365.com. I am sure that international sportsbooks and more reputable ones provide better odds.  

    Plays start tomorrow (if any).

    Starting bankroll: $10,000.00

    Record:

    Chase One 0-0

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Losses 0 - 0 

    Any questions, please feel free to ask. Once again, please no criticism until three weeks into the system.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    With success after a 3 week trial (refer to previous thread), I have decided to create a new thread to track this system's record and profits made.

    It's a simple 3x chase system designed by me chasing pitchers depending on matchups. The benefit of this system is that unlike other chase systems, chasing 5-7 games which will end in disasterous consequences if one series loses. The fact that this is only a 3x chase system will "limited" financial loss should a series lose.

    I am going to start off with a bankroll of $10,000.00 here. Starting fresh, I will be placing $100.00 on my first bet, $200.00 on my second and $400.00 on my final bet, regardless of profits made or losses sufferred, so proportion your bets accordingly if you are starting with a lower bankroll. At the end of the month I decide if there is sufficient profit to increase my wagers. (Even on a stationary figure, as evident from my previous thread, I make a steady profit monthly to not worry about increasing my wagers).

    As my system determines plays, in any given week there could be as low as 0 or as high as 20+ plays. It fluctuates.

    The sportsbook I use are my local one - tab.co.nz, and bet365.com. I am sure that international sportsbooks and more reputable ones provide better odds.  

    Plays start tomorrow (if any).

    Starting bankroll: $10,000.00

    Record:

    Chase One 0-0

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Losses 0 - 0 

    Any questions, please feel free to ask. Once again, please no criticism until three weeks into the system.

     
    Joefung168
    Joefung168
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2010
    Posts: 77
    Posted: May. 10, 2011 - 10:30 PM ET #2

    Reply
     
    erikhaovo
    erikhaovo
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2009
    Posts: 425
    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 1:48 AM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by kiwipride1983:

    With success after a 3 week trial (refer to previous thread), I have decided to create a new thread to track this system's record and profits made.

    It's a simple 3x chase system designed by me chasing pitchers depending on matchups. The benefit of this system is that unlike other chase systems, chasing 5-7 games which will end in disasterous consequences if one series loses. The fact that this is only a 3x chase system will "limited" financial loss should a series lose.

    I am going to start off with a bankroll of $10,000.00 here. Starting fresh, I will be placing $100.00 on my first bet, $200.00 on my second and $400.00 on my final bet, regardless of profits made or losses sufferred, so proportion your bets accordingly if you are starting with a lower bankroll. At the end of the month I decide if there is sufficient profit to increase my wagers. (Even on a stationary figure, as evident from my previous thread, I make a steady profit monthly to not worry about increasing my wagers).

    As my system determines plays, in any given week there could be as low as 0 or as high as 20+ plays. It fluctuates.

    The sportsbook I use are my local one - tab.co.nz, and bet365.com. I am sure that international sportsbooks and more reputable ones provide better odds.  

    Plays start tomorrow (if any).

    Starting bankroll: $10,000.00

    Record:

    Chase One 0-0

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Losses 0 - 0 

    Any questions, please feel free to ask. Once again, please no criticism until three weeks into the system.



    I LIKE!!!!    
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by kiwipride1983:

    With success after a 3 week trial (refer to previous thread), I have decided to create a new thread to track this system's record and profits made.

    It's a simple 3x chase system designed by me chasing pitchers depending on matchups. The benefit of this system is that unlike other chase systems, chasing 5-7 games which will end in disasterous consequences if one series loses. The fact that this is only a 3x chase system will "limited" financial loss should a series lose.

    I am going to start off with a bankroll of $10,000.00 here. Starting fresh, I will be placing $100.00 on my first bet, $200.00 on my second and $400.00 on my final bet, regardless of profits made or losses sufferred, so proportion your bets accordingly if you are starting with a lower bankroll. At the end of the month I decide if there is sufficient profit to increase my wagers. (Even on a stationary figure, as evident from my previous thread, I make a steady profit monthly to not worry about increasing my wagers).

    As my system determines plays, in any given week there could be as low as 0 or as high as 20+ plays. It fluctuates.

    The sportsbook I use are my local one - tab.co.nz, and bet365.com. I am sure that international sportsbooks and more reputable ones provide better odds.  

    Plays start tomorrow (if any).

    Starting bankroll: $10,000.00

    Record:

    Chase One 0-0

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Losses 0 - 0 

    Any questions, please feel free to ask. Once again, please no criticism until three weeks into the system.



    I LIKE!!!!    
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 2:01 AM ET #4

    Plays for 11 May 2011

    Play 1 - $100 on Unders 8 Minnesota (Baker) v Detriot (Coke) @ 1.70 *

    *It is paying $1.90 at Pinnacle for Unders 8, but for my sportsbook, a result is inevitable (unders 8 / overs 9) with no push.

    There is the possibility of another play Chicago (Garza) v St Louis (Westbrook) but am waiting for the line to open..will let you guys know later.

    Reply

    Plays for 11 May 2011

    Play 1 - $100 on Unders 8 Minnesota (Baker) v Detriot (Coke) @ 1.70 *

    *It is paying $1.90 at Pinnacle for Unders 8, but for my sportsbook, a result is inevitable (unders 8 / overs 9) with no push.

    There is the possibility of another play Chicago (Garza) v St Louis (Westbrook) but am waiting for the line to open..will let you guys know later.

     
    buntyketti
    buntyketti
    Rookie
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    Joined: Apr, 2009
    Posts: 627
    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 2:27 AM ET #5

    hey kiwi just a small q ! , if the total lands at 8 , is the under a winner or loser for you in your book ??
    Reply
    hey kiwi just a small q ! , if the total lands at 8 , is the under a winner or loser for you in your book ??
     
    Air1
    Air1
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    Joined: Mar, 2011
    Posts: 909
    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 2:27 AM ET #6

    Good luck on your picks. I will be tailing you from the beginning! (lower bankroll though)

    Can you explain how you chose your plays?
    Reply
    Good luck on your picks. I will be tailing you from the beginning! (lower bankroll though)

    Can you explain how you chose your plays?
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
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    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 3:05 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by Air1:

    Good luck on your picks. I will be tailing you from the beginning! (lower bankroll though)

    Can you explain how you chose your plays?

    Let's see how we fare in 3 weeks time first...

    I could tell you I spend great time in analysing the data, and if a play shows up on my system, I do further research and following my instincts if need be to determine whether a play is worth playing. I pride myself in not failing...

    For example if the system identifies one play for two crap but in form pitchers that have matched up that day, and they are playing at a batter friendly stadium, I may decide not to play that system play and wait another day because it's not worth the risk, then again I may end up playing that play because both teams have cold bats...80% system / 20% intuition :P

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Air1:

    Good luck on your picks. I will be tailing you from the beginning! (lower bankroll though)

    Can you explain how you chose your plays?

    Let's see how we fare in 3 weeks time first...

    I could tell you I spend great time in analysing the data, and if a play shows up on my system, I do further research and following my instincts if need be to determine whether a play is worth playing. I pride myself in not failing...

    For example if the system identifies one play for two crap but in form pitchers that have matched up that day, and they are playing at a batter friendly stadium, I may decide not to play that system play and wait another day because it's not worth the risk, then again I may end up playing that play because both teams have cold bats...80% system / 20% intuition :P

     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 3:13 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by buntyketti:

    hey kiwi just a small q ! , if the total lands at 8 , is the under a winner or loser for you in your book ??

    There is always a result with the betting agency I use - tab.co.nz (though the odds are not good as other betting agencies). Unless you're from Oceania, it's not worth signing up for.

    tab.co.nz is not always disadvantageous. It never has .5 options. Sometimes it would have a match set out 6 unders / 7 overs while international sportsbook have it set as unders / overs 7, therefore I choose to use book with the better option.

    I believe with international books without the .5 margin, you will get your refund if it lands at 8. 

    My recommendation is to play my plays and hope the total falls under 8 tomorrow.

    Hope you understand.  

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by buntyketti:

    hey kiwi just a small q ! , if the total lands at 8 , is the under a winner or loser for you in your book ??

    There is always a result with the betting agency I use - tab.co.nz (though the odds are not good as other betting agencies). Unless you're from Oceania, it's not worth signing up for.

    tab.co.nz is not always disadvantageous. It never has .5 options. Sometimes it would have a match set out 6 unders / 7 overs while international sportsbook have it set as unders / overs 7, therefore I choose to use book with the better option.

    I believe with international books without the .5 margin, you will get your refund if it lands at 8. 

    My recommendation is to play my plays and hope the total falls under 8 tomorrow.

    Hope you understand.  

     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
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    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 3:16 AM ET #9

    Forgot to answer your question but yes, if the total lands on 8, I will get a result, as there is an option for overs 9.

    Reply

    Forgot to answer your question but yes, if the total lands on 8, I will get a result, as there is an option for overs 9.

     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
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    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 3:24 AM ET #10

    Ummm, question seems irrelevant. On bet365.com, there is an option for under 8.5 for the Detriot/Minnesota game paying $1.74.
    Reply
    Ummm, question seems irrelevant. On bet365.com, there is an option for under 8.5 for the Detriot/Minnesota game paying $1.74.
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
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    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 2:09 PM ET #11

    More Plays for 11 May 2011

    Play 2 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Chicago (Garza) v St Louis (Westbrooke) @ 2.00

    Reply
    More Plays for 11 May 2011

    Play 2 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Chicago (Garza) v St Louis (Westbrooke) @ 2.00

     
    grecycle99
    grecycle99
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    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 3:45 PM ET #12

    GL kiwipride
    Reply
    GL kiwipride
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
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    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 11, 2011 - 11:19 PM ET #13

    Current bankroll: $9,800.00

    Record:

    Chase One 0-2

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Total 0 - 0 

    Bad start :( - No plays tomorrow.

    Reply

    Current bankroll: $9,800.00

    Record:

    Chase One 0-2

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Total 0 - 0 

    Bad start :( - No plays tomorrow.

     
    Air1
    Air1
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    Posts: 909
    Posted: May. 12, 2011 - 2:56 AM ET #14

    0-2 for the day. we'll get em next time!
    Quote Originally Posted by kiwipride1983:

    ...80% system / 20% intuition :P


    can you explain the 80% system part?
    Reply
    0-2 for the day. we'll get em next time!
    Quote Originally Posted by kiwipride1983:

    ...80% system / 20% intuition :P


    can you explain the 80% system part?
     
    Joefung168
    Joefung168
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    Posted: May. 12, 2011 - 3:30 AM ET #15

    current bankroll 9800? How about juice?
    Reply
    current bankroll 9800? How about juice?
     
    Prime1
    Prime1
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    Posted: May. 12, 2011 - 11:56 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by Joefung168:

    current bankroll 9800? How about juice?


    I could be wrong, but I think in his first post, it appears that he may be describing that he uses RISK figure, rather than a To WIN figure.

    We can wait for KP to clarify, but he is using what I see as a European style, not a North American style of wagering.

    Hope this helps.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Joefung168:

    current bankroll 9800? How about juice?


    I could be wrong, but I think in his first post, it appears that he may be describing that he uses RISK figure, rather than a To WIN figure.

    We can wait for KP to clarify, but he is using what I see as a European style, not a North American style of wagering.

    Hope this helps.


     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
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    Posted: May. 13, 2011 - 10:44 AM ET #17

    Plays Friday, 13th May 2011

    Play 3 - $100 on Unders 7.5 - Kansas (Hochevar) v Detriot (Verlander) @ $1.90

    Play 4 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Tampa Bay (Hellickson) v Baltimore (Guthrie) @ 1.75
    Reply
    Plays Friday, 13th May 2011

    Play 3 - $100 on Unders 7.5 - Kansas (Hochevar) v Detriot (Verlander) @ $1.90

    Play 4 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Tampa Bay (Hellickson) v Baltimore (Guthrie) @ 1.75
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 13, 2011 - 10:47 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by Air1:



    can you explain the 80% system part?

    I would love to, but I don't want to put too much pressure on myself if this system fails, which is why I rather wait 3 weeks again and see how this system fares...I know I would get more support with explanation, but I hope you understand where I'm coming from. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Air1:



    can you explain the 80% system part?

    I would love to, but I don't want to put too much pressure on myself if this system fails, which is why I rather wait 3 weeks again and see how this system fares...I know I would get more support with explanation, but I hope you understand where I'm coming from. 
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 13, 2011 - 10:53 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by Prime1:



    I could be wrong, but I think in his first post, it appears that he may be describing that he uses RISK figure, rather than a To WIN figure.

    We can wait for KP to clarify, but he is using what I see as a European style, not a North American style of wagering.

    Hope this helps.



    I hope I am answering this question correctly. I am in fact using a to win figure. I use my local sportsbook first which don't provide the best odds - $1.87 fixed. However, all plays provide a result, and the odds reflect that accordingly.

    For example, my local sportsbook has the Tampa v Baltimore game tomorrow set at Unders 8 or Overs 9. However for most international sportsbook, it's set at Unders 8 or Overs 8. In order to get a result, you would buy the 0.5 (so 8.5 unders) which most sportsbook like bet365 does provide that option... 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Prime1:



    I could be wrong, but I think in his first post, it appears that he may be describing that he uses RISK figure, rather than a To WIN figure.

    We can wait for KP to clarify, but he is using what I see as a European style, not a North American style of wagering.

    Hope this helps.



    I hope I am answering this question correctly. I am in fact using a to win figure. I use my local sportsbook first which don't provide the best odds - $1.87 fixed. However, all plays provide a result, and the odds reflect that accordingly.

    For example, my local sportsbook has the Tampa v Baltimore game tomorrow set at Unders 8 or Overs 9. However for most international sportsbook, it's set at Unders 8 or Overs 8. In order to get a result, you would buy the 0.5 (so 8.5 unders) which most sportsbook like bet365 does provide that option... 
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 14, 2011 - 6:55 AM ET #20

    Current bankroll: $9,965.00

    Record:

    Chase One 2-2

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Completed 2 - 0

    To chase: Play 1, Play 2

    Reply

    Current bankroll: $9,965.00

    Record:

    Chase One 2-2

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Completed 2 - 0

    To chase: Play 1, Play 2

     
    grecycle99
    grecycle99
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 194
    Posted: May. 14, 2011 - 7:02 AM ET #21

    two wins.

    Thats great

    Thanks
    Reply
    two wins.

    Thats great

    Thanks
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 14, 2011 - 7:09 AM ET #22

    4 plays Saturday, 14 May 2011

    Play 5 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Florida (Sanchez) v Washington (Hernandez) @ $1.80

    Play 6 - $100 on Unders 7.5 - NY Mets (Dickey) v Houston (Happ) @ $1.97

    Play 7 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Texas (Holland) v LA Angels (Haren) @ $1.76

    Play 8 - $100 on Unders 8.0 - Tampa Bay (Davis) v Baltimore (Bergesen) @ $1.95 (No option for 8.5)

    *Note the options. I purchase 0.5 to get results. All odds via bet365.com.
    Reply
    4 plays Saturday, 14 May 2011

    Play 5 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Florida (Sanchez) v Washington (Hernandez) @ $1.80

    Play 6 - $100 on Unders 7.5 - NY Mets (Dickey) v Houston (Happ) @ $1.97

    Play 7 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Texas (Holland) v LA Angels (Haren) @ $1.76

    Play 8 - $100 on Unders 8.0 - Tampa Bay (Davis) v Baltimore (Bergesen) @ $1.95 (No option for 8.5)

    *Note the options. I purchase 0.5 to get results. All odds via bet365.com.
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 15, 2011 - 6:29 AM ET #23

    Play 5 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Florida (Sanchez) v Washington (Hernandez) @ $1.80 W

    Play 6 - $100 on Unders 7.5 - NY Mets (Dickey) v Houston (Happ) @ $1.97 L

    Play 7 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Texas (Holland) v LA Angels (Haren) @ $1.76 W

    Play 8 - $100 on Unders 8.0 - Tampa Bay (Davis) v Baltimore (Bergesen) @ $1.95 (No option for 8.5) W


    Reply
    Play 5 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Florida (Sanchez) v Washington (Hernandez) @ $1.80 W

    Play 6 - $100 on Unders 7.5 - NY Mets (Dickey) v Houston (Happ) @ $1.97 L

    Play 7 - $100 on Unders 8.5 - Texas (Holland) v LA Angels (Haren) @ $1.76 W

    Play 8 - $100 on Unders 8.0 - Tampa Bay (Davis) v Baltimore (Bergesen) @ $1.95 (No option for 8.5) W


     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 15, 2011 - 6:42 AM ET #24

    Current bankroll: $10,216.00

    Record:

    Chase One 5-3

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Completed 5 - 0

    To chase: Play 1, Play 2, Play 6

    ************************************************************

    4 Plays for Sunday 15, May 2011

    Play 9 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Cincinnati (Wood) v St Louis (Carpenter) @ $2.00

    Play 10 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Washington (Marquis) v Florida (Vazquez) @ $1.86

    Play 11 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Texas (Wilson) v LA Angels (Santana) @ $1.83

    Play 12 - $100 on Unders 8.5 NY Yankees (Garcia) v Boston (Lester) @ $2.00

    Reply

    Current bankroll: $10,216.00

    Record:

    Chase One 5-3

    Chase Two 0 - 0

    Chase Three 0 - 0

    Completed 5 - 0

    To chase: Play 1, Play 2, Play 6

    ************************************************************

    4 Plays for Sunday 15, May 2011

    Play 9 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Cincinnati (Wood) v St Louis (Carpenter) @ $2.00

    Play 10 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Washington (Marquis) v Florida (Vazquez) @ $1.86

    Play 11 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Texas (Wilson) v LA Angels (Santana) @ $1.83

    Play 12 - $100 on Unders 8.5 NY Yankees (Garcia) v Boston (Lester) @ $2.00

     
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 213
    Posted: May. 16, 2011 - 4:05 AM ET #25

    Play 9 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Cincinnati (Wood) v St Louis (Carpenter) @ $2.00 L

    Play 10 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Washington (Marquis) v Florida (Vazquez) @ $1.86 L

    Play 11 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Texas (Wilson) v LA Angels (Santana) @ $1.83 L

    Play 12 - $100 on Unders 8.5 NY Yankees (Garcia) v Boston (Lester) @ $2.00 L

    Bad day :(

    Reply

    Play 9 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Cincinnati (Wood) v St Louis (Carpenter) @ $2.00 L

    Play 10 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Washington (Marquis) v Florida (Vazquez) @ $1.86 L

    Play 11 - $100 on Unders 8.5 Texas (Wilson) v LA Angels (Santana) @ $1.83 L

    Play 12 - $100 on Unders 8.5 NY Yankees (Garcia) v Boston (Lester) @ $2.00 L

    Bad day :(

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