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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Stats for underdogs

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    KnightofSorrow
    JimmyDrizzl
    mikiey97
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    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 3:19 AM ET #76

    2-0
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    2-0
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 11:45 AM ET #77

    Very good work   Since Monday this week 5-0

    I think I know how the system works, but, maybe not. Please tell us why for what reason you did not list Oakland last night as a play. I thought Oakland for sure would be a system play last night...Thanks..

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    Very good work   Since Monday this week 5-0

    I think I know how the system works, but, maybe not. Please tell us why for what reason you did not list Oakland last night as a play. I thought Oakland for sure would be a system play last night...Thanks..

     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 12:33 PM ET #78

    Pit +1.5 1u
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    Pit +1.5 1u
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 12:36 PM ET #79

    Jimmy, I went asleep because I live in Europe and are not able to post and bet based on the lines for late games, if it was a system play, then sure play it and cash I am in a sense limited to posting based on lines as of 7pm
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    Jimmy, I went asleep because I live in Europe and are not able to post and bet based on the lines for late games, if it was a system play, then sure play it and cash I am in a sense limited to posting based on lines as of 7pm
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 8:44 PM ET #80

    Yes, I see Poland...Not too many baseball aficionados in that part of the world I would suspect. Are you an expat? Must be an expat as you know too much about betting baseball that most native born over there would know about soccer.
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    Yes, I see Poland...Not too many baseball aficionados in that part of the world I would suspect. Are you an expat? Must be an expat as you know too much about betting baseball that most native born over there would know about soccer.
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 8:48 PM ET #81

    5-1 since Monday this week..Loser today with Pittsburgh....Another day tomorrow..
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    5-1 since Monday this week..Loser today with Pittsburgh....Another day tomorrow..
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2014 - 1:01 PM ET #82

    S2: Cle ML and Phi ML risking 0.5
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    S2: Cle ML and Phi ML risking 0.5
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2014 - 1:04 PM ET #83

    haha, no not an expat at all, I live in Poland and have no money to fly to U.S. for a baseball game I don't know much about baseball, frankly, there are many experts on this board, I just like watching baseball, just like you
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    haha, no not an expat at all, I live in Poland and have no money to fly to U.S. for a baseball game I don't know much about baseball, frankly, there are many experts on this board, I just like watching baseball, just like you
     
    mikiey97
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2014 - 1:50 PM ET #84

    just finish reading about your system 1&2.do you have a update on the w/l record for each
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    just finish reading about your system 1&2.do you have a update on the w/l record for each
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2014 - 2:29 PM ET #85

    sorry ingame play is Sea +1.5
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    sorry ingame play is Sea +1.5
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2014 - 9:42 PM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    haha, no not an expat at all, I live in Poland and have no money to fly to U.S. for a baseball game I don't know much about baseball, frankly, there are many experts on this board, I just like watching baseball, just like you

    That a Polish citizen likes to watch baseball is good. Which MLB team do you follow the most?. There is always THAT one team, that one CITY, that you like and want to follow as a fan.

    Me, Detroit Tigers...Been a fan since they started the 1984 full season going 35-5 in their first 40 games..Then going on to win the World Series.

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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    haha, no not an expat at all, I live in Poland and have no money to fly to U.S. for a baseball game I don't know much about baseball, frankly, there are many experts on this board, I just like watching baseball, just like you

    That a Polish citizen likes to watch baseball is good. Which MLB team do you follow the most?. There is always THAT one team, that one CITY, that you like and want to follow as a fan.

    Me, Detroit Tigers...Been a fan since they started the 1984 full season going 35-5 in their first 40 games..Then going on to win the World Series.

     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 9:36 AM ET #87

    Believe that the record as of now is

    System 1: 22-9 +2.0 (betting 1u per game)
    System 2: 7-23 (-6.30) (betting 0.5 per game)

    Jimmy, don't have any specific team I like but maybe Tigers as well and the Yankees, I am limited to the afternoon games so that I can watch some baseball, the 7pm games, when they start, I usually go asleep at that time. It is truly great that you recall the season back to 1984, I was born a year later haha, and my interest in baseball is pretty fresh and dates back to last 3-4 years
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    Believe that the record as of now is

    System 1: 22-9 +2.0 (betting 1u per game)
    System 2: 7-23 (-6.30) (betting 0.5 per game)

    Jimmy, don't have any specific team I like but maybe Tigers as well and the Yankees, I am limited to the afternoon games so that I can watch some baseball, the 7pm games, when they start, I usually go asleep at that time. It is truly great that you recall the season back to 1984, I was born a year later haha, and my interest in baseball is pretty fresh and dates back to last 3-4 years
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 9:48 AM ET #88

    Maybe there were mistakes with choosing games for S2 on my side, as it is SU: 6-10 (-1.31, 37.5%) according to killersports. It is 37% and my stats it is 30% so some money lost unreasonably, figure out that I will check on killersports what to play and as of now it is:
    Phi and Min ML for S2 plays, but will update final card for today later on
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    Maybe there were mistakes with choosing games for S2 on my side, as it is SU: 6-10 (-1.31, 37.5%) according to killersports. It is 37% and my stats it is 30% so some money lost unreasonably, figure out that I will check on killersports what to play and as of now it is:
    Phi and Min ML for S2 plays, but will update final card for today later on
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 9:51 AM ET #89

    S1 is 78% according to them, mine is 70% so my mistakes continue to pile up, but will adjust to them and hopefully all is good from this time, sorry if anyone followed
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    S1 is 78% according to them, mine is 70% so my mistakes continue to pile up, but will adjust to them and hopefully all is good from this time, sorry if anyone followed
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 9:53 AM ET #90

    Plays for today as of now are:
    Phi and Min ML for S2
    Sea+1.5 for S1

    But will update before game time what is final
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    Plays for today as of now are:
    Phi and Min ML for S2
    Sea+1.5 for S1

    But will update before game time what is final
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 9:56 AM ET #91

    Angry for myself that I did not use their stats, would be +5u up for S1 now and down by -1 or so on S2
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    Angry for myself that I did not use their stats, would be +5u up for S1 now and down by -1 or so on S2
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 10:05 AM ET #92

    Angry at myself but a long season ahead, hope will turn it around
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    Angry at myself but a long season ahead, hope will turn it around
     
    mikiey97
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 11:22 AM ET #93

    wouldn't Cinn +109 be a play for sys 1
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    wouldn't Cinn +109 be a play for sys 1
     
    mikiey97
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 11:26 AM ET #94

    Quote Originally Posted by mikiey97:

    wouldn't Cinn +109 be a play for sys 1.this is the only early game,because I'll wait until game time to see what the lines are then.thx for your systems,Like then both
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikiey97:

    wouldn't Cinn +109 be a play for sys 1.this is the only early game,because I'll wait until game time to see what the lines are then.thx for your systems,Like then both
     
    mikiey97
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 11:45 AM ET #95

    SU: 27-47 (-0.86, 36.5%)   avg line: 123.9 / -136.0   on / against: -$1,403 / +$1,088   ROI: -17.8% / +10.4%
    If I read this right,wouldn't you play against Phillies.sorry,just trying to figure out your system
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    SU: 27-47 (-0.86, 36.5%)   avg line: 123.9 / -136.0   on / against: -$1,403 / +$1,088   ROI: -17.8% / +10.4%
    If I read this right,wouldn't you play against Phillies.sorry,just trying to figure out your system
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 12:58 PM ET #96

    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    2007 - 2013 about +6,800$ with not losing in any year in this period for System 2. That looks quite strong All plays will be risking 1u to win at +130 to +140.


    Refer to this post, dogs from 130 to 140 gave profit in last 7 years, and this is system 2. Cin is not a play according to killersports, I use their stats to provide plays, you can check by yourself, I will post all plays at 7 p.m.
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    2007 - 2013 about +6,800$ with not losing in any year in this period for System 2. That looks quite strong All plays will be risking 1u to win at +130 to +140.


    Refer to this post, dogs from 130 to 140 gave profit in last 7 years, and this is system 2. Cin is not a play according to killersports, I use their stats to provide plays, you can check by yourself, I will post all plays at 7 p.m.
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 1:00 PM ET #97

    Quote Originally Posted by mikiey97:

    SU: 27-47 (-0.86, 36.5%)   avg line: 123.9 / -136.0   on / against: -$1,403 / +$1,088   ROI: -17.8% / +10.4%
    If I read this right,wouldn't you play against Phillies.sorry,just trying to figure out your system

    The plays are based on the stats as provided on their site. You can check by yourself. The changes will depend on the line movement and they use the representative lines (that is where the biggest money flow).
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikiey97:

    SU: 27-47 (-0.86, 36.5%)   avg line: 123.9 / -136.0   on / against: -$1,403 / +$1,088   ROI: -17.8% / +10.4%
    If I read this right,wouldn't you play against Phillies.sorry,just trying to figure out your system

    The plays are based on the stats as provided on their site. You can check by yourself. The changes will depend on the line movement and they use the representative lines (that is where the biggest money flow).
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 7:06 PM ET #98

    play Sea +1.5 S1
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    play Sea +1.5 S1
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2014 - 7:35 PM ET #99

    S2: Phi ML and Minny ML
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    S2: Phi ML and Minny ML
     
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2014 - 1:01 PM ET #100

    S1 tor +1.5 1u
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    S1 tor +1.5 1u
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