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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Stats for underdogs

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    bulichm
    JimmyDrizzl
    KnightofSorrow
    fadeyoulosers
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    Views: 6399
    Posts: 128
    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    bulichm
    bulichm
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2014 - 11:53 AM ET #26

    Think I'll use system 2 in a chase.
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    Think I'll use system 2 in a chase.
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2014 - 1:40 PM ET #27

    Tough day yesterday Knight.

    Today will get back on the winning track.

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    Tough day yesterday Knight.

    Today will get back on the winning track.

     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2014 - 2:05 PM ET #28

    GL guys to us today
    will recap later.
    1 play for System 2 so far:
    CWS ML 0.5u to win 0.66
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    GL guys to us today
    will recap later.
    1 play for System 2 so far:
    CWS ML 0.5u to win 0.66
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2014 - 6:58 PM ET #29

    0-1 so far
    adding
    System 1:
    Ari +1.5 1u to win 0.52

    Sys 2:
    Hou ML 0.5u/0.68
    Atl ML 0.5/0.71
    SD ML 0.5/0.66
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    0-1 so far
    adding
    System 1:
    Ari +1.5 1u to win 0.52

    Sys 2:
    Hou ML 0.5u/0.68
    Atl ML 0.5/0.71
    SD ML 0.5/0.66
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2014 - 6:57 AM ET #30

    recap
    System 1: 7-2 (+1.51)  0-1 yest
    System 2: 3-10 (-2.47)  1-3 yest
    it's a long season so we should see
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    recap
    System 1: 7-2 (+1.51)  0-1 yest
    System 2: 3-10 (-2.47)  1-3 yest
    it's a long season so we should see
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2014 - 1:00 PM ET #31

    plays for today:
    System 1:
    NYY +1.5 1u to win 0.55
    SD +1.5 1u to win 0.51

    System 2:
    BAL ML 0.5 to win 0.66
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    plays for today:
    System 1:
    NYY +1.5 1u to win 0.55
    SD +1.5 1u to win 0.51

    System 2:
    BAL ML 0.5 to win 0.66
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2014 - 2:15 PM ET #32

    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    recap
    System 1: 7-2 (+1.51)  0-1 yest
    System 2: 3-10 (-2.47)  1-3 yest
    it's a long season so we should see

     

    It is indeed a long season...There will winning days and weeks,...And there will be of course losing days and weeks as we all know...

    Thinking of my own PERSONAL strategy and how to incorporate it in to your two systems to produce a plus money season for myself.

    I really do not want to risk the huge minus money needed to bet system one at this time as the season is very long and I do not want my bankroll down to zero in the first month if a major losing streak comes along....I will just play it a little cautious for now..A long, long season ahead...Can we make it untill the end of the season at the end of September, 7 months away? We shall see.

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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    recap
    System 1: 7-2 (+1.51)  0-1 yest
    System 2: 3-10 (-2.47)  1-3 yest
    it's a long season so we should see

     

    It is indeed a long season...There will winning days and weeks,...And there will be of course losing days and weeks as we all know...

    Thinking of my own PERSONAL strategy and how to incorporate it in to your two systems to produce a plus money season for myself.

    I really do not want to risk the huge minus money needed to bet system one at this time as the season is very long and I do not want my bankroll down to zero in the first month if a major losing streak comes along....I will just play it a little cautious for now..A long, long season ahead...Can we make it untill the end of the season at the end of September, 7 months away? We shall see.

     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2014 - 3:59 PM ET #33

    Hope you will figure out a profitable strategy

    Adding
    System 1:
    Ari -1.5 1u to win 0.55

    System 2:
    Sea ML 0.5 to win 0.65
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    Hope you will figure out a profitable strategy

    Adding
    System 1:
    Ari -1.5 1u to win 0.55

    System 2:
    Sea ML 0.5 to win 0.65
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2014 - 4:03 PM ET #34

    Ari +1.5 of course
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    Ari +1.5 of course
     
    fadeyoulosers
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2014 - 5:10 PM ET #35

    i never use RL's because it losses money if i like adog @ +175 fookit i'm taking it because thats the way base ball is meant to be bet on the moneyline

    what i mean is taking 1.5 runs on a DOG of +175 cuts your profit's way down to like +120 or is it lower

    and if it's a small dog +130 you might wind up being chalked taking 1.5 runs just not my bag thats all like yesterday i hit two dogs
    Braves +140  Twins +145
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    i never use RL's because it losses money if i like adog @ +175 fookit i'm taking it because thats the way base ball is meant to be bet on the moneyline

    what i mean is taking 1.5 runs on a DOG of +175 cuts your profit's way down to like +120 or is it lower

    and if it's a small dog +130 you might wind up being chalked taking 1.5 runs just not my bag thats all like yesterday i hit two dogs
    Braves +140  Twins +145
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2014 - 6:40 PM ET #36

    GL fadeyou on your plays. I'm taking RL+1.5 and dogs with lines as stated because it has produced profits in the last few years.

    Final play today
    System 2
    SF ML 0.5/0.65
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    GL fadeyou on your plays. I'm taking RL+1.5 and dogs with lines as stated because it has produced profits in the last few years.

    Final play today
    System 2
    SF ML 0.5/0.65
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2014 - 7:47 PM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    Hope you will figure out a profitable strategy

    Adding
    System 1:
    Ari -1.5 1u to win 0.55

    System 2:
    Sea ML 0.5 to win 0.65

    As the old saying goes "If it was easy, everybody would be doing it"

    I've not had too many winning seasons betting games the old way I used to do...This year I will play your systems only and give it a real fair shot. I will also try and be more focused and not make the usual dumb bets I usually make...

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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    Hope you will figure out a profitable strategy

    Adding
    System 1:
    Ari -1.5 1u to win 0.55

    System 2:
    Sea ML 0.5 to win 0.65

    As the old saying goes "If it was easy, everybody would be doing it"

    I've not had too many winning seasons betting games the old way I used to do...This year I will play your systems only and give it a real fair shot. I will also try and be more focused and not make the usual dumb bets I usually make...

     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2014 - 6:41 AM ET #38

    Good luck, I advise you to be cautious with my system plays, just the past results do not guarantee any profit

    recap so far

    System 1: 10-2 +3.12 (betting 1u per game)
    System 2: 4-13 (-3.31)

    S2 has been brutal so far, let's hope it will change
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    Good luck, I advise you to be cautious with my system plays, just the past results do not guarantee any profit

    recap so far

    System 1: 10-2 +3.12 (betting 1u per game)
    System 2: 4-13 (-3.31)

    S2 has been brutal so far, let's hope it will change
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2014 - 1:02 PM ET #39

    System 2:
    Bal ML 0.5/0.63
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    System 2:
    Bal ML 0.5/0.63
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2014 - 4:06 PM ET #40

    adding
    S2:
    CIN ML 0.5/0.68
    MIN ML 0.5/0.64
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    adding
    S2:
    CIN ML 0.5/0.68
    MIN ML 0.5/0.64
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2014 - 4:57 PM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    Good luck, I advise you to be cautious with my system plays, just the past results do not guarantee any profit

    recap so far

    System 1: 10-2 +3.12 (betting 1u per game)
    System 2: 4-13 (-3.31)

    S2 has been brutal so far, let's hope it will change

    System one has the money lead for now as the season is only a week old....Wow, hard to believe one week has flown by that quickly.

    The mutual fund guys came up with that saying years ago "Past performance is no guarantee of future results"  

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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

    Good luck, I advise you to be cautious with my system plays, just the past results do not guarantee any profit

    recap so far

    System 1: 10-2 +3.12 (betting 1u per game)
    System 2: 4-13 (-3.31)

    S2 has been brutal so far, let's hope it will change

    System one has the money lead for now as the season is only a week old....Wow, hard to believe one week has flown by that quickly.

    The mutual fund guys came up with that saying years ago "Past performance is no guarantee of future results"  

     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2014 - 6:30 PM ET #42

    final plays
    S1:
    TB+1.5 1u to win 0.49

    S2:
    CWS ML 0.5 to win 0.67
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    final plays
    S1:
    TB+1.5 1u to win 0.49

    S2:
    CWS ML 0.5 to win 0.67
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2014 - 6:32 PM ET #43

    Yeh, System 1 should be around that 70% for the season, while S2 should be 45% and so far it is nowhere near but hopefully will get to this level
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    Yeh, System 1 should be around that 70% for the season, while S2 should be 45% and so far it is nowhere near but hopefully will get to this level
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2014 - 12:32 AM ET #44

    Ouch..not good, 0-5 on Mondays games...
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    Ouch..not good, 0-5 on Mondays games...
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2014 - 1:01 PM ET #45

    yeh horrible time for system 2, but hey here's another day and a new hope
    System 1:
    Bal +1.5 1u to win 0.5
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    yeh horrible time for system 2, but hey here's another day and a new hope
    System 1:
    Bal +1.5 1u to win 0.5
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2014 - 3:16 PM ET #46

    looks like this one cashes in, ridiculous scoring for Bal
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    looks like this one cashes in, ridiculous scoring for Bal
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2014 - 4:31 PM ET #47

    S2:
    Ari ML 0.5 to win 0.7
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    S2:
    Ari ML 0.5 to win 0.7
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2014 - 7:10 PM ET #48

    final play S1: LAA +1.5 1u to win 0.51
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    final play S1: LAA +1.5 1u to win 0.51
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2014 - 12:04 PM ET #49

    S1: SD +1.5
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    S1: SD +1.5
     
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2014 - 12:05 PM ET #50

    sorry s2: SD ML 0.5 to win 0.65
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    sorry s2: SD ML 0.5 to win 0.65
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