I'll probably post here. I've benefited a lot from other peoples work here and want to return the favor.
Also most of my handicapping techniques fall under a system approach rather than actually handicapping with statistics. Thus, my plays probably fit into this forum.
I'm working on one of my chase systems and as I know that is something some people find very repulsive I'd like to keep those picks here where they garner a bit more respect, or at least a bit more tolerance.
As for when I'm gonna start posting picks, I'd say a week or two into the season. My system 1 doesn't start making picks until May 1st, I will start system 2 after week 1, my over/under chase (will post this sometime this week) starts when it starts, and System 3 starts Septembe 1st so it will be awhile before I show that one.
I have a couple of other systems in the works but not sure if I'll be posting them or even playing them.
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I'll probably post here. I've benefited a lot from other peoples work here and want to return the favor.
Also most of my handicapping techniques fall under a system approach rather than actually handicapping with statistics. Thus, my plays probably fit into this forum.
I'm working on one of my chase systems and as I know that is something some people find very repulsive I'd like to keep those picks here where they garner a bit more respect, or at least a bit more tolerance.
As for when I'm gonna start posting picks, I'd say a week or two into the season. My system 1 doesn't start making picks until May 1st, I will start system 2 after week 1, my over/under chase (will post this sometime this week) starts when it starts, and System 3 starts Septembe 1st so it will be awhile before I show that one.
I have a couple of other systems in the works but not sure if I'll be posting them or even playing them.
I'm working on one of my chase systems and as I know that is something some people find very repulsive I'd like to keep those picks here where they garner a bit more respect, or at least a bit more tolerance.
Tolerance is the key word here. You are right on. Might be useful to throw in a little disclaimer but otherwise, best of luck with your baseball systems .
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Quote Originally Posted by kevnbs:
I'm working on one of my chase systems and as I know that is something some people find very repulsive I'd like to keep those picks here where they garner a bit more respect, or at least a bit more tolerance.
Tolerance is the key word here. You are right on. Might be useful to throw in a little disclaimer but otherwise, best of luck with your baseball systems .
Does anyone know of sportsbooks where you can get 10 cent lines for baseball, (-130 vs +120). I use betus.com and all i can find is 20 cent lines (-130 vs +110).
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Does anyone know of sportsbooks where you can get 10 cent lines for baseball, (-130 vs +120). I use betus.com and all i can find is 20 cent lines (-130 vs +110).
Does anyone know of sportsbooks where you can get 10 cent lines for baseball, (-130 vs +120). I use betus.com and all i can find is 20 cent lines (-130 vs +110).
Pinnacle has 8c lines--also, you can easily get less than 3c lines at Matchbook (before factoring in a small commission)
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Quote Originally Posted by jhonea999:
Does anyone know of sportsbooks where you can get 10 cent lines for baseball, (-130 vs +120). I use betus.com and all i can find is 20 cent lines (-130 vs +110).
Pinnacle has 8c lines--also, you can easily get less than 3c lines at Matchbook (before factoring in a small commission)
Anywhere besides pinnacle? I can't use pinnacle for geographic reasons... thanks for the tip on matchbook.
probably 5Dimes for US customers...never used them but what I have read on this site indicates they are a good book (crappy Cust. Service however). Also, not sure about their MLB lines--maybe someone else from U.S. can provide some info...
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Quote Originally Posted by jhonea999:
Anywhere besides pinnacle? I can't use pinnacle for geographic reasons... thanks for the tip on matchbook.
probably 5Dimes for US customers...never used them but what I have read on this site indicates they are a good book (crappy Cust. Service however). Also, not sure about their MLB lines--maybe someone else from U.S. can provide some info...
I'll probably post here. I've benefited a lot from other peoples work here and want to return the favor.
Also most of my handicapping techniques fall under a system approach rather than actually handicapping with statistics. Thus, my plays probably fit into this forum.
I'm working on one of my chase systems and as I know that is something some people find very repulsive I'd like to keep those picks here where they garner a bit more respect, or at least a bit more tolerance.
As for when I'm gonna start posting picks, I'd say a week or two into the season. My system 1 doesn't start making picks until May 1st, I will start system 2 after week 1, my over/under chase (will post this sometime this week) starts when it starts, and System 3 starts Septembe 1st so it will be awhile before I show that one.
I have a couple of other systems in the works but not sure if I'll be posting them or even playing them.
I would like to see your chase system. On System 1, you also might want to factor in winning percentage of the road team and filter out over a certain percentage so you don't have any mismatches....but I guess maybe the line limit takes care of that to a certain extent....
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Quote Originally Posted by kevnbs:
I'll probably post here. I've benefited a lot from other peoples work here and want to return the favor.
Also most of my handicapping techniques fall under a system approach rather than actually handicapping with statistics. Thus, my plays probably fit into this forum.
I'm working on one of my chase systems and as I know that is something some people find very repulsive I'd like to keep those picks here where they garner a bit more respect, or at least a bit more tolerance.
As for when I'm gonna start posting picks, I'd say a week or two into the season. My system 1 doesn't start making picks until May 1st, I will start system 2 after week 1, my over/under chase (will post this sometime this week) starts when it starts, and System 3 starts Septembe 1st so it will be awhile before I show that one.
I have a couple of other systems in the works but not sure if I'll be posting them or even playing them.
I would like to see your chase system. On System 1, you also might want to factor in winning percentage of the road team and filter out over a certain percentage so you don't have any mismatches....but I guess maybe the line limit takes care of that to a certain extent....
Has anyone run the numbers on this? I ran if for the 2008 season using -130 as the upper limit and ended up in the red instead of +1420 as stated above. Took me forever to run the numbers on this, had to go team by team on covers, anyone have a faster way? Just wanted to check if for myself but it didn't match... thought?
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Has anyone run the numbers on this? I ran if for the 2008 season using -130 as the upper limit and ended up in the red instead of +1420 as stated above. Took me forever to run the numbers on this, had to go team by team on covers, anyone have a faster way? Just wanted to check if for myself but it didn't match... thought?
Where did you find the problem. I just checked my data again and it looks fine. The first post was a bit confusing. To reiterate you are betting on the home team, against a team coming off a loss the previous day and then travelling, never laying more than -130.
I'm interested to see where you see the problem as I don't want to mislead anyone.
Thanks
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jhonea,
Where did you find the problem. I just checked my data again and it looks fine. The first post was a bit confusing. To reiterate you are betting on the home team, against a team coming off a loss the previous day and then travelling, never laying more than -130.
I'm interested to see where you see the problem as I don't want to mislead anyone.
So the loss has to be from the day before? I understood it as a loss from the previous game no matter when that game was... That may be where our difference is so I'll run it again. Hope you don't mind me checking your system, just want to see for myself...
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So the loss has to be from the day before? I understood it as a loss from the previous game no matter when that game was... That may be where our difference is so I'll run it again. Hope you don't mind me checking your system, just want to see for myself...
Do you mind just sending me your data? Do you have it in excel? I added you as a friend and once you accept I will pm you my email address if you don't mind sending me that stuff. Thanks!
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Kevin,
Do you mind just sending me your data? Do you have it in excel? I added you as a friend and once you accept I will pm you my email address if you don't mind sending me that stuff. Thanks!
I'll send it. Need to do it tonight from home computer as our WiFi here at home is a bit slow. Don't get home until after 10 so it will happen either tonight late or earl tomorrow depending on if I have a cocktail after work.
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I'll send it. Need to do it tonight from home computer as our WiFi here at home is a bit slow. Don't get home until after 10 so it will happen either tonight late or earl tomorrow depending on if I have a cocktail after work.
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