Recently I began to put together a system using these three rating systems. I began tracking it after the All Star break. After 23 games (and I know this is a small number) one thing that has stood out is that it is 9-0 SU when the visiting team has been projected to win. What it has also shown is that the three times the road fave was projected to cover, they didn't, and the six times they were projected not to cover, they did. I also broke the difference vs spread down. When the difference vs the spread has been less than one, the home fave has covered whether they were projected to or not (4-0). When the difference vs the spread has been between 1.01 and 2.00 the home fave has not covered whether they were projected to or not (0-4). I don't know how this will be affected with all the trades that have taken place and will continue to track it. The way my system is put together is:
Sagarin: Add Rating + Home Advantage together
Sonny Moore: Add PR + Home Advantage together
Massey: Add Rating + Power + Offense + Defense + HA together and divide by 5
Add the three totals together and divide by 3.
Subtract the lower from the higher to get your number.
I would appreciate any input that is constructive.
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Recently I began to put together a system using these three rating systems. I began tracking it after the All Star break. After 23 games (and I know this is a small number) one thing that has stood out is that it is 9-0 SU when the visiting team has been projected to win. What it has also shown is that the three times the road fave was projected to cover, they didn't, and the six times they were projected not to cover, they did. I also broke the difference vs spread down. When the difference vs the spread has been less than one, the home fave has covered whether they were projected to or not (4-0). When the difference vs the spread has been between 1.01 and 2.00 the home fave has not covered whether they were projected to or not (0-4). I don't know how this will be affected with all the trades that have taken place and will continue to track it. The way my system is put together is:
Sagarin: Add Rating + Home Advantage together
Sonny Moore: Add PR + Home Advantage together
Massey: Add Rating + Power + Offense + Defense + HA together and divide by 5
Add the three totals together and divide by 3.
Subtract the lower from the higher to get your number.
I would appreciate any input that is constructive.
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