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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    "Key Parlays" after 120 days & Continued.

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    rickbrown86
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    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2007 - 3:30 PM ET #1

    The Rules of the Key System are "keying" the opening line highest juice team in 2-team parlays with next 3 opening line teams with highest juice. If there is a tie -- ist tie-break is total points of teams (a little leeway here..if a team with 27 point playing a team wit 10 and team with 29 points playing team with 25 -- go with larger diff in points) 2nd tie-break is Home over Away. These will become parlays (A) (B) and (C). The other rule is the unit level we bet, and this is determined only by the "key" We start at a base unit (never go under whatever base is) after a loss we increase 1 unit & after a win we decrease 1 unit. There are streaks in any system or even straight plays, and by only using whether the "key" wins or loses -- we will be at base level most of the time as it is winning at about 70%. ********************************************** After 120 days [329 parlays] tracking this at level (1) = $100 the results so far are: Key team -- 85W / 35L = 70.83% (71%) (A) team -- 72W / 48L = 60.00% (62.5%) (B) team -- 71W / 41L = 63.39% (62.0%) (C) team -- 63W / 34L = 64.95% (61.5%) In Parlays, Key with: (A) team <$2,198> ..49W/71L= 40.83% (44.5%) (B) team +$1,101 ..48W/64L= 42.86% (44%) (C) team +$330 ..40W/57L= 41.24% (43.5%) Total Keys <$667> 137W/192L= 41.64% (44%) Added (percentage) after each actual percentage in is my best estimate (guess) of what average should be. *********************************************** System at level (3) $300 now and showing a loss of $767 ************************************************ Fwd <$767> 18 Feb Day 121 level (3) $300 Key is Anaheim with: [A] Pittsburgh 300/264 [B] NY Rangers 300/346 [C] Vancouver 300/354
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    The Rules of the Key System are "keying" the opening line highest juice team in 2-team parlays with next 3 opening line teams with highest juice. If there is a tie -- ist tie-break is total points of teams (a little leeway here..if a team with 27 point playing a team wit 10 and team with 29 points playing team with 25 -- go with larger diff in points) 2nd tie-break is Home over Away. These will become parlays (A) (B) and (C). The other rule is the unit level we bet, and this is determined only by the "key" We start at a base unit (never go under whatever base is) after a loss we increase 1 unit & after a win we decrease 1 unit. There are streaks in any system or even straight plays, and by only using whether the "key" wins or loses -- we will be at base level most of the time as it is winning at about 70%. ********************************************** After 120 days [329 parlays] tracking this at level (1) = $100 the results so far are: Key team -- 85W / 35L = 70.83% (71%) (A) team -- 72W / 48L = 60.00% (62.5%) (B) team -- 71W / 41L = 63.39% (62.0%) (C) team -- 63W / 34L = 64.95% (61.5%) In Parlays, Key with: (A) team <$2,198> ..49W/71L= 40.83% (44.5%) (B) team +$1,101 ..48W/64L= 42.86% (44%) (C) team +$330 ..40W/57L= 41.24% (43.5%) Total Keys <$667> 137W/192L= 41.64% (44%) Added (percentage) after each actual percentage in is my best estimate (guess) of what average should be. *********************************************** System at level (3) $300 now and showing a loss of $767 ************************************************ Fwd <$767> 18 Feb Day 121 level (3) $300 Key is Anaheim with: [A] Pittsburgh 300/264 [B] NY Rangers 300/346 [C] Vancouver 300/354
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2007 - 2:21 AM ET #2

    Fwd: <$767> Day 121 Key Lost in shootout (A B C wasted – all won) Day <$900> After 121 days <$1,667> level now (4) $400
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    Fwd: <$767> Day 121 Key Lost in shootout (A B C wasted – all won) Day <$900> After 121 days <$1,667> level now (4) $400
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2007 - 3:33 AM ET #3

    Fwd <$1,667> 19 Feb Day 122 level (4) $400 Key is Nashville with: [A] NY Islanders 400/ [B] Philadelphia 400/ [C] XXX
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    Fwd <$1,667> 19 Feb Day 122 level (4) $400 Key is Nashville with: [A] NY Islanders 400/ [B] Philadelphia 400/ [C] XXX
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2007 - 7:01 PM ET #4

    Fwd <$1,667> 19 Feb Day 122 level (4) $400 Key is Nashville with: [A] NY Islanders 400/626 [B] Philadelphia 400/602 [C] XXX
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    Fwd <$1,667> 19 Feb Day 122 level (4) $400 Key is Nashville with: [A] NY Islanders 400/626 [B] Philadelphia 400/602 [C] XXX
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2007 - 11:15 PM ET #5

    Fwd: <$1,667> Day 122 Key Won (with A) Day +226 After 121 days <$1,441> level now (3) $300
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    Fwd: <$1,667> Day 122 Key Won (with A) Day +226 After 121 days <$1,441> level now (3) $300
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2007 - 1:14 AM ET #6

    Fwd <$1,441> 20 Feb Day 123 level (3) $300 Key is Buffalo with: [A] Ottawa 300/262 [B] Montreal 300/290 [C] Tampa Bay 300/300 ***************************** Fwd: <$1,441> Day 123 Key Won (with A B C) Sweep Day +$852 After 121 days <$589> level now (2) $200
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    Fwd <$1,441> 20 Feb Day 123 level (3) $300 Key is Buffalo with: [A] Ottawa 300/262 [B] Montreal 300/290 [C] Tampa Bay 300/300 ***************************** Fwd: <$1,441> Day 123 Key Won (with A B C) Sweep Day +$852 After 121 days <$589> level now (2) $200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2007 - 6:27 PM ET #7

    Fwd <$589> 21 Feb Day 124 level (2) $200 Key is Detroit with: [A] San Jose 200/192 [B] XXXX [C] XXXX
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    Fwd <$589> 21 Feb Day 124 level (2) $200 Key is Detroit with: [A] San Jose 200/192 [B] XXXX [C] XXXX
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2007 - 10:09 PM ET #8

    Fwd: <$589> Day 124 Key Won (with A) Day +$192 After 124 days <$397> level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: <$589> Day 124 Key Won (with A) Day +$192 After 124 days <$397> level now (1) $100
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2007 - 1:56 AM ET #9

    Fwd <$397> 22 Feb Day 125 level (1) $100 Key is Carolina with: [A] Nashville 100/ [B] San Jose 100/ [C] Calgary 100/
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    Fwd <$397> 22 Feb Day 125 level (1) $100 Key is Carolina with: [A] Nashville 100/ [B] San Jose 100/ [C] Calgary 100/
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2007 - 2:09 AM ET #10

    ||an_light.gif' border=0>||an_speak.gif' border=0> Considering using whole amount on short days instead of just single part. level (1) is $100 x 3 parlays = $300. Have been using $100 when only 1 parlay. I am thinking that it may be better to keep the increments the same and betting the $300 on the single, or $150 each when two. Then each day would be played for the whole $$ amount of the play rather than some days being less risk/reward. I will backtrack to see how this would have worked out before any change made. I took advantage of this in last few days, and it worked out in my favor. That may just have been a lucky fluke.||confused.gif' border=0>
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    ||an_light.gif' border=0>||an_speak.gif' border=0> Considering using whole amount on short days instead of just single part. level (1) is $100 x 3 parlays = $300. Have been using $100 when only 1 parlay. I am thinking that it may be better to keep the increments the same and betting the $300 on the single, or $150 each when two. Then each day would be played for the whole $$ amount of the play rather than some days being less risk/reward. I will backtrack to see how this would have worked out before any change made. I took advantage of this in last few days, and it worked out in my favor. That may just have been a lucky fluke.||confused.gif' border=0>
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2007 - 9:07 PM ET #11

    22 Feb Day 125 level (1) $100 Key is Carolina with: [A] Nashville 100/88 [B] San Jose 100/118 [C] Calgary 100/122
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    22 Feb Day 125 level (1) $100 Key is Carolina with: [A] Nashville 100/88 [B] San Jose 100/118 [C] Calgary 100/122
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2007 - 5:03 PM ET #12

    Fwd <$479> 23 Feb Day 126 level (1) $100 Key is Detroit with: [A] Tampa Bay 100/104 [B] Anaheim 100/154 [C] XXXX
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    Fwd <$479> 23 Feb Day 126 level (1) $100 Key is Detroit with: [A] Tampa Bay 100/104 [B] Anaheim 100/154 [C] XXXX
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2007 - 2:41 AM ET #13

    Key Lost Day <$200> After 126 days <$679> level now (2) $200
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    Key Lost Day <$200> After 126 days <$679> level now (2) $200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2007 - 3:02 AM ET #14

    Fwd <$679> 24 Feb Day 127 level (2) $200 Key is New Jersey with: [A] NY Rangers 200/181 [B] Ottawa 200/203 [C] Nashville 200/248 Fwd: <$679> Day 127 Key Lost Day <$600> After 127 days <$1,79> level now (3) $300
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    Fwd <$679> 24 Feb Day 127 level (2) $200 Key is New Jersey with: [A] NY Rangers 200/181 [B] Ottawa 200/203 [C] Nashville 200/248 Fwd: <$679> Day 127 Key Lost Day <$600> After 127 days <$1,79> level now (3) $300
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2007 - 3:02 AM ET #15

    After 127 days <$1,279>
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    After 127 days <$1,279>
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2007 - 1:07 PM ET #16

    Fwd <$1279> 25 Feb Day 128 level (3) $300 Key is Anaheim with: [A] Nashville 300/328 [B] Minnesota 300/392 [C] New Jersey 300/408
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    Fwd <$1279> 25 Feb Day 128 level (3) $300 Key is Anaheim with: [A] Nashville 300/328 [B] Minnesota 300/392 [C] New Jersey 300/408
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 26, 2007 - 12:55 AM ET #17

    Fwd: <$1,279> Day 128 Key Won (with A B C) Sweep! Day +$1,128 After 128 days <$151> level now (2) $200
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    Fwd: <$1,279> Day 128 Key Won (with A B C) Sweep! Day +$1,128 After 128 days <$151> level now (2) $200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 26, 2007 - 6:52 PM ET #18

    Fwd <$151> 26 Feb Day 129 level (2) $200 Key is Calgary with: [A] San Jose 200/252 [B] Montreal 200/289 [C] Atlanta 200/289
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    Fwd <$151> 26 Feb Day 129 level (2) $200 Key is Calgary with: [A] San Jose 200/252 [B] Montreal 200/289 [C] Atlanta 200/289
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2007 - 8:34 AM ET #19

    Fwd: <$151> Day 129 Key Won (with B C) Day +$378 After 129 days +$227 level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: <$151> Day 129 Key Won (with B C) Day +$378 After 129 days +$227 level now (1) $100
     
    dand07
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2007 - 9:07 AM ET #20

    what are you up in total from this system this nhl season?
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    what are you up in total from this system this nhl season?
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2007 - 9:56 AM ET #21

    Fwd +$227 27 Feb Day 130 level (1) $100 Key is NY Islanders with: [A] Edmonton 100/ [B] Colorado 100/ [C] Detroit 100/ System not doing so hot only up $227
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    Fwd +$227 27 Feb Day 130 level (1) $100 Key is NY Islanders with: [A] Edmonton 100/ [B] Colorado 100/ [C] Detroit 100/ System not doing so hot only up $227
     
    fromdowntown
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2007 - 4:43 PM ET #22

    I would love to be up $227 over the last 130 days!! And I'm completely serious. ||an_brick.gif' border=0>
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    I would love to be up $227 over the last 130 days!! And I'm completely serious. ||an_brick.gif' border=0>
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2007 - 12:40 AM ET #23

    LOL! I hear Ya -- better than being down. Just was much better in MLB.
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    LOL! I hear Ya -- better than being down. Just was much better in MLB.
     
    rickbrown86
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2007 - 12:42 AM ET #24

    Fwd +$227 27 Feb Day 130 level (1) $100 Key is NY Islanders with: [A] Edmonton 100/112 [B] Colorado 100/109 [C] Detroit 100/109 Fwd: +$227 Day 130 Key Won (with B C) Day +$118 After 130 days +$345 level now (1) $100
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    Fwd +$227 27 Feb Day 130 level (1) $100 Key is NY Islanders with: [A] Edmonton 100/112 [B] Colorado 100/109 [C] Detroit 100/109 Fwd: +$227 Day 130 Key Won (with B C) Day +$118 After 130 days +$345 level now (1) $100
     
     
    rickbrown86
    rickbrown86
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    Joined: Feb, 2006
    Posts: 13068
    Posted: Feb. 28, 2007 - 6:28 PM ET #25

    Fwd +$345 28 Feb Day 131 level (1) $100 Key is Ottawa with: [A] Calgary 100/134 [B] San Jose 100/153 [C]
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    Fwd +$345 28 Feb Day 131 level (1) $100 Key is Ottawa with: [A] Calgary 100/134 [B] San Jose 100/153 [C]
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