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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Quarters for NBA

    123456 Next Last»
    primetime27
    Gator11
    aerojackel
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    Posts: 135
    123456 Next Last»
     
    primetime27
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 5:49 PM ET #1

    Keeping it short tonight since i'm in a hurry. Got something in the works for 1st/4th quarters sides and totals.

    Minn/GS under 55.5 1st qtr
    Minn/GS under 51 4th qtr
    Minn +.5 4th qtr
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Keeping it short tonight since i'm in a hurry. Got something in the works for 1st/4th quarters sides and totals.

    Minn/GS under 55.5 1st qtr
    Minn/GS under 51 4th qtr
    Minn +.5 4th qtr
     
    Gator11
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 6:19 PM ET #2

    GL tonight primetime...

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    GL tonight primetime...

     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 1:31 AM ET #3

    Not the best opening act as the wolves fall for no reason to send the 4th qtr over by 1.
    Minn/GS under 55.5 1st qtr
    Minn/GS under 51 4th qtr
    Minn +.5 4th qtr

    nevertheless 1-2.
    I am only back testing this season which may be a bad idea but i believe teams change year to year as do the trends. I'm hoping to have enough data in a few more weeks to be able to limit the plays to a higher percentage. On to tomorrow.
    Will post lines later
    Sixers 1st under
    Sixers 4th qtr
    Sixers 4th under
    Bulls 1st qtr
    Tor 4th qtr
    Lakers 1st qtr
    Pacers 4th qtr
    MIn 4th qtr
    Min 4th under
    Mem 1st qtr
    Mem 1st under
    Char 4th qtr
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    Not the best opening act as the wolves fall for no reason to send the 4th qtr over by 1.
    Minn/GS under 55.5 1st qtr
    Minn/GS under 51 4th qtr
    Minn +.5 4th qtr

    nevertheless 1-2.
    I am only back testing this season which may be a bad idea but i believe teams change year to year as do the trends. I'm hoping to have enough data in a few more weeks to be able to limit the plays to a higher percentage. On to tomorrow.
    Will post lines later
    Sixers 1st under
    Sixers 4th qtr
    Sixers 4th under
    Bulls 1st qtr
    Tor 4th qtr
    Lakers 1st qtr
    Pacers 4th qtr
    MIn 4th qtr
    Min 4th under
    Mem 1st qtr
    Mem 1st under
    Char 4th qtr
     
    primetime27
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 1:33 AM ET #4

    First sentence should read.
    " Not the best opening act, as the wolves fouled when the game was over and sent the 4th qtr over by 1."
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    First sentence should read.
    " Not the best opening act, as the wolves fouled when the game was over and sent the 4th qtr over by 1."
     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 5:38 PM ET #5

    And the lines are...
    Sixers 1st under -1.5
    Sixers 4th qtr -1
    Sixers 4th under 46.5
    Bulls 1st qtr -1.5
    Tor 4th qtr +1
    Lakers 1st qtr -1
    Pacers 4th qtr +.5
    MIn 4th qtr +2
    Min 4th under 54.5
    Mem 1st qtr -3
    Mem 1st under 47.5
    Char 4th qtr +2
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    And the lines are...
    Sixers 1st under -1.5
    Sixers 4th qtr -1
    Sixers 4th under 46.5
    Bulls 1st qtr -1.5
    Tor 4th qtr +1
    Lakers 1st qtr -1
    Pacers 4th qtr +.5
    MIn 4th qtr +2
    Min 4th under 54.5
    Mem 1st qtr -3
    Mem 1st under 47.5
    Char 4th qtr +2
     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 7:43 PM ET #6

    "Sixers 1st under 49.5" either way it's a loser
    Bulls 1st qtr -1.5
    Lakers 1st qtr -1
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    "Sixers 1st under 49.5" either way it's a loser
    Bulls 1st qtr -1.5
    Lakers 1st qtr -1
     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 11:36 PM ET #7

    Sixers 1st under 49.5
    Sixers 4th qtr -1
    Sixers 4th under 46.5
    Bulls 1st qtr -1.5
    Tor 4th qtr +1
    Lakers 1st qtr -1
    Pacers 4th qtr +.5
    MIn 4th qtr +2
    Min 4th under 54.5
    Mem 1st qtr -3
    Mem 1st under 47.5
    Char 4th qtr +2

    9-3 on the night
    ytd: 10-5

    Picks for thursday 16th
    Den 1st
    Hawks 4th
    hawks 4th under
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    Sixers 1st under 49.5
    Sixers 4th qtr -1
    Sixers 4th under 46.5
    Bulls 1st qtr -1.5
    Tor 4th qtr +1
    Lakers 1st qtr -1
    Pacers 4th qtr +.5
    MIn 4th qtr +2
    Min 4th under 54.5
    Mem 1st qtr -3
    Mem 1st under 47.5
    Char 4th qtr +2

    9-3 on the night
    ytd: 10-5

    Picks for thursday 16th
    Den 1st
    Hawks 4th
    hawks 4th under
     
    primetime27
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2010 - 3:33 PM ET #8

    Picks for thursday 16th
    Den 1st +.5
    Hawks 4th +1.5
    hawks 4th under 46
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    Picks for thursday 16th
    Den 1st +.5
    Hawks 4th +1.5
    hawks 4th under 46
     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2010 - 3:35 PM ET #9

    Den 1st +.5
    Hawks 4th +1.5
    hawks 4th under 46
    1-2 on the evening
    11-7 ytd
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    Den 1st +.5
    Hawks 4th +1.5
    hawks 4th under 46
    1-2 on the evening
    11-7 ytd
     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2010 - 4:05 PM ET #10

    Fridays picks
    ATL 1st qtr under 46
    Nets 4th qtr +1
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    Fridays picks
    ATL 1st qtr under 46
    Nets 4th qtr +1
     
    primetime27
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2010 - 10:30 PM ET #11

    ATL 1st qtr under 46
    Nets 4th qtr +1

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    ATL 1st qtr under 46
    Nets 4th qtr +1

     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2010 - 10:32 PM ET #12

    ytd 12-8
    saturdays picks

    heat 4th under
    phil 4th under
    cle 1st
    cle 4th under
    bucks 1st
    jazz 4th
    clip 4th under
    port 1st under
    port 4th under
    minn 4th
    minn 4th under
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    ytd 12-8
    saturdays picks

    heat 4th under
    phil 4th under
    cle 1st
    cle 4th under
    bucks 1st
    jazz 4th
    clip 4th under
    port 1st under
    port 4th under
    minn 4th
    minn 4th under
     
    aerojackel
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    Posted: Dec. 18, 2010 - 1:20 AM ET #13

    Seems to be going okay at 12-8.  Not sure what one pays for quarters - I mean is it -110 or +103 or does it vary?

    How do you come up with the plays? You mentioned they are 1st or 4th quarters.  Interesting...

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    Seems to be going okay at 12-8.  Not sure what one pays for quarters - I mean is it -110 or +103 or does it vary?

    How do you come up with the plays? You mentioned they are 1st or 4th quarters.  Interesting...

     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 18, 2010 - 1:29 PM ET #14

    The book that i use is almost always -110. Picks are just based on certain percentages, but i may have to add a few other factors to tighten it up.
    I am happy with how it is going, since i only back-tested this season i kind of expected this. I think as the season goes on the winning percentage will get better.
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    The book that i use is almost always -110. Picks are just based on certain percentages, but i may have to add a few other factors to tighten it up.
    I am happy with how it is going, since i only back-tested this season i kind of expected this. I think as the season goes on the winning percentage will get better.
     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 18, 2010 - 1:57 PM ET #15

    saturdays picks

    heat 4th under 48
    phil 4th under 47
    cle 1st +1.5
    cle 4th under 51
    bucks 1st -.5
    jazz 4th +.5
    clip 4th under 47
    port 1st under 49.5
    port 4th under 49.5
    minn 4th +2
    minn 4th under 55
    Reply
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    saturdays picks

    heat 4th under 48
    phil 4th under 47
    cle 1st +1.5
    cle 4th under 51
    bucks 1st -.5
    jazz 4th +.5
    clip 4th under 47
    port 1st under 49.5
    port 4th under 49.5
    minn 4th +2
    minn 4th under 55
     
    aerojackel
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2010 - 12:56 AM ET #16

    I think you had a pretty decent night on Sat.  Checked Pinny's rules and the bet on the Cle 4th quarter - Under - OT is NOT included -

    You've got something here if it can continue at this pace - GL

     

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    I think you had a pretty decent night on Sat.  Checked Pinny's rules and the bet on the Cle 4th quarter - Under - OT is NOT included -

    You've got something here if it can continue at this pace - GL

     

     
    primetime27
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2010 - 9:59 PM ET #17

    heat 4th under 48
    phil 4th under 47
    cle 1st +1.5
    cle 4th under 51
    bucks 1st -.5
    jazz 4th +.5
    clip 4th under 47
    port 1st under 49.5
    port 4th under 49.5
    minn 4th +2
    minn 4th under 55
    7-4 for saturday. I didn't have time to post today
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    heat 4th under 48
    phil 4th under 47
    cle 1st +1.5
    cle 4th under 51
    bucks 1st -.5
    jazz 4th +.5
    clip 4th under 47
    port 1st under 49.5
    port 4th under 49.5
    minn 4th +2
    minn 4th under 55
    7-4 for saturday. I didn't have time to post today
     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2010 - 3:07 AM ET #18

    There actually weren't any plays for sunday. Mondays plays are
    Hawks 1st under
    NO 1st
    NO 4th under
    IND 4th
    SA 1st
    Suns 4th
    Suns 4th under

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    There actually weren't any plays for sunday. Mondays plays are
    Hawks 1st under
    NO 1st
    NO 4th under
    IND 4th
    SA 1st
    Suns 4th
    Suns 4th under

     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2010 - 6:18 PM ET #19

    YTD 19-12
    Hawks 1st under 48
    NO 1st +1
    NO 4th under 46.5
    IND 4th-.5
    SA 1st -3.5
    Suns 4th +2
    Suns 4th under 53.5
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    YTD 19-12
    Hawks 1st under 48
    NO 1st +1
    NO 4th under 46.5
    IND 4th-.5
    SA 1st -3.5
    Suns 4th +2
    Suns 4th under 53.5
     
    primetime27
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2010 - 11:31 PM ET #20

    Hawks 1st under 48
    NO 1st +1
    NO 4th under 46.5
    IND 4th-.5
    SA 1st -3.5
    Suns 4th +2
    Suns 4th under 53.5

    3-4
    YTD: 22-16

    Plays for tuesday
    GS 1st under
    Dal 4th
    Orl 1st
    Orl 1st over
    Orl 4th over
    Mil 1st under
    Mil 4th over
    OKC 1st
    OKC 1st under
    Reply
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    Hawks 1st under 48
    NO 1st +1
    NO 4th under 46.5
    IND 4th-.5
    SA 1st -3.5
    Suns 4th +2
    Suns 4th under 53.5

    3-4
    YTD: 22-16

    Plays for tuesday
    GS 1st under
    Dal 4th
    Orl 1st
    Orl 1st over
    Orl 4th over
    Mil 1st under
    Mil 4th over
    OKC 1st
    OKC 1st under
     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2010 - 3:40 PM ET #21

    GS 1st under +1
    Dal 4th +.5
    Orl 1st -1
    Orl 1st over 48
    Orl 4th over 47.5
    Mil 1st under 48
    Mil 4th over 47.5
    OKC 1st -2
    OKC 1st under 48.5
    Reply
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    GS 1st under +1
    Dal 4th +.5
    Orl 1st -1
    Orl 1st over 48
    Orl 4th over 47.5
    Mil 1st under 48
    Mil 4th over 47.5
    OKC 1st -2
    OKC 1st under 48.5
     
    primetime27
    primetime27
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 675
    Posted: Dec. 22, 2010 - 12:50 AM ET #22

    GS 1st under 51.5
    Dal 4th +.5
    Orl 1st -1
    Orl 1st over 48
    Orl 4th over 47.5
    Mil 1st under 48 line should have been 46.5
    Mil 4th over 47.5
    OKC 1st -2
    OKC 1st under 48.5
    4-4 should be 5-3
    Reply
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    GS 1st under 51.5
    Dal 4th +.5
    Orl 1st -1
    Orl 1st over 48
    Orl 4th over 47.5
    Mil 1st under 48 line should have been 46.5
    Mil 4th over 47.5
    OKC 1st -2
    OKC 1st under 48.5
    4-4 should be 5-3
     
    primetime27
    primetime27
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 675
    Posted: Dec. 22, 2010 - 2:14 PM ET #23

    Ytd: 27-19
    Wednesdays plays
    NJ 1st +2
    NJ 4th +2
    Chi 4th -.5
    Phil 4th under 47.5
    Okc 4th pk
    Okc 4th under 52.5
    Reply
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    Ytd: 27-19
    Wednesdays plays
    NJ 1st +2
    NJ 4th +2
    Chi 4th -.5
    Phil 4th under 47.5
    Okc 4th pk
    Okc 4th under 52.5
     
    primetime27
    primetime27
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 675
    Posted: Dec. 22, 2010 - 10:25 PM ET #24

    NJ 1st +2
    NJ 4th +2
    Chi 4th -.5
    Phil 4th under 47.5
    Okc 4th pk
    Okc 4th under 52.5
    4-2 on the day
    YTD: 31-21
    Thursday's play
    magic 1st
    Reply
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    NJ 1st +2
    NJ 4th +2
    Chi 4th -.5
    Phil 4th under 47.5
    Okc 4th pk
    Okc 4th under 52.5
    4-2 on the day
    YTD: 31-21
    Thursday's play
    magic 1st
     
     
    aerojackel
    aerojackel
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2010
    Posts: 924
    Posted: Dec. 22, 2010 - 10:29 PM ET #25

    Nice night on Wednesday -

    Thanks for posting

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    Nice night on Wednesday -

    Thanks for posting

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