Posted:
#176
anything for sunday ??
0
ppg system
Posted:
#177
the only one left:
uva 70
unc 73 -3/-8.5 = play uva +9
143/143
the games that were missed;
vt 68
miami 68 -4=64 +4/-2,5 = play vt +2.5 and ml LOSS
pit 68
s fl 68 pk/+2
136/125 = play over 126 WIN
fl 70
tn 73 -3/-8,5 = play fl +9 WIN
143/141
but 69
wi mil 65 -5=60 +9/+6.7
valpo 71
wi gb 71 pk/-5= play valpo +6 WINNING
142/141
ford 63.5
x 78 +6 =86 -22.5/28,5 = play ford +28.5 LOSS
psu 63
pur 70 -7/-15 = play psu +15 (off-setting)
133/129
st joes 70
duq 72 -2/-7 = play st joes +7
142/148.5 = play under 149
man 61.5
st pete 66 -4.5/-5.5
126.5/120.5 = play over 120.5 LOSS
uva 70
unc 73 -3/-8.5 = play uva +9
143/143
the games that were missed;
vt 68
miami 68 -4=64 +4/-2,5 = play vt +2.5 and ml LOSS
pit 68
s fl 68 pk/+2
136/125 = play over 126 WIN
fl 70
tn 73 -3/-8,5 = play fl +9 WIN
143/141
but 69
wi mil 65 -5=60 +9/+6.7
valpo 71
wi gb 71 pk/-5= play valpo +6 WINNING
142/141
ford 63.5
x 78 +6 =86 -22.5/28,5 = play ford +28.5 LOSS
psu 63
pur 70 -7/-15 = play psu +15 (off-setting)
133/129
st joes 70
duq 72 -2/-7 = play st joes +7
142/148.5 = play under 149
man 61.5
st pete 66 -4.5/-5.5
126.5/120.5 = play over 120.5 LOSS
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Posted:
#179
NEW CALCULATION ALERT
AS OF FEB 1ST, I NO LONGER WILL USE "ALL GAMES" AND INSTEAD WILL USE "CONFERENCE GAMES" WHEN APPLICABLE. Since conference play is well underway, I feel we should get better #'s as opposed to the overall category which goes back to the beginning of the season.
w mich 72
buf 71 +1/-5 = play w mich +5
143/147.5
e mich 62
akr 68 +3=71 -9/-12
130/131
n ill 67.5
kent st 76 +3=79 -11.5/-13
142/145
conn 71
lou 73 -2/-6.5
144/145.5
TX 76
ok st 77 -3=74+2/+2.5
153/151
can 62
iona 67 +3=70 -8/-10
129/129
sc st 68.5
fl am 67 +4=71 -2.5/+4.5 = play fl a&m +4.5
tol 56
bg 66 -10/-14
122/118
AS OF FEB 1ST, I NO LONGER WILL USE "ALL GAMES" AND INSTEAD WILL USE "CONFERENCE GAMES" WHEN APPLICABLE. Since conference play is well underway, I feel we should get better #'s as opposed to the overall category which goes back to the beginning of the season.
w mich 72
buf 71 +1/-5 = play w mich +5
143/147.5
e mich 62
akr 68 +3=71 -9/-12
130/131
n ill 67.5
kent st 76 +3=79 -11.5/-13
142/145
conn 71
lou 73 -2/-6.5
144/145.5
TX 76
ok st 77 -3=74+2/+2.5
153/151
can 62
iona 67 +3=70 -8/-10
129/129
sc st 68.5
fl am 67 +4=71 -2.5/+4.5 = play fl a&m +4.5
tol 56
bg 66 -10/-14
122/118
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Posted:
#180
ri 72
la salle 70 +2/+4
142/148.5 = play under 148.5
ucf 66
ecu 68 -2/pk
134/133
miami 70
wf 73 +6 = 79 -9/-7.5
sh 74
nova 82.5 -8.5/-11
156.5/166 = play under 166
mich 65
nw 65 pk/-1.5
130/125
tow 60
drex 69.5 -9.5/-13.5
129.5/127
ole miss 72
kent 77 -5/-11 = play +11
149/153.5
pro 73
cuse 80 -7/-15.5 = np play
153/167.5=play under 167.5
st j 69
rut 66+3/+3
132/134
kst 70
neb 69 +1/+3
139/135
smu 61
smiss 63 -3=60 +1/-6 = np
124/119
dra 66.5
bra 67 -.5/-4.5
133/135
tcu 62
byu 74 -12/-19 = np
136/142 =play under 142
mich st 65
wisc 64 +1/-2
129/123 = play over 123
ne 69
del 62 +7/+8
131/127
af 60
sd st 69 -9/-17 = play af +17.5
129/117=play over 117
jax st 71
tn st 66+3=69 =+2/pk
137/142
0
Posted:
#184
WEDNESDAY
psu 60
osu 70.5 -10.5/-15
130.5/130
vcu 74
uncw 65 +9/+95
139/146 = play under 146
gm 70
ga st 66 +4/pk
136/122 = play over 122
pit 65
wvu 70 -5/-7.5
135/125.5 = play over 125.5
duq 62.5
temp 71 -8.5/-13
133.5/119 = play over 119
x 75.5
mass 68-4=64 +11.5/+9.5
rich 67
st joes 65.5 +1.5/+5
132.5/132
ncst 68
uva 72 -4/-5
140/135.5
ark 71
uga 75 -4/-4.5
146/147
ill st 68
ind st 66 +2/pk
134/131
n ill 64
akr 72 -8/-12.5
136/138
sfl 70.5
g town 75 +3 =78 -7.5/-12.5 = play s fl +13.5
145.5/134 = play over 134
\\
hof 68
jmu 67.5 +.5./-1
135.5/136
wm&m 59.5
odu 67 -7.5/-11
126.5/121
dep 60
marq 72 -3=69 -9/-17 = play depaul +17
132/125.5 = play over 125
gw 65.5
cha 71 -5.5/-8
136.5/144 = play under 144
iowa st 68.5
bay 76.5 -8/-11
145/143
st b 63
st l 67 -4=63 =pk/-6.5 = play st boni +6.5
uab 65
mem 68 -3/-8
133/127.5
tul 65
rice 68 -3/-2
133/126 = play over 126
mar 65.5
tul 71 -5.5/-7.5
136.5/141
wich 59
n iowa 62.5 -3.5/-5.5
121.5/118
evans 64
crei 70 -6/-13 = play evansville +13
134/136
mizzu 68
s ill 69.5 -1.5/-3.5
137.5/139
miss st 71
vandy 73 +3 = 76 -5/-6
col st 64.5
utah 71 +4 =7.5 -10.5/-9.5
ill 67
iowa 65 +2/+4.5
132/131
tx a&m 70
mizzu 76 -6/-9
146/145
ka 77
col 71 -4= 67 +7+13.5 = col +14
148/151
unlv 73
wyo 69 -5 = 64 +9/+7.5
hou 70
utep 74.5 -4.5/-7
144.5/157 = play under 157
id 64
ut st 74 -10/-15.5
138/130 = play over 130
0
Posted:
#186
THIRSTY THURSDAY
game before 9:00 excl added games. Looking at 7+ diff.
pur 69
ind 64 +3=67 +2/+10.5 = play ind +10.5
gt 69
duke 73+4=77 -8/-13
det 65
but 70 +6 = 76 -11/-14.5
mia oh 63
w mich 68 -4=64 -1/-4.5
kent st 66.5
e mich 61 -5=56 +10.5/+3.5 = kent st -3.5
buf 67
c mich 73 -3=70
oh 69
tol 62 +7/+12.5 = play tol +13
131/127
bg 60
ball st 63 -3/-4.5
123/112.5 = play over 112.5
fl 65
bama 65 pk/-2
130/129
ark st 70
ark lr 69 -1/-1.5
139/134.5
fl int 67
la laf 73 -6/-12 = fl int +13 (off setting)
140/143
w kent 68
la mon 68-5 = 63 +5/+6
s al 66
no 65 +1/+5
131/122 = play over 122
clev st 66.5
il chi 63 +3.5/+4.5
139.5/132 = play over 132
young 64
loy il 66 -2/-4.5
130/128
wgt st 66.5
val 67-.5/+5 = play valpo +5
133.5/131
troy 66
mtsu 69 -3/-5
135/136
fl atl 73.5
n tx 73 pk/-4.5
146.5/152
game before 9:00 excl added games. Looking at 7+ diff.
pur 69
ind 64 +3=67 +2/+10.5 = play ind +10.5
gt 69
duke 73+4=77 -8/-13
det 65
but 70 +6 = 76 -11/-14.5
mia oh 63
w mich 68 -4=64 -1/-4.5
kent st 66.5
e mich 61 -5=56 +10.5/+3.5 = kent st -3.5
buf 67
c mich 73 -3=70
oh 69
tol 62 +7/+12.5 = play tol +13
131/127
bg 60
ball st 63 -3/-4.5
123/112.5 = play over 112.5
fl 65
bama 65 pk/-2
130/129
ark st 70
ark lr 69 -1/-1.5
139/134.5
fl int 67
la laf 73 -6/-12 = fl int +13 (off setting)
140/143
w kent 68
la mon 68-5 = 63 +5/+6
s al 66
no 65 +1/+5
131/122 = play over 122
clev st 66.5
il chi 63 +3.5/+4.5
139.5/132 = play over 132
young 64
loy il 66 -2/-4.5
130/128
wgt st 66.5
val 67-.5/+5 = play valpo +5
133.5/131
troy 66
mtsu 69 -3/-5
135/136
fl atl 73.5
n tx 73 pk/-4.5
146.5/152
0
Posted:
#193
added games:
ga south 67
wcar 76 -9/-16 = np
143/149
ut chat 70
cc 76 +4=80 -10/-9.5
uncg 65
fur 68 -5 = 63 +2/-5.5 = play uncg +5.5 (offsetting)
sam 56
cit 60.5 -4.5/-5.5
116.5/107.5 = play over 107.5
jax st 62.5
mor st 68 -5.5/-13.5 = play jax st +13.5
130.5
tn tech 70
e ky 75 -5/-11 = play tn tck +11
145
ap 72
tn martin 68 +4=72 pk/+9 = play tn martin +9 (be careful here, they have less ats covers than SU wins!)
tn st 60.5
mur st 77 -3=74 -13.5/-22.5 = np
or 67
iupu ftw 67 -4 = 63 +4/+4.5
cent 68
oak 80.5 -12.5/-19.5 = np
148.5/152.5
mizzu kc 69
n dak st 71 -2/-6
140/
s utah 66
s dakota 74 -8/-14 = np
140/
Late games on the regular card are pending.
I use statfox for my power ratings adjustment. As far as the question of ytd record, I don't know. I've said it before and i'll say it again...this is not worth blindly tailing. You need to investigate further into each play to see if there are any injuries or other reasons for the line being "off". any typo's are either my fault or statfox's fault. please check to see what your shop is using. For large cards like tonight, I recommend playing differentials of 7+ after some due diligence.
I'll see if i get those late games up....
ga south 67
wcar 76 -9/-16 = np
143/149
ut chat 70
cc 76 +4=80 -10/-9.5
uncg 65
fur 68 -5 = 63 +2/-5.5 = play uncg +5.5 (offsetting)
sam 56
cit 60.5 -4.5/-5.5
116.5/107.5 = play over 107.5
jax st 62.5
mor st 68 -5.5/-13.5 = play jax st +13.5
130.5
tn tech 70
e ky 75 -5/-11 = play tn tck +11
145
ap 72
tn martin 68 +4=72 pk/+9 = play tn martin +9 (be careful here, they have less ats covers than SU wins!)
tn st 60.5
mur st 77 -3=74 -13.5/-22.5 = np
or 67
iupu ftw 67 -4 = 63 +4/+4.5
cent 68
oak 80.5 -12.5/-19.5 = np
148.5/152.5
mizzu kc 69
n dak st 71 -2/-6
140/
s utah 66
s dakota 74 -8/-14 = np
140/
Late games on the regular card are pending.
I use statfox for my power ratings adjustment. As far as the question of ytd record, I don't know. I've said it before and i'll say it again...this is not worth blindly tailing. You need to investigate further into each play to see if there are any injuries or other reasons for the line being "off". any typo's are either my fault or statfox's fault. please check to see what your shop is using. For large cards like tonight, I recommend playing differentials of 7+ after some due diligence.
I'll see if i get those late games up....
0
Posted:
#196
unc 66
vt 74 -8/-3.5
140/143.5
md 71
fsu 67 +4 =71 = pk/-4
cinci 71
nd 72 -4 =68 +3/-3 = play cinci +3 (wrong team favored)
sj st 73
la tech 77 -4/-11 = play sj st +11
150/153
tenn 68
lsu 64 +4/+6.5
132/132
sf 66
sd 68.5 +3=71.5 -6.5/-9
134
az st 71.5
wash st 69 +2.5/+2.5
140.5 133 = play over 133
csn 66
uc river 67 -1/-3.5
133/133
uc sb 62
pac 68 -6/-10
130/123 = play over 123
cal poly 69
cal davis 71.5 -3 = 68.5 +.5/-6 = np
az 71
wash 74 -3 =71 pk/-10 = play az +10
145/152.5 = play under 152.5
cal 66
usc 67.5 -1.5/-1
133.5/127 = play over 126.5
stan 67
ucla 69 -2/-4.5
136/134
port 70.5
gonz 71 -.5/-8 = play portland +8
141/145
csf 69
lbst 73 +3=76 -7/-5.5
santa clara 66
st mary's 77 -11/-19.5 = np
143/
0
Posted:
#199
Quote Originally Posted by knockhouse:
ok, do i click power ratings? and where do i go from there? Thanks
ok, do i click power ratings? and where do i go from there? Thanks
go to the matchups and select a game. About half way down at the bottom of the team statistics section you'll see :Average power rating of opponents played: PORTLAND 68.5, GONZAGA 70.7
In this case, the power rating is within 3 points of each other. So you can say they've had similar strength of schedules = no adjustment. If on the other hand gonzaga's power rating of opp played was 73, then they would have a power rating 5 points better than portland, so I'd add 5 points for the Zags to adjust the calculation.
hope that helps...
https://www.statfox.com/cbb/expanded~sportid~cbb~gameid~20100204GONZAGA.htm
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Posted:
#200
Quote Originally Posted by sergio1994:
yes. by my #'s I have this as a pick'em. Portland does have a starting guard who may miss tonight due to an achilles, so that is enough for me not to play the game.
yes. by my #'s I have this as a pick'em. Portland does have a starting guard who may miss tonight due to an achilles, so that is enough for me not to play the game.
Thanks Sergio, I was just debating if Gonz would just sneek a win in, or win by more than 10pts,
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