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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Parlay System!! made $13,399 in November!!

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    tombrady
    bwcareer
    dj_destroyer
    kkirby99
    smdio
    ...
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    Views: 12271
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    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    tombrady
    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 6:57 PM ET #26

    December 5th Parlay's  

    Group 5 - Memphis + 6  (1.952) x Denver Under 214 (1.952) x Oklahoma Thunder -6 (1.87) x Oklahoma Over 214.5 (1.952) x Bet($100) = $1108.80 Potential Win   

    Total Bets made on Deceber 5th = $100.00

    Group 5 is the only group that quailfied today!!...we Are do for a win soon!! good Luck!!

    December Balance as of the end of December 4th = -$1400

    Reply

    December 5th Parlay's  

    Group 5 - Memphis + 6  (1.952) x Denver Under 214 (1.952) x Oklahoma Thunder -6 (1.87) x Oklahoma Over 214.5 (1.952) x Bet($100) = $1108.80 Potential Win   

    Total Bets made on Deceber 5th = $100.00

    Group 5 is the only group that quailfied today!!...we Are do for a win soon!! good Luck!!

    December Balance as of the end of December 4th = -$1400

     
    bwcareer
    bwcareer
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 6:59 PM ET #27

    really excited about this!! Lets make some money!!!!
    Reply
    really excited about this!! Lets make some money!!!!
     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 7:04 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    December 5th Parlay's  

    Group 5 - Memphis + 6  (1.952) x Denver Under 214 (1.952) x Oklahoma Thunder -6 (1.87) x Oklahoma Over 214.5 (1.952) x Bet($100) = $1108.80 Potential Win   

    Total Bets made on Deceber 5th = $100.00

    Group 5 is the only group that quailfied today!!...we Are do for a win soon!! good Luck!!

    December Balance as of the end of December 4th = -$1400



    I didn't read through the system so pardon me if it was mentioned but if you are suggesting we play your four picks on the same parlay then this system sucks. No legitimate book is going to take Oklahoma by 6 and the OVER on the same parlay. This is like the correlation parlay thread or whatever where you need a local to make the plays. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    December 5th Parlay's  

    Group 5 - Memphis + 6  (1.952) x Denver Under 214 (1.952) x Oklahoma Thunder -6 (1.87) x Oklahoma Over 214.5 (1.952) x Bet($100) = $1108.80 Potential Win   

    Total Bets made on Deceber 5th = $100.00

    Group 5 is the only group that quailfied today!!...we Are do for a win soon!! good Luck!!

    December Balance as of the end of December 4th = -$1400



    I didn't read through the system so pardon me if it was mentioned but if you are suggesting we play your four picks on the same parlay then this system sucks. No legitimate book is going to take Oklahoma by 6 and the OVER on the same parlay. This is like the correlation parlay thread or whatever where you need a local to make the plays. 
     
    tombrady
    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 7:06 PM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    I didn't read through the system so pardon me if it was mentioned but if you are suggesting we play your four picks on the same parlay then this system sucks. No legitimate book is going to take Oklahoma by 6 and the OVER on the same parlay. This is like the correlation parlay thread or whatever where you need a local to make the plays. 

    My Book is Bet Phoenix and it let me make my Parlay...Also in Vegas you can go to the casino and in Canada there is sport select

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    I didn't read through the system so pardon me if it was mentioned but if you are suggesting we play your four picks on the same parlay then this system sucks. No legitimate book is going to take Oklahoma by 6 and the OVER on the same parlay. This is like the correlation parlay thread or whatever where you need a local to make the plays. 

    My Book is Bet Phoenix and it let me make my Parlay...Also in Vegas you can go to the casino and in Canada there is sport select

     
    tombrady
    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 7:08 PM ET #30

    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    My Book is Bet Phoenix and it let me make my Parlay...Also in Vegas you can go to the casino and in Canada there is sport select

    Also a friend of mine uses sports interaction and has no problem

     

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    My Book is Bet Phoenix and it let me make my Parlay...Also in Vegas you can go to the casino and in Canada there is sport select

    Also a friend of mine uses sports interaction and has no problem

     

     
    kkirby99
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 8:10 PM ET #31

    dj, it's not like football correlated parlays. The books allow these all over.
    Reply
    dj, it's not like football correlated parlays. The books allow these all over.
     
    kkirby99
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 8:12 PM ET #32

    I've done the backtesting. There's no mathematical advantage to these parlays like there is in football.
    Reply
    I've done the backtesting. There's no mathematical advantage to these parlays like there is in football.
     
    bwcareer
    bwcareer
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 9:38 PM ET #33

    OKC couldnt hang on tonight.

    On to tomorrow...
    Reply
    OKC couldnt hang on tonight.

    On to tomorrow...
     
    tombrady
    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 10:37 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    December 5th Parlay's  

    Group 5 - Memphis + 6  (1.952) x Denver Under 214 (1.952) x Oklahoma Thunder -6 (1.87) x Oklahoma Over 214.5 (1.952) x Bet($100) = $1108.80 Potential Win   

    Total Bets made on Deceber 5th = $100.00

    Group 5 is the only group that quailfied today!!...we Are do for a win soon!! good Luck!!

    December Balance as of the end of December 4th = -$1400

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    December 5th Parlay's  

    Group 5 - Memphis + 6  (1.952) x Denver Under 214 (1.952) x Oklahoma Thunder -6 (1.87) x Oklahoma Over 214.5 (1.952) x Bet($100) = $1108.80 Potential Win   

    Total Bets made on Deceber 5th = $100.00

    Group 5 is the only group that quailfied today!!...we Are do for a win soon!! good Luck!!

    December Balance as of the end of December 4th = -$1400

     
    tombrady
    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 10:43 PM ET #35

    Well we were close to a nice win tonight!!  

    The two games we lost were by a combined 2pts!!

    Tommrow three different Groups are plays so that means tommorow there will be three Parlay's to make.

    I will post tommorows picks once odds are released

    Reply

    Well we were close to a nice win tonight!!  

    The two games we lost were by a combined 2pts!!

    Tommrow three different Groups are plays so that means tommorow there will be three Parlay's to make.

    I will post tommorows picks once odds are released

     
    smdio
    smdio
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 7:40 AM ET #36

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    I didn't read through the system so pardon me if it was mentioned but if you are suggesting we play your four picks on the same parlay then this system sucks. No legitimate book is going to take Oklahoma by 6 and the OVER on the same parlay. This is like the correlation parlay thread or whatever where you need a local to make the plays. 

    This is untrue for Parlaymakers too, as I was able to make the parlay last night without a problem

    dj - as you know already, I value your opinion.  Why exactly do you think this system sucks?  Was that statement just based on the fact that you didn't think books would accept the wagers?  Or do you see fault in it in another way?

    I'm still anxious to see Novembers spreadsheet, tombrady..

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    I didn't read through the system so pardon me if it was mentioned but if you are suggesting we play your four picks on the same parlay then this system sucks. No legitimate book is going to take Oklahoma by 6 and the OVER on the same parlay. This is like the correlation parlay thread or whatever where you need a local to make the plays. 

    This is untrue for Parlaymakers too, as I was able to make the parlay last night without a problem

    dj - as you know already, I value your opinion.  Why exactly do you think this system sucks?  Was that statement just based on the fact that you didn't think books would accept the wagers?  Or do you see fault in it in another way?

    I'm still anxious to see Novembers spreadsheet, tombrady..

     
    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 10:13 AM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    This is untrue for Parlaymakers too, as I was able to make the parlay last night without a problem

    dj - as you know already, I value your opinion.  Why exactly do you think this system sucks?  Was that statement just based on the fact that you didn't think books would accept the wagers?  Or do you see fault in it in another way?

    I'm still anxious to see Novembers spreadsheet, tombrady..

    Smdio if you want the spreadsheet i have to email it to you. Private message an email adress and ill send it to you.  It is also great to track your bets every month
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    This is untrue for Parlaymakers too, as I was able to make the parlay last night without a problem

    dj - as you know already, I value your opinion.  Why exactly do you think this system sucks?  Was that statement just based on the fact that you didn't think books would accept the wagers?  Or do you see fault in it in another way?

    I'm still anxious to see Novembers spreadsheet, tombrady..

    Smdio if you want the spreadsheet i have to email it to you. Private message an email adress and ill send it to you.  It is also great to track your bets every month
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 10:13 AM ET #38

    the overs and under start evening out at some point later on. 
    Reply
    the overs and under start evening out at some point later on. 
     
    smdio
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 11:32 AM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    Smdio if you want the spreadsheet i have to email it to you. Private message an email adress and ill send it to you.  It is also great to track your bets every month

    Sent you a friend request!  Accept and I'll PM you my email address

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    Smdio if you want the spreadsheet i have to email it to you. Private message an email adress and ill send it to you.  It is also great to track your bets every month

    Sent you a friend request!  Accept and I'll PM you my email address

     
    jimmyrickards
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 12:02 PM ET #40

    Tombrady, you never answered my previous question.  Did you actually bet these in November or did you just backtrack with these teams and essentially tailor this to make money?  Do you have any results from last year that indicates this can be profitable?  As in finding the "extreme" teams as of Dec 1 last year and seeing if these parlays are profitable going forward.

    I ask because, like mentioned above, things always regress to the mean.
    Reply
    Tombrady, you never answered my previous question.  Did you actually bet these in November or did you just backtrack with these teams and essentially tailor this to make money?  Do you have any results from last year that indicates this can be profitable?  As in finding the "extreme" teams as of Dec 1 last year and seeing if these parlays are profitable going forward.

    I ask because, like mentioned above, things always regress to the mean.
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 12:31 PM ET #41

    Hmmm... I'm surprised that they allow correlated parlays on basketball. I'm not down with this system but I'm definitely down with betting favourites + overs and dogs + unders in certain situations.
    Reply
    Hmmm... I'm surprised that they allow correlated parlays on basketball. I'm not down with this system but I'm definitely down with betting favourites + overs and dogs + unders in certain situations.
     
    smdio
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 3:10 PM ET #42

    Got sick of waiting so did the plays myself.  Correct me if I'm wrong, as I'm just going off what's on post #1.  Tonights plays should be:

    Parlay #1:

    NHL -  Nashville/Atlanta Over 5.5, N.J./Pittsburgh Under 5.5, Atlanta over Nashville, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #2:

    NHL - Washington/Toronto Under 6, Pittsburgh/N.J. Under 5.5, Washington over Toronto, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #3:

    NBA - OKC/Chicago over 204.5, Memphis/Utah under 201.5, OKC over Chicago, Utah over Memphis


    I don't know what lines you all get so I left that out.  

    tombrady, am I following the rules correctly?
    Reply
    Got sick of waiting so did the plays myself.  Correct me if I'm wrong, as I'm just going off what's on post #1.  Tonights plays should be:

    Parlay #1:

    NHL -  Nashville/Atlanta Over 5.5, N.J./Pittsburgh Under 5.5, Atlanta over Nashville, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #2:

    NHL - Washington/Toronto Under 6, Pittsburgh/N.J. Under 5.5, Washington over Toronto, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #3:

    NBA - OKC/Chicago over 204.5, Memphis/Utah under 201.5, OKC over Chicago, Utah over Memphis


    I don't know what lines you all get so I left that out.  

    tombrady, am I following the rules correctly?
     
    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 5:35 PM ET #43

    sorey i didnt have my laptop today. posted pixks using my blackberry on the nhl foeum. sorry dont have rime to post here as well. i will get back to questions tonight good luck 

    Reply
    sorey i didnt have my laptop today. posted pixks using my blackberry on the nhl foeum. sorry dont have rime to post here as well. i will get back to questions tonight good luck 

     
    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 5:43 PM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by jv040:

    the overs and under start evening out at some point later on. 
    i agree and disagree i beive in basketball thats true but in hockey bookies cant bring the line below 5 so if say montreal and boston continue having good goaltending it wont even out. i am testing behind the scenes and tracking records and fading the teams iinstead of riding them and seeing if the records wven out. might become a future versiln on this system 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jv040:

    the overs and under start evening out at some point later on. 
    i agree and disagree i beive in basketball thats true but in hockey bookies cant bring the line below 5 so if say montreal and boston continue having good goaltending it wont even out. i am testing behind the scenes and tracking records and fading the teams iinstead of riding them and seeing if the records wven out. might become a future versiln on this system 

     
    tombrady
    tombrady
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    Joined: Feb, 2010
    Posts: 203
    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 6:06 PM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    Got sick of waiting so did the plays myself.  Correct me if I'm wrong, as I'm just going off what's on post #1.  Tonights plays should be:

    Parlay #1:

    NHL -  Nashville/Atlanta Over 5.5, N.J./Pittsburgh Under 5.5, Atlanta over Nashville, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #2:

    NHL - Washington/Toronto Under 6, Pittsburgh/N.J. Under 5.5, Washington over Toronto, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #3:

    NBA - OKC/Chicago over 204.5, Memphis/Utah under 201.5, OKC over Chicago, Utah over Memphis


    I don't know what lines you all get so I left that out.  

    tombrady, am I following the rules correctly?
    yes your picks are correct  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    Got sick of waiting so did the plays myself.  Correct me if I'm wrong, as I'm just going off what's on post #1.  Tonights plays should be:

    Parlay #1:

    NHL -  Nashville/Atlanta Over 5.5, N.J./Pittsburgh Under 5.5, Atlanta over Nashville, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #2:

    NHL - Washington/Toronto Under 6, Pittsburgh/N.J. Under 5.5, Washington over Toronto, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #3:

    NBA - OKC/Chicago over 204.5, Memphis/Utah under 201.5, OKC over Chicago, Utah over Memphis


    I don't know what lines you all get so I left that out.  

    tombrady, am I following the rules correctly?
    yes your picks are correct  
     
    tombrady
    tombrady
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    Joined: Feb, 2010
    Posts: 203
    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 8:34 PM ET #46

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmyrickards:

    Tombrady, you never answered my previous question.  Did you actually bet these in November or did you just backtrack with these teams and essentially tailor this to make money?  Do you have any results from last year that indicates this can be profitable?  As in finding the "extreme" teams as of Dec 1 last year and seeing if these parlays are profitable going forward.

    I ask because, like mentioned above, things always regress to the mean.
    I Personally started playing these groups on November 9th. Before That i tracked all these groups back to the begging of the season to see how it would do. It was profiable so i started.  I have also test completly random teams and making the over under random last year to see how it would play out. The was one group of three that took until the second month two weeks in before it won and that group didnt become profitable until the end of the second month.   I am also keeping track of teams ATS and Over/Under records everyday. The looking how they change week to week. I am thinking the parlay's might hit more often  if you fade the records for a preoid of time until you profit from that group. Then add a new group based on the current stats from that day but always maintaining 6 groups.  Sorry rambling on hop this makes sense......For now just sticking with these groups until the end of month and then will review
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jimmyrickards:

    Tombrady, you never answered my previous question.  Did you actually bet these in November or did you just backtrack with these teams and essentially tailor this to make money?  Do you have any results from last year that indicates this can be profitable?  As in finding the "extreme" teams as of Dec 1 last year and seeing if these parlays are profitable going forward.

    I ask because, like mentioned above, things always regress to the mean.
    I Personally started playing these groups on November 9th. Before That i tracked all these groups back to the begging of the season to see how it would do. It was profiable so i started.  I have also test completly random teams and making the over under random last year to see how it would play out. The was one group of three that took until the second month two weeks in before it won and that group didnt become profitable until the end of the second month.   I am also keeping track of teams ATS and Over/Under records everyday. The looking how they change week to week. I am thinking the parlay's might hit more often  if you fade the records for a preoid of time until you profit from that group. Then add a new group based on the current stats from that day but always maintaining 6 groups.  Sorry rambling on hop this makes sense......For now just sticking with these groups until the end of month and then will review
     
    willywagtail
    willywagtail
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    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 577
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 12:30 AM ET #47

    What's the longest drought? In other words, what's the most that you lost before winning?
    Reply
    What's the longest drought? In other words, what's the most that you lost before winning?
     
    tombrady
    tombrady
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    Joined: Feb, 2010
    Posts: 203
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 12:44 AM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    Got sick of waiting so did the plays myself.  Correct me if I'm wrong, as I'm just going off what's on post #1.  Tonights plays should be:

    Parlay #1:

    NHL -  Nashville/Atlanta Over 5.5, N.J./Pittsburgh Under 5.5, Atlanta over Nashville, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #2:

    NHL - Washington/Toronto Under 6, Pittsburgh/N.J. Under 5.5, Washington over Toronto, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #3:

    NBA - OKC/Chicago over 204.5, Memphis/Utah under 201.5, OKC over Chicago, Utah over Memphis


    I don't know what lines you all get so I left that out.  

    tombrady, am I following the rules correctly?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    Got sick of waiting so did the plays myself.  Correct me if I'm wrong, as I'm just going off what's on post #1.  Tonights plays should be:

    Parlay #1:

    NHL -  Nashville/Atlanta Over 5.5, N.J./Pittsburgh Under 5.5, Atlanta over Nashville, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #2:

    NHL - Washington/Toronto Under 6, Pittsburgh/N.J. Under 5.5, Washington over Toronto, Pittsburgh over N.J.

    Parlay #3:

    NBA - OKC/Chicago over 204.5, Memphis/Utah under 201.5, OKC over Chicago, Utah over Memphis


    I don't know what lines you all get so I left that out.  

    tombrady, am I following the rules correctly?
     
    tombrady
    tombrady
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2010
    Posts: 203
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 1:05 AM ET #49

    Quote Originally Posted by willywagtail:

    What's the longest drought? In other words, what's the most that you lost before winning?
    The longest Drough in November was between November 4th-15th ...11 days....and the losses added up to $2200

    The hottest run was November 24-27th....during those 4 days you win on 9 Parlay's total profit $9462.00

    Other stats....  There was 9 days in the month that you would have won at least one parlay

    Nov 1st-  $1109

    Nov 3rd- $2660

    Nov 15th- $2739

    Nov 17th-  $787

    Nov  19th-  $1330

    Nov 20- $1330

    Nov 24- $2758

    Nov 26th-$3733

    Nov 27th- $4571

    November Wins Total = $21,017.00    

    November Bets Total = $7200.00

    November Total Profit = $13, 817.00

    Well my profit total im sure will cause a riot now because it is off by a few dollars. lol..I discovered i accidently wrote two bets on the sheet as $10.00 instead of $100.00 so the true actuall November profit would have been $13, 817.00 instead of $13,997.00

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by willywagtail:

    What's the longest drought? In other words, what's the most that you lost before winning?
    The longest Drough in November was between November 4th-15th ...11 days....and the losses added up to $2200

    The hottest run was November 24-27th....during those 4 days you win on 9 Parlay's total profit $9462.00

    Other stats....  There was 9 days in the month that you would have won at least one parlay

    Nov 1st-  $1109

    Nov 3rd- $2660

    Nov 15th- $2739

    Nov 17th-  $787

    Nov  19th-  $1330

    Nov 20- $1330

    Nov 24- $2758

    Nov 26th-$3733

    Nov 27th- $4571

    November Wins Total = $21,017.00    

    November Bets Total = $7200.00

    November Total Profit = $13, 817.00

    Well my profit total im sure will cause a riot now because it is off by a few dollars. lol..I discovered i accidently wrote two bets on the sheet as $10.00 instead of $100.00 so the true actuall November profit would have been $13, 817.00 instead of $13,997.00

     
     
    willywagtail
    willywagtail
    Rookie
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    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 577
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 3:19 AM ET #50

    amazing.. what about the months before? Do you expect this performance to keep up?
    Reply
    amazing.. what about the months before? Do you expect this performance to keep up?
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